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Saratov vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-82
20-19 18-25 18-21 29-17
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game92.7
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.0
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Saratov v Khimki M.
26 Oct 2020
SAR85
KHM82
14 Oct 2019
SAR84
KHM101
28 Jan 2019
SAR92
KHM100
05 May 2018
SAR104
KHM92
15 Feb 2017
SAR109
KHM118
28 Feb 2016
SAR87
KHM84
08 May 2015
SAR87
KHM89
31 Jan 2015
SAR101
KHM76
15 Feb 2014
SAR67
KHM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaratov
Date
Competition
Minsk
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A12/01
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
A20/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H26/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
no box
H02/02
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#7
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A09/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#13
W
109-90
109
90
+19
no box
H29/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A09/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 73
H04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
66-100
66
100
-34
60avg 73
A10/10
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
107-85
107
85
+22
104avg 73
H22/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
22-18
15-17
24-27
15-26
13-19
21-21
27-22
15-18
19-21
28-20
16-26
21-25
12-23
17-29
31-20
22-28
28-21
18-29
23-20
26-24
32-22
26-21
25-23
16-21
19-22
13-24
26-12
22-19
17-30
18-26
13-18
18-22
18-35
17-15
13-28
36-16
14-22
25-17
32-30
173.5Avg total
83.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.092.7173.7-11.733%
Season at home (2)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Season away (1)66.0100.0166.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)83.290.3173.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)85.289.4174.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.896.9178.6-15.17%
vs Similar (14)86.489.9176.2-3.529%
vs Weaker (2)109.595.5205.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
62avg 74
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
79avg 74
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
91avg 74
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 74
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 74
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 74
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
80avg 74
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 74
A16/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H19/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
no box
H23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-19
20-14
12-28
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
20-17
12-24
16-26
22-17
25-25
16-24
16-21
28-24
18-15
18-20
11-19
13-23
22-18
23-31
15-24
28-16
18-16
15-20
22-22
26-23
163.9Avg total
80.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.883.0167.8+1.840%
Season at home (3)82.380.7163.0+1.733%
Season away (2)88.586.5175.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.283.7163.9-3.520%
Last 5 (5)78.086.6164.6-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.283.5157.7-9.30%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.282.5176.7+11.791%
This opponent (Saratov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
SaratovKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A12/01
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A20/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H26/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H02/02
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A09/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H29/02
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A10/10
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H22/10
VTB United League
86.2Avg total
40.4Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.947.089.9-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.748.495.1-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.245.684.8-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.886.2-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.690.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.246.886.0-7.629%-
vs Similar (14)45.147.392.4-2.243%-
vs Weaker (2)54.046.5100.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H19/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
39.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.387.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.840.285.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)47.142.889.8+4.377%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.882.2-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.079.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.039.875.8-3.817%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.841.390.1+7.586%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.0
45.0%
52.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.310.0
44.8%
37.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.9%
75.7%14.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.9
53.1%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
37.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.4
74.0%
75.7%15.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
WLLLWLLLLL
Khimki M.
LLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#7
-14.9
Net rating
-5.1
109.2
Offensive rating
105.7
124.1
Defensive rating
110.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
44.8%
3-point %
33.5%
54.8%
Assist %
72.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 105.7Defence124.1 · 110.9Shooting52.9% · 52.0%3-point %44.8% · 33.5%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Saratov   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saratov wins
8
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
09/03/20Khimki M. v Saratov79-74
14/10/19Saratov v Khimki M.84-101
28/01/19Saratov v Khimki M.92-100
18/11/18Khimki M. v Saratov85-77
05/05/18Saratov v Khimki M.104-92
29/01/18Khimki M. v Saratov88-75
15/02/17Saratov v Khimki M.109-118
03/12/16Khimki M. v Saratov102-70
28/02/16Saratov v Khimki M.87-84
04/10/15Khimki M. v Saratov87-84
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/20HAstana107-85
10/10/20ACSKA Moscow66-100
04/10/20HParma Perm70-93
09/03/20AKhimki M.74-79
29/02/20HMinsk109-90
09/02/20AZielona Gora91-98
02/02/20HLokomotiv Kuban81-97
26/01/20HParma Perm78-85
20/01/20ABC Kalev/Cramo76-88
12/01/20AMinsk80-88
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-89 OT
19/10/20HAstana88-89
16/10/20ABaskonia60-77
14/10/20AReal Madrid85-94
10/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas70-84
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
20/09/20HZenit Petersburg67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.088.566.0
Allowed / game92.789.0100.0
Point differential-11.7-0.5-34.0
Avg total173.7177.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game84.882.388.5
Allowed / game83.080.786.5
Point differential+1.8+1.7+2.0
Avg total167.8163.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg440100%89.274.2+15.0
2 Unics Kazan220100%88.073.5+14.5
3 Parma Perm220100%95.082.5+12.5
4 Lokomotiv Kuban54180%74.066.6+7.4
5 CSKA Moscow43175%95.575.8+19.8
6 Nizhny Novgorod32167%86.783.7+3.0
7 Minsk21150%79.592.5-13.0
8 Khimki M.52340%84.883.0+1.8
9 Saratov31233%81.092.7-11.7
10 Astana41325%79.297.2-18.0
11 Zielona Gora4040%85.595.0-9.5
12 Enisey3030%74.084.3-10.3
13 BC Kalev/Cramo3030%52.367.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2018182985
Khimki M.1925211782
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