SeaHorses Mikawa vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 06:05

Projected 93-79

Projected total 172.1

Final 111-70

34-16 29-17 22-27 26-10

Position#3

Record10-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game80.7

SeaHorses Mikawa 🏆

88%

12%

■ SEAH 88%■ TOYA 12%

Pythia win probability

Toyama

Position#11

Record9-7

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game87.0

B League· Sky Hall Toyota

Other2026-27

Meetings · SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

SeaHorses Mikawa host Toyama on 14 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model names Mikawa as the clear favourite with an 88% chance of victory, reflecting their 10-3 season record, 90.4 points per game and 80.7 allowed, and a fourth-place league position, while Toyama sits 11th with a 9-7 record, 83.4 points per game and 87.0 allowed. Mikawa have won 4 of 5 home games, scoring 90.8 and allowing 85.6, and have won four of their last five, including a 91-86 win over Shinshu and a 96-91 win over Shiga, though they fell 83-90 to Gunma. Toyama have gone 6-2 on the road, averaging 91.6 points and conceding 89.2, and have won three of their last five, with a recent 91-77 victory over Osaka but losses to Shimane and Diamond Dolphins. Historically Mikawa have dominated the rivalry, winning all ten meetings and their last encounter 99-56 on 18 October. Pythia projects a 93-79 score, 172.1 total points, and a 57% chance that Mikawa will cover the -11.5 line, while the over on 170.5 has a 53% probability; the game has a 3% chance of overtime. The final game-time result will hinge on whether Toyama can overcome Mikawa's defensive edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SeaHorses Mikawa winWon

87.9%fair 1.14

Best odds1.17

Implied81.6%

Edge+6.3pp

Toyama winLost

12.1%fair 8.29

Best odds5.11

Implied18.4%

Edge-6.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SeaHorses Mikawa Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMikawa

Date

Competition

Osaka

#26

101-57

101

+44

98avg 79

A04/10

B League

Sendai

90-105

105

-15

85avg 79

A09/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

89-81

84avg 79

A11/10

B League

Toyama

#11

99-56

+43

102avg 79

A18/10

B League

Alvark

91-82

93avg 79

A24/10

B League

Saga

#25

100-83

100

+17

106avg 79

H31/10

B League

Saga

#25

84-78

80avg 79

H01/11

B League

Gunma

83-90

-7

no box

H06/11

B League

Shiga

#16

96-91

no box

H08/11

B League

Shinshu

#20

91-86

no box

H10/11

B League

17-6

25-19

29-11

30-21

27-27

21-36

18-21

24-21

25-14

21-22

18-19

25-26

24-18

19-14

36-16

20-8

23-19

21-18

15-18

32-27

37-16

21-31

24-11

18-25

21-13

15-28

21-16

27-21

14-22

15-27

23-19

31-22

23-30

20-21

30-19

23-21

20-26

20-24

20-11

31-25

173.3Avg total

92.4Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	90.4	80.7	171.1	+9.7	77%
Season at home (5)	90.8	85.6	176.4	+5.2	80%
Season away (8)	90.1	77.6	167.8	+12.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	80.9	173.3	+11.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	85.6	176.4	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	83.9	80.6	164.5	+3.3	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	87.4	79.3	166.7	+8.1	84%

