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Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-76
21-19 25-23 22-16 23-18
Position-
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Saudi Arabia 🏆
vs
Iraq
Position-
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Lusail Sports Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Saudi Arabia v Iraq
30 Jul 2025
SAUD91
IRAQ76
25 Nov 2024
SAUD66
IRAQ58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 69
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
62avg 69
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
50avg 69
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 69
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
16-11
29-15
18-29
6-25
21-17
9-23
21-11
19-23
27-13
19-19
14-19
11-23
23-22
10-31
16-16
17-13
10-16
17-16
20-13
18-16
20-23
11-20
15-20
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
144.3Avg total
71.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.972.4144.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)72.870.4143.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.380.9142.2-19.68%
vs Similar (4)76.875.8152.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)77.364.8142.1+12.592%
IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 64
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 64
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 64
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 64
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 64
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
85-72
85
72
+13
92avg 64
A23/03
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
30-22
23-13
18-25
14-12
143.4Avg total
71.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.971.5143.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.673.4145.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.273.1139.3-6.920%
vs Similar (9)76.878.8155.6-2.044%
vs Weaker (10)75.776.8152.5-1.140%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
Saudi ArabiaIraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.472.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.736.774.4+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)32.738.270.9-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.541.270.6-11.78%-
vs Similar (4)44.838.583.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (13)38.433.371.7+5.169%-
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/03
Asia Cup
73.8Avg total
38.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.736.873.6-0.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.172.7-1.653%-
Last 30 away (14)38.036.574.5+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.073.8+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.334.971.2+1.470%-
vs Similar (9)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker (10)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.2
50.8%
55.4%32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.0
26.4%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.0
65.1%
74.1%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.9%
55.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.2
24.7%
34.4%15.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.6
63.9%
74.1%14.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 30 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
WLWWLWLWLW
Iraq
WLLWLLWLWW
+3.4
Net rating
-3.6
95.2
Offensive rating
93.4
91.8
Defensive rating
97.0
45.3%
Effective FG%
44.7%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
26.4%
3-point %
24.7%
60.7%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 93.4Defence91.8 · 97.0Shooting45.3% · 44.7%3-point %26.4% · 24.7%Ball care21.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Iraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saudi Arabia wins
0
Iraq wins
DateGameScore
25/11/24Saudi Arabia v Iraq66-58
23/02/24Iraq v Saudi Arabia58-64
Saudi Arabialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58
22/11/24APalestine73-66
26/02/24HJordan64-79
23/02/24AIraq64-58
06/10/23AIran60-92
04/10/23HJapan79-74
03/10/23AJordan57-76
02/10/23HHong Kong95-72
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ABahrain85-72
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Iraq
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saudi Arabia2125222391
Iraq1923161876
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