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Sassari vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-81
30-21 20-30 19-17 24-13
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game77.4
Sassari 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
114-73
114
73
+41
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H06/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/01
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
19-16
33-16
34-27
31-13
25-20
26-22
13-16
24-20
27-19
25-24
26-34
24-18
17-22
28-21
27-28
31-23
15-22
23-20
28-23
27-21
23-19
14-24
18-7
24-13
19-16
27-19
27-26
14-21
19-25
22-24
18-14
18-15
20-14
26-23
15-17
20-18
23-29
25-19
23-25
175.2Avg total
93.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.877.4170.2+15.585%
Season at home (6)96.875.5172.3+21.383%
Season away (7)89.479.0168.4+10.486%
Last 10 (10)93.381.9175.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.087.6174.6-0.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.379.7171.0+11.673%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#7
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A22/12
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H29/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A05/01
Division A
Sassari
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H16/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H19/01
Division A
Varese
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H26/01
Division A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
14-21
21-22
22-16
18-9
16-14
18-22
19-10
24-14
18-28
22-18
17-25
18-24
22-17
21-28
28-27
27-14
18-20
16-12
22-31
28-17
16-14
20-19
19-19
21-13
23-18
18-16
22-17
22-21
17-14
12-19
8-20
20-19
18-18
20-18
18-4
29-11
14-16
18-20
19-23
151.6Avg total
78.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.480.6154.0-7.345%
Season at home (6)69.577.7147.2-8.233%
Season away (5)78.084.2162.2-6.260%
Last 10 (10)78.772.9151.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)76.467.2143.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.080.5152.5-8.538%
vs Similar (4)76.074.8150.8+1.275%
vs Weaker (13)79.569.3148.8+10.285%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
SassariAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/01
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/02
Lega A
82.6Avg total
44.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.382.1+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.437.983.3+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.338.881.1+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.838.879.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.938.283.0+6.777%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H29/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A05/01
Division A
Sassari
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H19/01
Division A
Varese
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
Division A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
75.0Avg total
40.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.675.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.972.0+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.679.2-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.734.375.0+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.273.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.438.576.9-0.238%-
vs Similar (4)32.541.874.2-9.225%-
vs Weaker (13)38.835.474.2+3.454%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.2
53.6%
52.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.9
36.8%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
73.3%14.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sassari wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
09/01/19AEK Larnaca v Sassari89-96
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19HBrindisi98-103 OT
30/01/19AVarese79-69
27/01/19AVarese73-84
23/01/19HDonar Groningen97-74
20/01/19HReggiana82-71
12/01/19ACantu97-88
09/01/19AAEK Larnaca96-89
06/01/19HTrieste102-97
30/12/18ABrescia95-71
26/12/18HPesaro114-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19ADonar Groningen80-70
26/01/19HOmonia76-59
23/01/19HVarese59-74
19/01/19HETHA Engomi84-64
16/01/19HApoel BC83-69
12/01/19HOmonia83-77
09/01/19HSassari89-96
05/01/19AApollon81-85
29/12/18HParalimni71-55
22/12/18AAEL81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game92.896.889.4
Allowed / game77.475.579.0
Point differential+15.5+21.3+10.4
Avg total170.2172.3168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game73.469.578.0
Allowed / game80.677.784.2
Point differential-7.3-8.2-6.2
Avg total154.0147.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari1311285%92.877.4+15.5
2 Saratov1210283%96.283.6+12.6
3 s.Oliver Wurzburg1210283%88.376.9+11.4
4 Varese119282%85.272.5+12.6
5 Bakken Bears129375%101.679.8+21.8
6 Nes Ziona1611569%92.284.5+7.7
7 Alba Fehervar149564%83.179.4+3.7
8 Karsiyaka127558%85.880.8+5.0
9 Lukoil Levski127558%83.984.2-0.2
10 Balkan148657%80.678.2+2.4
11 Leiden148657%77.681.7-4.1
12 Donar Groningen116555%76.475.5+0.9
13 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
14 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
15 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
16 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
17 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
18 Szolnoki Olaj126650%82.884.8-2.0
19 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
20 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
21 Kataja168850%80.184.9-4.8
22 Z-Mobile Prishtina126650%82.187.4-5.3
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 AEK Larnaca115645%73.480.6-7.3
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari3020192493
AEK Larnaca2130171381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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