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Sassari W vs Derthona Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 65-86
22-24 21-21 10-17 12-24
Position#7
Record5-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game74.8
Sassari W
Italy
vs
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game67.6
ItalySerie A1 WRound 13· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
61-51
61
51
+10
59avg 59
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#2
L
44-86
44
86
-42
27avg 59
A01/11
Serie A1 W
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 59
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
62avg 59
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
34avg 59
A23/11
Serie A1 W
KP Brno W
#24
L
0-20
0
20
-20
66avg 59
H27/11
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 59
H30/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 59
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
54avg 59
A07/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 59
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
10-10
17-14
15-10
10-17
14-28
9-22
11-19
26-14
10-22
21-22
10-26
20-20
17-21
15-19
16-16
20-27
9-21
18-27
4-19
–
–
–
–
32-22
22-10
16-14
16-26
14-14
24-21
16-14
15-16
14-16
19-30
17-15
16-27
19-14
9-19
13-15
25-20
128.2Avg total
57.8Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.374.8143.1-6.545%
Season at home (5)74.070.6144.6+3.460%
Season away (6)63.578.3141.8-14.833%
Last 10 (10)57.870.4128.2-12.630%
Last 5 (5)57.462.6120.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)60.278.4138.5-18.215%
vs Similar (5)69.075.8144.8-6.820%
vs Weaker (12)73.665.8139.4+7.875%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 66
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
46avg 66
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 66
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 66
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 66
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 66
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 66
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-38
87
38
+49
94avg 66
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 66
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
62avg 66
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
7-26
17-16
29-17
14-25
19-15
9-9
15-12
14-16
10-23
12-23
21-10
25-21
22-19
20-21
18-22
13-26
23-18
24-27
31-13
20-19
21-21
20-16
25-21
16-22
18-21
17-22
15-14
21-15
28-15
20-3
18-5
15-13
30-13
19-14
20-23
25-9
8-16
16-15
20-9
143.0Avg total
75.1Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.467.6141.0+5.755%
Season at home (5)73.661.8135.4+11.860%
Season away (6)73.272.5145.7+0.750%
Last 10 (10)75.167.9143.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)78.461.2139.6+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.575.5137.0-14.00%
vs Similar (4)66.563.8130.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.169.9150.0+10.371%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
Sassari WDerthona Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A01/11
Serie A1 W
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H30/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/12
Serie A1 W
72.3Avg total
34.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.336.372.7-0.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.933.974.8+7.157%-
Last 30 away (15)32.038.770.7-6.727%-
Last 10 (9)34.238.172.3-3.933%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.641.275.8-6.625%-
vs Similar (5)35.436.071.4-0.620%-
vs Weaker (12)38.431.770.1+6.767%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
73.2Avg total
36.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.135.672.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (7)36.633.470.0+3.157%-
Last 30 away (7)37.637.975.4-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.773.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.873.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)34.234.568.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.437.376.7+2.157%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.914.9
41.5%
46.7%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.1
71.6%
72.6%10.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.0
46.3%
46.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
30.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.99.9
71.2%
72.6%9.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari W
LLWWLLLLLW
Derthona Basket W
WWWLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#4
-13.7
Net rating
+9.2
88.7
Offensive rating
103.4
102.4
Defensive rating
94.2
46.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
22.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.8%
3-point %
35.6%
65.9%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 103.4Defence102.4 · 94.2Shooting46.3% · 49.0%3-point %35.8% · 35.6%Ball care22.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds22.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sassari W   ■ Derthona Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sassari W wins
0
Derthona Basket W wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Derthona Basket W v Sassari W69-73
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ASan Martino W66-68
07/12/25ARoseto W66-88
03/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-65
30/11/25HBattipaglia W86-72
27/11/25HKP Brno W0-20
23/11/25ASchio W51-94
08/11/25HCampobasso W68-76
05/11/25HLattes Montpellier W67-84
01/11/25AVenezia W44-86
30/10/25ARagusa Dubrovnik W61-51
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-49
14/12/25ABroni W84-63
06/12/25HBrixia W87-38
03/12/25ASchio W66-79
29/11/25HRoseto W86-77
23/11/25ASan Martino W91-84
02/11/25ABattipaglia W85-83
26/10/25HVenezia W57-72
19/10/25ACampobasso W57-61
11/10/25HSassari W69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game68.374.063.5
Allowed / game74.870.678.3
Point differential-6.5+3.4-14.8
Avg total143.1144.6141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game73.473.673.2
Allowed / game67.661.872.5
Point differential+5.7+11.8+0.7
Avg total141.0135.4145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W11110100%82.153.8+28.3
2 Venezia W1110191%76.459.5+16.9
3 Campobasso W118373%71.460.9+10.5
4 Derthona Basket W116555%73.467.6+5.7
5 San Giovanni W116555%64.462.7+1.6
6 Sassari W115645%68.374.8-6.5
7 Broni W104640%65.074.6-9.6
8 Roseto W114736%70.275.6-5.5
9 San Martino W113827%66.475.5-9.2
10 Brixia W112918%58.576.4-17.9
11 Battipaglia W111109%62.677.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari W2221101265
Derthona Basket W2421172486
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