PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sao Paulo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-86
24-23 19-26 12-19 15-18
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Cearense
04 Mar 2025
SAO 75
CEAR79
06 Nov 2023
SAO 70
CEAR86
04 Feb 2023
SAO 85
CEAR70
07 Feb 2022
SAO 73
CEAR62
13 Mar 2021
SAO 98
CEAR76
29 Nov 2019
SAO 92
CEAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
A27/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
H03/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-100
92
100
-8
80avg 56
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 56
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
52-71
52
71
-19
34avg 56
A02/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-14
26-15
31-30
19-27
20-11
15-11
18-20
24-33
23-16
28-22
23-17
15-19
22-15
19-27
24-27
27-23
20-29
25-19
20-23
34-24
8-18
23-24
21-15
13-27
21-18
16-19
18-28
27-18
16-24
22-27
27-31
11-21
21-24
22-24
12-18
9-17
16-17
14-19
13-18
165.1Avg total
80.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.086.0156.0-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)70.086.0156.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.284.9165.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)72.886.2159.0-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.583.5163.0-4.042%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.182.1164.2+0.060%
vs Weaker (8)83.877.0160.8+6.862%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
55avg 70
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 70
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 70
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
6-21
22-20
23-21
21-20
18-18
22-19
18-20
14-23
23-23
19-29
22-17
20-15
26-21
13-31
26-27
23-16
21-16
14-13
19-21
13-22
18-20
14-20
30-29
15-20
22-19
13-15
15-9
19-20
23-12
17-20
23-26
20-21
25-23
24-14
11-19
23-20
16-26
15-16
19-18
156.1Avg total
76.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.074.5149.5+0.575%
Season at home (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Season away (3)73.373.7147.0-0.367%
Last 10 (10)76.379.8156.1-3.550%
Last 5 (5)75.077.8152.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)74.586.3160.8-11.824%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.480.5158.9-2.162%
vs Weaker (1)65.063.0128.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Sao PauloCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A27/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H03/06
NBB
Franca
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/11
NBB
80.0Avg total
38.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.480.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.980.5+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.779.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.580.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.676.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.740.979.6-2.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.939.079.9+1.970%-
vs Weaker (8)43.637.581.1+6.150%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H31/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/11
NBB
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.378.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.981.2-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.838.975.8-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.741.177.9-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.438.479.8+3.062%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.313.7
43.6%
51.8%27.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.6%
33.9%29.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.7
67.3%
72.6%11.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.0
51.9%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.5
39.5%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.0
69.0%
72.6%15.0
They take 54.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LLLLWLLWWW
Cearense
LWWWLWLLWL
#11
League position
#8
-24.6
Net rating
+0.7
92.9
Offensive rating
101.8
117.4
Defensive rating
101.2
46.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
21.2%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.6%
3-point %
39.5%
51.4%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 101.8Defence117.4 · 101.2Shooting46.2% · 54.8%3-point %32.6% · 39.5%Ball care14.9% · 21.2%Off. rebounds19.8% · 22.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sao Paulo wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Sao Paulo v Cearense85-70
08/12/22Cearense v Sao Paulo81-111
07/02/22Sao Paulo v Cearense73-62
04/11/21Cearense v Sao Paulo68-81
13/03/21Sao Paulo v Cearense98-76
23/12/20Cearense v Sao Paulo92-85
30/11/19Sao Paulo v Cearense92-73
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23APaulistano52-71
24/10/23ABauru66-87
21/10/23AFranca92-100
10/06/23AFranca68-92
08/06/23AFranca86-81
03/06/23HFranca92-94
31/05/23HFranca80-88
27/05/23AFranca98-88
17/05/23HFlamengo72-69
15/05/23HFlamengo96-79
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23APaulistano73-80
31/10/23HBauru80-77
27/10/23ASao Jose82-78
25/10/23AMogi65-63
14/04/23AUniao Corinthians75-91
12/04/23ACaxias do Sul77-66
08/04/23HMinas85-94
24/03/23HPinheiros78-92
22/03/23HBauru79-77
10/03/23AUnifacisa69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game75.080.073.3
Allowed / game74.577.073.7
Point differential+0.5+3.0-0.3
Avg total149.5157.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
4 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
5 Unifacisa43175%73.563.8+9.8
6 Cearense43175%75.074.5+0.5
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Brasilia32167%82.079.3+2.7
9 Paulistano53260%67.868.8-1.0
10 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
11 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Sao Jose31233%80.073.0+7.0
14 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
15 Pato62433%73.778.5-4.8
16 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
17 Botafogo5050%70.882.0-11.2
18 Cerrado3030%61.773.0-11.3
19 Sao Paulo3030%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2419121570
Cearense2326191886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.