PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-85
25-25 24-16 21-16 24-28
Position#7
Record0-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Khimki M.
14 Oct 2020
MAD94
KHM85
15 Nov 2018
MAD79
KHM74
02 Nov 2017
MAD80
KHM86
07 Apr 2016
MAD83
KHM70
18 Nov 2015
MAD82
KHM85
23 Nov 2012
MAD104
KHM81
02 Dec 2009
MAD70
KHM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#2
W
95-68
95
68
+27
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H13/09
Supercopa ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
16-9
33-24
24-24
26-13
17-15
25-14
27-26
23-18
25-24
22-17
22-20
18-14
13-18
19-17
22-18
25-21
16-20
25-12
20-17
26-13
21-28
28-17
27-25
20-9
22-14
21-12
24-29
16-15
13-18
20-19
14-24
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
158.8Avg total
85.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.084.5154.5-14.50%
Season at home (1)77.093.0170.0-16.00%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.573.3158.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)83.876.2160.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.084.2164.2-4.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.775.6163.3+12.291%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A02/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
20-23
29-25
22-17
29-31
26-20
22-26
21-17
24-24
23-13
29-22
15-29
21-16
22-19
24-13
12-26
15-18
20-19
20-14
12-28
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
20-17
12-24
16-26
22-17
168.0Avg total
84.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Season at home (2)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.883.2168.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.080.3151.3-9.30%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (25)93.880.2174.0+13.592%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
Real MadridKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/09
Supercopa ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
73.6Avg total
39.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.479.5+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.239.882.0+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.177.2+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.873.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.075.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.241.079.2-2.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.037.378.3+3.861%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/10
Euroleague
85.9Avg total
43.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.386.9+6.480%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.538.784.2+6.779%-
Last 30 away (11)48.642.991.5+5.782%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.885.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.339.775.0-4.30%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (25)48.439.988.2+8.592%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.6
60.7%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.2
40.1%
38.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.9
79.3%
79.3%11.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
38.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.9
75.8%
79.3%16.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWWWW
Khimki M.
LWLWLLWWWW
#7
League position
#18
+12.2
Net rating
-3.7
117.2
Offensive rating
104.0
105.0
Defensive rating
107.8
60.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.1%
3-point %
32.9%
61.0%
Assist %
73.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 104.0Defence105.0 · 107.8Shooting60.5% · 49.8%3-point %40.1% · 32.9%Ball care19.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Khimki M. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93
02/10/20ABaskonia63-76
27/09/20AJoventut Badalona87-64
25/09/20HBasket Zaragoza102-83
19/09/20AGipuzkoa86-70
13/09/20HBarcelona72-67
12/09/20ATenerife92-79
16/02/20AUnicaja95-68
15/02/20HValencia91-68
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas70-84
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
20/09/20HZenit Petersburg67-79
09/03/20HSaratov79-74
14/02/20AAstana91-88
10/02/20HNizhny Novgorod98-94
02/02/20AUnics Kazan98-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.077.063.0
Allowed / game84.593.076.0
Point differential-14.5-16.0-13.0
Avg total154.5170.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%75.768.7+7.0
2 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
3 Fenerbahce32167%78.070.7+7.3
4 Bayern32167%84.778.3+6.3
5 Olympiacos32167%77.071.3+5.7
6 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
7 Barcelona32167%72.368.7+3.7
8 Olimpia Milano32167%81.079.3+1.7
9 CSKA Moscow32167%73.375.0-1.7
10 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
11 Panathinaikos21150%74.577.0-2.5
12 Anadolu Efes31233%77.775.0+2.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%78.078.0+0.0
14 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
15 Khimki M.2020%73.081.0-8.0
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
17 Real Madrid2020%70.084.5-14.5
18 Alba Berlin3030%72.387.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2524212494
Khimki M.2516162885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.