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Baskonia vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-60
15-18 20-18 19-11 23-13
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#18
Record0-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · Baskonia v Khimki M.
16 Oct 2020
BAS77
KHM60
08 Mar 2019
BAS104
KHM86
01 Mar 2018
BAS87
KHM77
10 Mar 2016
BAS98
KHM83
01 Feb 2013
BAS71
KHM83
09 Dec 2010
BAS89
KHM81
11 Feb 2010
BAS71
KHM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H12/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H20/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/09
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H04/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A09/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-19
25-13
17-25
22-20
19-17
21-22
25-20
14-22
14-13
17-25
23-12
25-16
19-19
14-20
18-18
23-13
18-14
27-32
21-14
16-19
22-28
19-11
29-26
15-16
18-13
19-20
24-14
15-21
20-21
18-17
22-24
16-23
15-13
18-29
24-25
16-23
22-25
31-18
20-25
159.1Avg total
80.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.576.5151.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)80.678.5159.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)79.882.2162.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.385.4165.7-5.129%
vs Similar (5)79.074.2153.2+4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.678.6167.2+9.982%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
26-20
22-26
21-17
24-24
23-13
29-22
15-29
21-16
22-19
24-13
12-26
15-18
20-19
20-14
12-28
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
20-17
12-24
16-26
22-17
25-25
16-24
16-21
28-24
167.3Avg total
83.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.085.3162.3-8.30%
Season at home (2)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Season away (1)85.094.0179.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)83.583.8167.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.081.4164.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.583.8158.2-9.20%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (24)94.179.7173.8+14.496%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
BaskoniaKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H12/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A24/09
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H02/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H04/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/10
ACB
74.9Avg total
37.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.378.2+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.478.8+4.176%-
Last 30 away (13)37.839.577.4-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.574.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.475.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.641.485.0+2.171%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.637.177.6+3.565%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
42.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.687.3+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.738.884.5+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)48.043.491.4+4.675%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.185.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.085.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.842.078.8-5.20%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (24)48.740.088.6+8.792%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.4
51.1%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
38.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
79.3%16.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.8
33.3%
38.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
79.3%16.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWWWWLWW
Khimki M.
LLWLWLLWWW
#10
League position
#18
+5.7
Net rating
-4.2
108.8
Offensive rating
104.4
103.1
Defensive rating
108.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.8%
3-point %
33.3%
62.4%
Assist %
71.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 104.4Defence103.1 · 108.5Shooting52.1% · 50.2%3-point %35.8% · 33.3%Ball care19.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
08/03/19Baskonia v Khimki M.104-86
27/12/18Khimki M. v Baskonia77-85
01/03/18Baskonia v Khimki M.87-77
10/11/17Khimki M. v Baskonia91-90
10/03/16Baskonia v Khimki M.98-83
15/01/16Khimki M. v Baskonia76-68
29/03/13Khimki M. v Baskonia82-86
01/02/13Baskonia v Khimki M.71-83
09/12/10Baskonia v Khimki M.89-81
03/11/10Khimki M. v Baskonia64-60
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20ASan Pablo Burgos89-91
09/10/20ACrvena zvezda73-90
04/10/20HMurcia75-83
02/10/20HReal Madrid76-63
26/09/20AEstudiantes86-84
24/09/20AFuenlabrada89-73
20/09/20HValencia76-73
12/09/20HBarcelona68-72
11/05/19HSan Pablo Burgos87-79
09/05/19AGipuzkoa87-77
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20AReal Madrid85-94
10/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas70-84
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
20/09/20HZenit Petersburg67-79
09/03/20HSaratov79-74
14/02/20AAstana91-88
10/02/20HNizhny Novgorod98-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.576.073.0
Allowed / game76.563.090.0
Point differential-2.0+13.0-17.0
Avg total151.0139.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.073.085.0
Allowed / game85.381.094.0
Point differential-8.3-8.0-9.0
Avg total162.3154.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%79.069.8+9.2
2 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
3 Bayern43175%82.276.5+5.8
4 Olympiacos43175%79.074.0+5.0
5 Barcelona43175%78.573.8+4.8
6 Olimpia Milano43175%80.277.0+3.2
7 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
8 Fenerbahce42250%76.271.8+4.5
9 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
10 CSKA Moscow42250%77.079.5-2.5
11 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
12 Panathinaikos31233%79.383.7-4.3
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%79.079.8-0.8
14 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
15 Real Madrid41325%76.083.0-7.0
16 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
18 Khimki M.3030%77.085.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1520192377
Khimki M.1818111360
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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