Sao Paulo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 98-76

18-12 30-17 18-23 32-24

Position#3

Record18-7

FormLLLLW

Points / game89.9

Allowed / game77.5

Sao Paulo 🏆

Cearense

Position#10

Record13-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game72.5

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Cearense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cearense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

97-76

+21

A06/02

NBB

Bauru

92-84

H08/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

100-74

100

+26

H10/02

NBB

Paulistano

71-63

A13/02

NBB

Minas

90-92

-2

H25/02

NBB

Flamengo

74-93

-19

A27/02

NBB

Pato

#11

84-85

-1

H01/03

NBB

Quimsa

65-73

-8

H05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

#10

76-78

-2

A06/03

Champions League Americas

Brasilia

#16

92-46

+46

H10/03

NBB

25-18

21-16

24-20

27-22

21-20

19-26

24-21

28-17

19-17

28-19

30-13

23-25

14-13

17-10

18-21

22-19

24-23

23-13

19-27

24-29

13-25

20-21

16-16

25-31

19-17

20-22

24-24

21-22

14-25

16-10

22-14

13-24

23-20

24-20

13-27

16-11

11-13

31-10

28-7

22-16

160.5Avg total

84.1Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	89.9	77.5	167.4	+12.4	72%
Season at home (14)	89.6	75.0	164.6	+14.6	79%
Season away (11)	90.2	80.6	170.8	+9.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	76.4	160.5	+7.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	75.0	153.2	+3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.8	77.5	153.2	-1.8	50%
vs Similar (2)	91.0	94.0	185.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	87.0	74.9	161.9	+12.2	74%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

61-69

-8

A16/01

Super 8

Flamengo

74-77

-3

A26/01

NBB

Pato

#11

68-71

-3

H28/01

NBB

Cerrado

#14

86-77 OT

H07/02

NBB

Brasilia

#16

67-87

-20

A09/02

NBB

Unifacisa

75-87

-12

H11/02

NBB

Mogi

94-84

+10

A26/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

92-46

+46

A28/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

82-81

A03/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

77-83

-6

H06/03

NBB

21-20

10-19

11-19

19-11

18-24

12-22

16-12

28-19

23-14

19-18

16-25

10-14

15-25

13-18

26-14

19-16

17-19

11-30

23-21

16-17

16-25

19-18

14-27

26-17

21-16

23-17

28-29

22-22

28-17

13-11

26-10

25-8

16-17

21-24

19-15

26-25

24-18

13-17

25-24

15-24

153.8Avg total

77.6Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.0	72.5	147.5	+2.5	54%
Season at home (12)	77.1	76.5	153.6	+0.6	50%
Season away (12)	72.9	68.6	141.5	+4.3	58%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	76.2	153.8	+1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	76.2	160.2	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	75.6	83.0	158.6	-7.4	29%
vs Similar (10)	74.7	75.3	150.0	-0.6	30%
vs Weaker (12)	77.2	71.0	148.2	+6.2	75%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	17.8	32.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.0	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.4	21.4	38.9	-4.0	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	16.1	37.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+4.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.5	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.7	38.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	13.0	38.5	+12.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	16.1	37.7	+5.5	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.3	21.6	36.9	-6.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.8	17.2	34.9	+0.6	50%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

46-34

+12

A06/02

NBB

Bauru

40-46

-6

H08/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

47-36

+11

H10/02

NBB

Paulistano

31-23

A13/02

NBB

Minas

47-36

+11

H25/02

NBB

Flamengo

33-46

-13

A27/02

NBB

Pato

#11

39-39

H01/03

NBB

Quimsa

30-35

-5

H05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

#10

47-40

A06/03

Champions League Americas

Brasilia

#16

42-23

+19

H10/03

NBB

76.0Avg total

40.2Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	34.4	75.3	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	34.2	74.4	+5.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	34.6	76.5	+7.3	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.2	35.8	72.0	+0.5	75%	-
vs Similar (2)	48.0	34.0	82.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.1	34.5	75.6	+6.6	74%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

