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Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-73
21-14 25-19 24-22 14-18
Position#7
Record9-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
W
77-60
77
60
+17
110avg 118
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
93avg 118
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
182avg 118
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
179avg 118
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
96avg 118
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
101avg 118
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
17-15
21-19
17-12
24-27
15-23
24-27
27-10
12-17
16-20
21-14
18-21
37-18
17-19
18-17
17-17
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
151.4Avg total
78.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.573.9151.4+3.656%
Season at home (8)82.674.8157.4+7.975%
Season away (8)72.473.0145.4-0.638%
Last 10 (10)78.572.9151.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)72.872.2145.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.771.3143.0+0.440%
vs Weaker (19)83.474.1157.4+9.368%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
108avg 129
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
114-73
114
73
+41
219avg 129
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
127avg 129
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
102-97
102
97
+5
140avg 129
H06/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
97-88
97
88
+9
123avg 129
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
115avg 129
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-24
22-23
28-23
27-24
23-15
27-24
10-27
22-24
18-23
18-20
20-19
28-14
19-16
33-16
34-27
31-13
25-20
26-22
13-16
24-20
27-19
25-24
26-34
24-18
17-22
28-21
27-28
31-23
15-22
23-20
28-23
27-21
23-19
14-24
18-7
24-13
19-16
27-19
27-26
180.0Avg total
95.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.283.0172.2+6.256%
Season at home (8)95.686.1181.8+9.562%
Season away (8)82.879.9162.6+2.950%
Last 10 (10)95.484.6180.0+10.870%
Last 5 (5)94.883.8178.6+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.685.9172.4+0.743%
vs Weaker (23)93.179.7172.8+13.574%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
76.6Avg total
37.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.575.6+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.836.078.8+6.892%-
Last 30 away (17)36.436.973.2-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.176.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.272.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.234.769.9+0.570%-
vs Weaker (19)41.236.777.9+4.568%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
85.2Avg total
46.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.982.6+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.936.583.4+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.785.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.684.8+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.037.477.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker (23)46.138.084.1+8.078%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.8
49.2%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
72.3%11.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
72.3%15.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWLWWLWW
Sassari
WWWWWWWLLL
#7
League position
#4
+8.2
Net rating
+10.3
109.6
Offensive rating
119.0
101.4
Defensive rating
108.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
37.4%
58.8%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 119.0Defence101.4 · 108.7Shooting49.6% · 54.8%3-point %33.4% · 37.4%Ball care14.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds34.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
19/12/18Sassari v Varese87-90
14/10/18Sassari v Varese71-60
25/03/18Sassari v Varese87-91
19/11/17Varese v Sassari61-82
22/01/17Varese v Sassari76-83
03/10/16Sassari v Varese78-72
07/02/16Sassari v Varese91-69
26/10/15Varese v Sassari70-86
19/04/15Sassari v Varese71-79
26/12/14Varese v Sassari113-117 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78
25/12/18HCantu89-71
23/12/18AOlimpia Milano67-72
19/12/18ASassari90-87
16/12/18HTorino77-60
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/19HDonar Groningen97-74
20/01/19HReggiana82-71
12/01/19ACantu97-88
09/01/19AAEK Larnaca96-89
06/01/19HTrieste102-97
30/12/18ABrescia95-71
26/12/18HPesaro114-73
23/12/18AAvellino78-86
19/12/18HVarese87-90
16/12/18HOlimpia Milano106-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game77.582.672.4
Allowed / game73.974.873.0
Point differential+3.6+7.9-0.6
Avg total151.4157.4145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game89.295.682.8
Allowed / game83.086.179.9
Point differential+6.2+9.5+2.9
Avg total172.2181.8162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%90.980.7+10.2
2 Venezia1712571%81.570.5+11.0
3 Cremona1711665%87.582.6+4.8
4 Avellino1711665%81.581.1+0.5
5 Brindisi1710759%81.077.4+3.6
6 Sassari169756%89.283.0+6.2
7 Varese169756%77.573.9+3.6
8 Virtus Bologna179853%81.182.7-1.6
9 Trieste178947%86.184.7+1.4
10 Brescia178947%78.279.3-1.1
11 Trento1771041%78.082.1-4.1
12 Cantu1771041%83.888.4-4.6
13 Pesaro1761135%82.192.4-10.3
14 Reggiana1751229%79.282.6-3.4
15 Torino1741324%82.487.9-5.5
16 Pistoia1741324%77.887.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2125241484
Sassari1419221873
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