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Saratov vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 105-81
22-21 22-26 25-21 36-13
Position#5
Record8-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game79.8
Saratov 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record8-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#21
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H15/12
VTB United League
Leiden
#22
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#6
L
83-100 OT
83
100
-17
A23/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A05/01
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#2
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Parma Perm
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H13/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H19/01
VTB United League
Kataja
#21
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H28/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
23-20
23-12
25-16
19-27
24-30
28-16
24-21
16-15
31-13
25-19
25-25
20-14
25-20
17-22
16-22
24-17
28-21
20-19
21-29
19-12
14-17
18-22
20-9
25-16
26-26
23-17
19-17
20-23
19-25
33-20
23-34
27-16
20-27
26-21
7-24
23-26
24-24
23-21
22-29
173.2Avg total
89.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.479.8172.2+12.680%
Season at home (5)92.470.2162.6+22.2100%
Season away (5)92.489.4181.8+3.060%
Last 10 (10)89.783.5173.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)86.285.2171.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.092.1177.1-7.133%
vs Similar (9)86.183.7169.8+2.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.583.2177.8+11.275%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A06/01
DBL
Kataja
#21
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H12/01
NBB Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A13/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H16/01
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A20/01
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
97-55
97
55
+42
A27/01
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
22-21
15-10
27-19
24-20
23-26
18-17
18-14
23-12
20-12
14-25
24-22
18-13
20-16
19-16
30-27
16-12
28-19
24-9
21-16
11-19
18-25
25-30
35-13
31-18
15-16
24-18
26-23
18-22
20-21
16-12
25-18
27-17
22-22
30-20
10-26
21-6
25-11
31-21
20-17
161.2Avg total
88.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.278.9156.1-1.867%
Season at home (7)81.479.9161.3+1.671%
Season away (5)71.277.6148.8-6.460%
Last 10 (10)88.173.1161.2+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.186.9162.0-11.743%
vs Similar (8)82.875.6158.4+7.188%
vs Weaker (14)91.170.9162.0+20.3100%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
SaratovLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#21
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H15/12
VTB United League
Leiden
#22
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A23/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/01
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Parma Perm
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H13/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/01
VTB United League
Kataja
#21
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H28/01
VTB United League
85.2Avg total
45.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.786.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.788.1+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.342.784.9-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.885.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.044.885.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.441.189.5+7.375%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A06/01
DBL
Kataja
#21
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/01
NBB Cup
Amsterdam
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A13/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/01
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/01
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
46-17
46
17
+29
A27/01
DBL
78.7Avg total
42.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.436.579.0+5.976%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.137.480.5+5.688%-
Last 30 away (13)41.735.477.1+6.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.935.878.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.335.772.0+0.657%-
vs Similar (8)43.036.179.1+6.9100%-
vs Weaker (14)45.237.182.4+8.171%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saratov wins
0
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
19/12/18Leiden v Saratov72-97
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/19HKhimki M.92-100
23/01/19AKataja80-88
19/01/19HLokomotiv Kuban95-102
13/01/19HParma Perm93-76
09/01/19HBakken Bears71-60
05/01/19AMinsk93-86
23/12/18AAstana83-100 OT
19/12/18ALeiden97-72
15/12/18HZenit Petersburg95-94
12/12/18HKataja98-57
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19ABAL Weert97-55
23/01/19HBakken Bears89-85
20/01/19ADordrecht79-73
16/01/19HLWD Basket96-75
13/01/19AAmsterdam89-87
12/01/19HAmsterdam89-56
09/01/19HKataja87-72
06/01/19AZwolle81-71
03/01/19HDonar Groningen83-77
31/12/18ARotterdam91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game92.492.492.4
Allowed / game79.870.289.4
Point differential+12.6+22.2+3.0
Avg total172.2162.6181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game77.281.471.2
Allowed / game78.979.977.6
Point differential-1.8+1.6-6.4
Avg total156.1161.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Varese109190%86.871.9+14.9
2 Sassari1210283%94.078.1+15.9
3 Bakken Bears108280%99.377.4+21.9
4 Saratov108280%92.479.8+12.6
5 s.Oliver Wurzburg108280%86.474.9+11.5
6 Alba Fehervar129375%83.777.7+6.0
7 Karsiyaka107370%86.078.3+7.7
8 Nes Ziona1510567%91.984.8+7.1
9 Leiden128467%77.278.9-1.8
10 Balkan138562%80.076.2+3.8
11 Donar Groningen106460%77.075.0+2.0
12 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
13 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
14 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
15 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
16 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
17 Lukoil Levski105550%81.884.2-2.4
18 Szolnoki Olaj105550%82.184.9-2.8
19 Kataja147750%80.884.0-3.2
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Z-Mobile Prishtina105550%82.788.2-5.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
26 AEK Larnaca104640%72.781.7-9.0
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov22222536105
Leiden2126211381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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