This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toyama

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormToyama

Date

Competition

Altiri Chiba

#19

94-74

+20

92avg 75

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

56-99

-43

39avg 75

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

105-87

105

+18

103avg 75

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#18

82-79

72avg 75

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

61-83

-22

47avg 75

H26/10

B League

Chiba

#14

100-93

100

95avg 75

A31/10

B League

Chiba

#14

83-78

84avg 75

A01/11

B League

Diamond Dolphins

80-93

-13

no box

H07/11

B League

Shimane

#18

75-108

108

-33

no box

A09/11

B League

Osaka

#26

91-77

+14

no box

H12/11

B League

21-21

28-21

25-18

20-14

18-24

14-19

16-36

8-20

17-17

22-23

36-24

30-23

20-17

29-20

14-16

19-26

19-18

17-25

9-25

16-15

27-34

30-19

24-11

19-29

20-19

26-10

19-23

18-26

15-22

20-23

27-26

18-22

13-20

20-32

23-26

19-30

18-29

21-10

26-13

26-25

169.8Avg total

82.7Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.4	87.0	170.4	-3.6	56%
Season at home (8)	75.1	84.8	159.9	-9.6	38%
Season away (8)	91.6	89.2	180.9	+2.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	87.1	169.8	-4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	89.8	175.6	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	78.5	87.4	165.9	-8.9	38%
vs Similar (6)	94.3	85.8	180.2	+8.5	83%
vs Weaker (3)	89.0	75.3	164.3	+13.7	100%

This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5

Over 165.5

65.3%

@ 1.39-0.7pp

Under 165.5

34.7%

@ 2.70+0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

Under

Betano

2.70

Over/Under 170.5 · main lineActual: Over 170.5

Over 170.5

53.4%

@ 1.85-3.9pp

Under 170.5

46.6%

@ 2.25+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.79

Betano

1.60

BetVictor

1.60

Marathon Be

1.57

Under

Bet365

2.25

BetVictor

2.20

Betano

2.15

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 175.5Actual: Over 175.5

Over 175.5

41.3%

@ 2.05-5.2pp

Under 175.5

58.7%

@ 1.78+5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.05

BetVictor

2.00

Betano

1.98

Bet365

1.95

Marathon Be

1.91

Under

Pinnacle

1.78

Bet365

1.74

Marathon Be

1.73

BetVictor

1.73

Betano

1.72

📊 3. Team Totals

SeaHorses Mikawa total 87.5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa over 87.5

Over 87.5

70.2%

@ 1.43+4.8pp

Under 87.5

29.8%

@ 2.72-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.31

Under

1xBet

2.72

Betano

2.65

Bet365

2.65

SeaHorses Mikawa total 91.5 · main lineActual: SeaHorses Mikawa over 91.5

Over 91.5

55.1%

@ 1.83+3.4pp

Under 91.5

44.9%

@ 2.00-3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.58

Under

Betano

2.00

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

SeaHorses Mikawa total 95.5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa over 95.5

Over 95.5

39.1%

@ 2.35-1.2pp

Under 95.5

60.9%

@ 1.54+1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.11

Under

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.48

Toyama total 76.5Actual: Toyama under 76.5

Over 76.5

60.5%

@ 1.40-5.6pp

Under 76.5

39.5%

@ 2.72+5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.33

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.62

Toyama total 80.5 · main lineActual: Toyama under 80.5

Over 80.5

44.8%

@ 1.83-6.6pp

Under 80.5

55.2%

@ 1.93+6.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.77

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.62

Under

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Toyama total 84.5Actual: Toyama under 84.5

Over 84.5

30.0%

@ 2.40-8.7pp

Under 84.5

70.0%

@ 1.52+8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.19

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -14.5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa -14.5

SEAH -14.5

45.9%

@ 2.50+6.2pp

TOYA +14.5

54.1%

@ 1.57-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

SEAH

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.27

Betano

2.27

BetVictor

2.25

TOYA

BetVictor

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.51

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.45

Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -11.5 · main lineActual: SeaHorses Mikawa -11.5

SEAH -11.5

56.7%

@ 1.95+7.1pp

TOYA +11.5

43.3%

@ 1.89-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

SEAH

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.92

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.85

TOYA

Pinnacle

1.89

Betfair

1.83

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -8.5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa -8.5

SEAH -8.5

67.1%

@ 1.64+6.0pp

TOYA +8.5

32.9%

@ 2.43-6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

SEAH

Bet365

1.64

Betano

1.57

BetVictor

1.57

Marathon Be

1.55

Pinnacle

1.55

TOYA

Pinnacle

2.43

BetVictor

2.25

1xBet

2.22

Betano

2.20

Bet365

2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SeaHorses MikawaToyama

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.3	47%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.7	33%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+3.9	60%	27%
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.0	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.7	40.3	+0.8	36%	9%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	53%	37%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	44%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.9	42.4	-3.3	29%	21%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.5	22.0	41.6	-2.5	33%	24%
vs Similar (6)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	50%	17%
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	33%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	40%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	26.2	44.4	-8.0	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	55%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	32%	53%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+1.0	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	31%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	22.3	46.9	+2.3	64%	79%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.9	29%	43%
vs Similar (6)	28.7	20.0	48.7	+8.7	100%	83%
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	16.7	38.7	+5.3	67%	33%

SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osaka

#26

42-25

+17

A04/10

B League

Sendai

48-63

-15

A09/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

46-36

+10

A11/10

B League

Toyama

#11

43-32

+11

A18/10

B League

Alvark

44-37

A24/10

B League

Saga

#25

58-47

+11

H31/10

B League

Saga

#25

36-41

-5

H01/11

B League

Gunma

29-49

-20

H06/11

B League

Shiga

#16

43-51

-8

H08/11

B League

Shinshu

#20

40-50

-10

H10/11

B League

86.0Avg total

42.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.3	83.3	+0.7	53%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	40%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	41.6	85.3	+2.1	67%	47%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	43.1	86.0	-0.2	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.2	47.6	88.8	-6.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	55%	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.9	42.1	84.9	+0.8	53%	47%

This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Altiri Chiba

#19

49-42

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

32-43

-11

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

39-40

-1

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#18

49-37

+12

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

36-43

-7

H26/10

B League

Chiba

#14

57-53

A31/10

B League

Chiba

#14

46-29

+17

A01/11

B League

Diamond Dolphins

35-45

-10

H07/11

B League

Shimane

#18

33-52

-19

A09/11

B League

Osaka

#26

39-39

H12/11

B League

83.8Avg total

41.5Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	41.6	43.1	84.7	-1.4	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	41.2	80.7	-1.8	31%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	45.1	89.3	-1.0	57%	64%
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.3	83.8	-0.8	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.6	85.6	-1.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.4	43.8	83.1	-4.4	33%	38%
vs Similar (6)	49.8	42.3	92.2	+7.5	83%	83%
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	39.7	80.7	+1.3	33%	33%

This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: SeaHorses Mikawa win

SEAH win

no forecast

@ 1.33

TOYA win

no forecast

@ 3.89

1st half Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -6 · main lineActual: SeaHorses Mikawa -6

SEAH -6

no forecast

@ 1.88

TOYA +6

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

SeaHorses Mikawa 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: SeaHorses Mikawa over 46.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Toyama 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Toyama under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half: SEAH + total 85.5

SEAH & over

no forecast

@ 2.65

SEAH & under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: TOYA + total 85.5

TOYA & over

no forecast

@ 6.00

TOYA & under

no forecast

@ 6.00

1st half Over/Under 86.75Actual: Over 86.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -7Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa -7

SEAH -7

no forecast

@ 2.05

TOYA +7

no forecast

@ 1.77

1st half Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa -5

SEAH -5

no forecast

@ 1.74

TOYA +5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 88Actual: Over 88

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.06

1st half Over/Under 89.25Actual: Over 89.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread SeaHorses Mikawa -8.5Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa -8.5

SEAH -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

TOYA +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: SeaHorses Mikawa (regulation)

SEAH

no forecast

@ 1.38

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.50

TOYA

no forecast

@ 3.70

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.2	73%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.9	80%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	16.5	38.4	+5.5	67%	20%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	16.1	39.5	+7.3	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.2	38.8	+8.4	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	55%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.4	16.3	38.6	+6.1	84%	26%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.2	41.4	-0.9	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.0	22.8	41.9	-3.8	38%	52%
vs Similar (6)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	13.0	37.3	+11.3	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	63%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	53%
Last 10 (10)	26.1	21.7	47.8	+4.4	80%	80%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.8	48.8	+3.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	73%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	58%	53%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.0	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	44%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.6	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.4	46.4	-6.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.0	33%	29%
vs Similar (6)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	33%	83%
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	22.7	46.3	+1.0	67%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.75
Last 30 (30)	44.1	38.5	82.6	+5.6	63%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	39.5	83.7	+4.6	67%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	37.5	81.6	+6.7	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	49.5	37.8	87.3	+11.7	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	49.6	38.0	87.6	+11.6	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	43.5	40.6	84.2	+2.9	45%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.5	37.3	81.7	+7.2	74%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.75
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.6	83.3	-1.9	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	42.3	80.6	-4.0	38%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.4	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.8	86.0	-3.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.8	46.2	90.0	-2.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.8	29%	38%
vs Similar (6)	44.5	43.5	88.0	+1.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (3)	48.0	35.7	83.7	+12.3	100%	33%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SEAH win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