31-39

-8

A16/01

Super 8

Flamengo

30-46

-16

A26/01

NBB

Pato

#11

42-32

+10

H28/01

NBB

Cerrado

#14

28-43

-15

H07/02

NBB

Brasilia

#16

28-49

-21

A09/02

NBB

Unifacisa

35-43

-8

H11/02

NBB

Mogi

44-33

+11

A26/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

41-28

+13

A28/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

37-41

-4

A03/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-35

H06/03

NBB

74.2Avg total

35.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.5	37.7	73.2	-2.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	37.0	73.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	38.4	73.3	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	38.9	74.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.0	74.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	32.7	43.0	75.7	-10.3	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.6	38.6	75.1	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.8	33.8	70.5	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.4	41.8	+5.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.9	42.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	16.8	34.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	27.5	48.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	20.6	41.6	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	71%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	23.2	44.6	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.8	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.6	43.2	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	32.5	55.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.2	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	41.5	85.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.5	39.3	83.8	+5.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	44.5	87.3	-1.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	40.6	84.5	+3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	41.8	81.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.0	60.0	103.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.9	40.0	85.0	+4.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.3	81.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	37.5	78.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	36.9	77.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.2	85.4	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.9	40.0	82.9	+2.9	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.2	43.6	85.8	-1.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.4	36.9	76.3	+2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/20	Cearense v Sao Paulo	92-85
30/11/19	Sao Paulo v Cearense	92-73

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/21	H	Brasilia	92-46
06/03/21	A	U. De Concepcion	76-78
05/03/21	H	Quimsa	65-73
01/03/21	H	Pato	84-85
27/02/21	A	Flamengo	74-93
25/02/21	H	Minas	90-92
13/02/21	A	Paulistano	71-63
10/02/21	H	Pinheiros	100-74
08/02/21	H	Bauru	92-84
06/02/21	A	Franca	97-76

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	77-83
03/03/21	A	Caxias do Sul	82-81
28/02/21	A	Pinheiros	92-46
26/02/21	A	Mogi	94-84
11/02/21	H	Unifacisa	75-87
09/02/21	A	Brasilia	67-87
07/02/21	H	Cerrado	86-77 OT
28/01/21	H	Pato	68-71
26/01/21	A	Flamengo	74-77
16/01/21	A	Bauru	61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	72%
Home	WWLLW	79%
Away	LLWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	72%	79%	64%
Points / game	89.9	89.6	90.2
Allowed / game	77.5	75.0	80.6
Point differential	+12.4	+14.6	+9.5
Avg total	167.4	164.6	170.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	57%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	54%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	LLWWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	54%	50%	58%
Points / game	75.0	77.1	72.9
Allowed / game	72.5	76.5	68.6
Point differential	+2.5	+0.6	+4.3
Avg total	147.5	153.6	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	25	23	2	92%	89.5	72.8	+16.8
2	Minas	25	22	3	88%	85.0	74.6	+10.4
3	Sao Paulo	25	18	7	72%	89.9	77.5	+12.4
4	Paulistano	25	17	8	68%	75.8	74.4	+1.4
5	Bauru	25	16	9	64%	81.4	75.3	+6.1
6	Cearense	24	13	11	54%	75.0	72.5	+2.5
7	Corinthians Paulista	24	13	11	54%	75.2	73.5	+1.8
8	Unifacisa	25	13	12	52%	82.2	80.0	+2.2
9	Mogi	25	13	12	52%	80.2	82.7	-2.5
10	Franca	25	12	13	48%	87.4	83.9	+3.5
11	Pato	25	10	15	40%	75.0	83.4	-8.4
12	Cerrado	24	7	17	29%	75.8	79.3	-3.5
13	Caxias do Sul	26	7	19	27%	76.0	81.6	-5.6
14	Pinheiros	25	6	19	24%	72.2	83.5	-11.3
15	Campo Mourao	24	5	19	21%	75.8	86.6	-10.8
16	Brasilia	26	4	22	15%	76.4	90.7	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	18	30	18	32	98
Cearense	12	17	23	24	76

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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