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Paulistano vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 93-78
28-13 25-27 28-20 12-18
Position#12
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#10
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Sao Jose
04 Nov 2025
PAUL80
SAO 71
13 Feb 2025
PAUL93
SAO 78
29 Dec 2023
PAUL92
SAO 79
20 Dec 2022
PAUL72
SAO 62
15 Oct 2019
PAUL93
SAO 75
20 Nov 2018
PAUL88
SAO 82
09 Mar 2016
PAUL89
SAO 77
09 Apr 2015
PAUL72
SAO 67
07 Apr 2015
PAUL75
SAO 76
16 Dec 2014
PAUL89
SAO 71
23 May 2014
PAUL81
SAO 68
15 May 2014
PAUL78
SAO 83
13 May 2014
PAUL88
SAO 71
25 Jan 2014
PAUL92
SAO 93
09 Mar 2013
PAUL80
SAO 68
14 Jan 2012
PAUL73
SAO 93
25 Mar 2011
PAUL87
SAO 86
18 Mar 2009
PAUL82
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
102-87
102
87
+15
105avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 70
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 70
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 70
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 70
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 70
A11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
32-21
22-27
24-22
24-17
27-24
20-18
20-21
15-23
18-30
27-18
10-27
20-14
24-15
19-29
21-18
16-14
25-9
14-17
19-17
18-20
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
156.7Avg total
80.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.574.7152.1+2.852%
Season at home (11)78.875.5154.4+3.355%
Season away (12)76.273.8150.1+2.450%
Last 10 (10)80.276.5156.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)76.271.0147.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.484.6162.0-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.971.8149.7+6.262%
vs Weaker (7)73.767.3141.0+6.457%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 72
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
73avg 72
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
82avg 72
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 72
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 72
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 72
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 72
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
82avg 72
A04/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
12-14
15-24
17-14
16-14
21-11
22-18
16-12
21-13
27-23
21-23
7-18
18-22
23-16
19-22
21-25
20-21
24-14
8-25
37-22
20-19
18-10
15-15
22-25
28-23
18-18
20-21
28-17
29-20
19-21
31-19
19-28
22-23
20-18
28-19
19-20
20-20
22-24
22-18
16-18
161.0Avg total
82.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.877.0155.8+1.752%
Season at home (12)79.976.0155.9+3.958%
Season away (11)77.578.2155.7-0.645%
Last 10 (10)82.878.2161.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)89.882.6172.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.984.0159.9-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.376.6152.9-0.347%
vs Weaker (5)83.075.6158.6+7.460%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
PaulistanoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
79.7Avg total
41.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.176.4+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.477.1+0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)39.836.075.8+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.979.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.270.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.043.983.9-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.835.775.4+4.144%-
vs Weaker (7)37.333.771.0+3.657%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/02
NBB
77.4Avg total
41.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.375.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.836.775.5+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.974.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.277.4+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.440.677.0-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.135.773.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.7
47.6%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.8
39.8%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
72.7%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.5
48.6%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.017.6
73.3%
72.7%17.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWWWWWLLWW
Sao Jose
LWWWWWLLWL
#12
League position
#10
+4.5
Net rating
+5.0
108.6
Offensive rating
107.3
104.1
Defensive rating
102.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.8%
3-point %
33.4%
66.0%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 107.3Defence104.1 · 102.3Shooting52.3% · 49.3%3-point %39.8% · 33.4%Ball care19.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds35.6% · 35.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Paulistano wins
1
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Sao Jose v Paulistano62-75
12/04/24Sao Jose v Paulistano64-93
29/12/23Paulistano v Sao Jose92-79
23/03/23Sao Jose v Paulistano71-77
20/12/22Paulistano v Sao Jose72-62
15/10/19Paulistano v Sao Jose93-75
26/03/19Sao Jose v Paulistano65-73
20/11/18Paulistano v Sao Jose88-82
09/03/16Paulistano v Sao Jose89-77
15/12/15Sao Jose v Paulistano83-77
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61
20/01/25ABauru85-73
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT
10/01/25HMogi76-63
28/12/24HSao Paulo80-76
23/12/24HFlamengo75-89
20/12/24AMinas82-86
18/12/24ABrasilia102-87
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AMogi93-97 OT
23/01/25ASao Paulo89-80
20/01/25HMinas98-88
11/01/25HBrasilia94-79
29/12/24AVasco75-69
27/12/24AFlamengo89-82
19/12/24APato81-85
17/12/24HPinheiros76-77
09/12/24ACearense75-55
06/12/24AUnifacisa58-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.578.876.2
Allowed / game74.775.573.8
Point differential+2.8+3.3+2.4
Avg total152.1154.4150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game78.879.977.5
Allowed / game77.076.078.2
Point differential+1.7+3.9-0.6
Avg total155.8155.9155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2218482%82.471.3+11.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2516964%82.080.4+1.7
4 Uniao Corinthians2314961%78.978.2+0.7
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
8 Paulistano23121152%77.574.7+2.8
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Corinthians Paulista25131252%80.778.9+1.8
11 Unifacisa24121250%75.574.8+0.7
12 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2591636%73.479.3-5.9
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Cearense2361726%70.277.3-7.2
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2825281293
Sao Jose1327201878
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