TOYA win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SEAH leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TOYA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SEAH:TOYA): SEAH wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
SeaHorses Mikawa -7	72.6%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.57	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa -7.5	70.3%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.50	BetVictor 1.48	1xBet 1.39	+12.1pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa -3.5	81.9%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Toyama under 89.5	84.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Toyama under 87.5	79.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Toyama under 91.5	88.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Toyama under 92.5	89.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa -4.5	79.2%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Toyama under 85.5	73.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 80.5	89.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Toyama under 86.5	76.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Toyama under 93.5	91.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 84.5	79.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Toyama under 88.5	81.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 86.5	73.6%	1.37	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa -6.5	73.4%	1.42	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.44	BetVictor 1.40	1xBet 1.32	-	+8.6pp	Won
Toyama under 90.5	86.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa (regulation)	86.3%	1.15	Betano 1.18	Marathon Bet 1.14	1xBet 1.14	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa -5.5	76.4%	1.32	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 78.5	92.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Toyama under 95.5	93.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 76.5	94.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 81.5	87.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 74.5	96.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Toyama under 97.5	95.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 70.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 82.5	84.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Toyama under 99.5	97.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 71.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 75.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 72.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Toyama under 94.5	92.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa +9.5	97.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa +4.5	93.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 77.5	93.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 73.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 79.5	90.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa win	87.9%	1.15	Betano 1.17	WilliamHill 1.17	Bet365 1.15	BetVictor 1.15	Pinnacle 1.15	+6.3pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 83.5	82.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Toyama under 98.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Under 180.5	70.0%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Toyama under 96.5	94.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Under 181.5	72.1%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 85.5	76.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.4%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa +14.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa over 87.5	70.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Under 197.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Under 187.5	82.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Over 147.5	93.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa under 99.5	75.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Under 192.5	89.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Under 182.5	74.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 152.5	88.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 157.5	81.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
SeaHorses Mikawa under 98.5	71.9%	1.29	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Lost
Over 162.5	71.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Toyama over 70.5	80.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Lost
Toyama over 69.5	83.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Toyama over 71.5	77.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Lost
Toyama +20.5	73.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Lost
Toyama over 72.5	74.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Lost
Toyama over 73.5	71.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-6.4pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 90.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	22.3	57.3%	53.6%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.9	39.4%	32.9%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.7	69.8%	73.8%	12.7

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 83.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀24%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	19.8	47.9%	53.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	7.9	28.6%	32.9%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	25.7	19.8	77.0%	73.8%	19.8

They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.5	52.3%	53.6%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	9.0	28.2%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.4	71.7%	73.8%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	17.6	49.6%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.6	36.1%	32.9%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	25.7	18.8	73.2%	73.8%	18.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	20.1	57.3%	53.6%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.6	36.0%	32.9%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	16.1	12.3	76.2%	73.8%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.8	52.1%	53.6%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.7	30.5%	32.9%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.4	71.8%	73.8%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	18.4	52.5%	53.6%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.2	34.6%	32.9%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	14.5	10.5	72.4%	73.8%	10.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.6	54.0%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.6	32.7%	32.9%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	24.9	17.5	70.4%	73.8%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

SeaHorses Mikawa

WWLWWWWWLW

Toyama

WLLWWLWWLW

League position

#11

+14.8

Net rating

-2.9

105.8

Offensive rating

90.8

90.9

Defensive rating

93.7

58.0%

Effective FG%

45.9%

47.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.6%

11.6%

Turnover %

13.0%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.37

39.4%

3-point %

28.6%

62.3%

Assist %

71.8%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ SeaHorses Mikawa ■ Toyama

