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Sao Paulo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-70
17-24 17-20 27-9 24-17
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#14
Record5-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game82.4
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Cearense
04 Mar 2025
SAO 75
CEAR79
06 Nov 2023
SAO 70
CEAR86
04 Feb 2023
SAO 85
CEAR70
07 Feb 2022
SAO 73
CEAR62
13 Mar 2021
SAO 98
CEAR76
29 Nov 2019
SAO 92
CEAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H22/12
NBB
Minas
#4
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H05/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
H07/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A14/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H21/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/01
Super 8
Pinheiros
#6
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A30/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
20-11
27-14
21-17
25-22
18-21
30-18
27-22
15-27
26-15
22-20
14-16
24-26
26-20
12-24
27-19
26-19
19-24
32-10
15-23
17-16
22-19
24-17
21-17
22-21
20-11
23-25
20-16
18-21
29-18
24-23
29-16
13-18
11-11
20-21
26-24
21-13
24-22
20-28
24-16
167.8Avg total
89.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.379.4167.7+9.076%
Season at home (10)86.880.8167.6+6.070%
Season away (11)89.778.1167.8+11.682%
Last 10 (10)89.578.3167.8+11.270%
Last 5 (5)85.674.6160.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.5173.5-11.50%
vs Similar (9)78.176.0154.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.876.8167.5+14.081%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
81-111
81
111
-30
H08/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A13/12
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
50-82
50
82
-32
A15/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
H04/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A09/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A11/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H16/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H31/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
18-29
15-31
23-25
7-31
24-21
18-25
24-18
12-23
14-22
16-20
8-17
20-22
20-25
22-22
21-25
19-12
30-20
21-21
14-20
11-18
21-22
19-18
23-16
14-22
20-21
27-17
21-20
21-22
21-13
16-25
10-28
24-20
13-23
14-18
20-29
14-21
15-22
15-30
20-26
163.5Avg total
74.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.882.4154.2-10.625%
Season at home (11)75.084.2159.2-9.227%
Season away (9)68.080.2148.2-12.222%
Last 10 (10)74.489.1163.5-14.730%
Last 5 (5)74.687.2161.8-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.586.6159.2-14.111%
vs Similar (11)74.775.4150.1-0.645%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Sao PauloCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H22/12
NBB
Minas
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H05/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H07/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H21/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#2
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H26/01
Super 8
Pinheiros
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A30/01
NBB
80.5Avg total
42.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.280.3+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.838.280.0+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)42.538.180.6+4.475%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.180.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.073.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.045.284.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (9)38.336.074.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.837.682.4+7.288%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H08/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A13/12
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A15/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H04/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A09/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/01
NBB
79.8Avg total
36.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.340.074.3-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.040.276.2-4.229%-
Last 30 away (13)32.139.771.8-7.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.343.579.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.541.976.5-7.411%-
vs Similar (11)33.936.570.5-2.655%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Paulo wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22Cearense v Sao Paulo81-111
07/02/22Sao Paulo v Cearense73-62
04/11/21Cearense v Sao Paulo68-81
13/03/21Sao Paulo v Cearense98-76
23/12/20Cearense v Sao Paulo92-85
30/11/19Sao Paulo v Cearense92-73
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/23APinheiros89-79
26/01/23HFlamengo70-74
21/01/23HPinheiros100-78
17/01/23ACorinthians Paulista85-73
14/01/23APato84-69
10/01/23HRio Claro92-76
07/01/23HFranca102-105 OT
05/01/23HPaulistano77-78
27/12/22HMinas100-83
22/12/22HSao Jose96-68
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23HFlamengo64-99
16/01/23HSao Jose71-90
11/01/23ACerrado68-88
09/01/23ABrasilia82-80
04/01/23HUnifacisa88-79 OT
21/12/22HCaxias do Sul84-73
19/12/22HUniao Corinthians83-94
15/12/22ABauru50-82
13/12/22APinheiros73-95
08/12/22HSao Paulo81-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%70%82%
Points / game88.386.889.7
Allowed / game79.480.878.1
Point differential+9.0+6.0+11.6
Avg total167.7167.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%30%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
Cearense
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWLL27%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %25%27%22%
Points / game71.875.068.0
Allowed / game82.484.280.2
Point differential-10.6-9.2-12.2
Avg total154.2159.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca20200100%89.276.8+12.3
2 Flamengo2119290%84.068.4+15.6
3 Sao Paulo2116576%88.379.4+9.0
4 Minas1914574%85.577.8+7.7
5 Pinheiros2113862%80.377.5+2.9
6 Bauru2012860%79.070.8+8.3
7 Paulistano2012860%75.772.5+3.1
8 Corinthians Paulista2012860%80.779.1+1.6
9 Sao Jose22101245%80.181.9-1.8
10 Unifacisa2091145%78.781.7-3.0
11 Caxias do Sul1981142%74.576.6-2.2
12 Brasilia2161529%78.784.3-5.6
13 Cearense2051525%71.882.4-10.6
14 Pato2251723%76.986.6-9.7
15 Uniao Corinthians1841422%77.783.6-5.9
16 Rio Claro2041620%74.288.2-13.9
17 Cerrado2241818%84.591.9-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1717272485
Cearense242091770
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