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

SeaHorses Mikawa wins

Toyama wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/26	Toyama v SeaHorses Mikawa	56-99
08/03/26	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	103-69
07/03/26	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	83-70
07/02/24	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	74-65
17/12/23	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	72-53
16/12/23	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	90-77
25/10/23	Toyama v SeaHorses Mikawa	59-90
09/04/23	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	99-73
08/04/23	SeaHorses Mikawa v Toyama	99-83
12/02/23	Toyama v SeaHorses Mikawa	76-79

SeaHorses Mikawalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	H	Shinshu	91-86
08/11/26	H	Shiga	96-91
06/11/26	H	Gunma	83-90
01/11/26	H	Saga	84-78
31/10/26	H	Saga	100-83
24/10/26	A	Alvark	91-82
18/10/26	A	Toyama	99-56
11/10/26	A	Kyoto	89-81
09/10/26	A	Sendai	90-105
04/10/26	A	Osaka	101-57

Toyamalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Osaka	91-77
09/11/26	A	Shimane	75-108
07/11/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	80-93
01/11/26	A	Chiba	83-78
31/10/26	A	Chiba	100-93
26/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	61-83
24/10/26	H	Shimane	82-79
21/10/26	A	Levanga Hokkaido	105-87
18/10/26	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	56-99
11/10/26	A	Altiri Chiba	94-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SeaHorses Mikawa

B League 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	77%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WLWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	77%	80%	75%
Points / game	90.4	90.8	90.1
Allowed / game	80.7	85.6	77.6
Point differential	+9.7	+5.2	+12.5
Avg total	171.1	176.4	167.8
Over 170.5	54%	80%	38%
Win by 10+	31%	20%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Toyama

B League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	56%
Home	LWLLW	38%
Away	WWWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	56%	38%	75%
Points / game	83.4	75.1	91.6
Allowed / game	87.0	84.8	89.2
Point differential	-3.6	-9.6	+2.4
Avg total	170.4	159.9	180.9
Over 170.5	50%	25%	75%
Win by 10+	31%	25%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	13	12	1	92%	92.6	76.7	+15.9
2	Hiroshima D.	15	13	2	87%	90.4	80.9	+9.5
3	Sendai	18	14	4	78%	88.6	80.2	+8.4
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	13	10	3	77%	90.4	80.7	+9.7
5	Alvark	17	13	4	76%	92.6	82.3	+10.3
6	Gunma	16	12	4	75%	82.8	73.8	+9.1
7	NeoPhoenix	12	9	3	75%	87.4	81.6	+5.8
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	17	11	6	65%	89.9	80.3	+9.6
9	Levanga Hokkaido	16	10	6	62%	96.7	94.6	+2.1
10	Kyoto	16	9	7	56%	84.3	79.2	+5.1
11	Toyama	16	9	7	56%	83.4	87.0	-3.6
12	Ibaraki Robots	18	9	9	50%	83.7	79.8	+3.9
13	Ryukyu	16	8	8	50%	83.4	81.6	+1.8
14	Chiba	18	9	9	50%	92.2	95.1	-2.9
15	Utsunomiya Brex	15	7	8	47%	81.9	83.6	-1.7
16	Yokohama	16	7	9	44%	77.7	82.9	-5.2
17	Shimane	15	6	9	40%	83.5	81.9	+1.6
18	Shiga	15	6	9	40%	85.7	88.9	-3.2
19	Altiri Chiba	18	7	11	39%	79.8	84.7	-4.8
20	Shinshu	17	6	11	35%	83.9	86.8	-2.9
21	Nagasaki	18	6	12	33%	77.3	82.2	-4.9
22	Brave Thunders	17	5	12	29%	79.2	83.9	-4.8
23	Kobe	16	4	12	25%	79.9	87.3	-7.4
24	Akita	17	4	13	24%	83.4	91.5	-8.2
25	Saga	15	1	14	7%	77.8	94.9	-17.1
26	Osaka	16	1	15	6%	70.1	90.9	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
SeaHorses Mikawa	34	29	22	26	111
Toyama	16	17	27	10	70

← all games of the day

SeaHorses Mikawa vs Toyama Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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