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Seattle vs Idaho State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Projected 80-67
Projected total 147.1
Scheduled
Position#281
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game73.3
Seattle
USA
Vs
87%
13%
■ SEAT 87%■ IDAH 13%
Pythia win probability
Idaho State
USA
Position#391
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game92.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Seattle v Idaho State
14 Nov 2026
SEAT v IDAH
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
SEAT83
IDAH74
14 Nov 2021
SEAT77
IDAH51
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The NCAA contest on 14 November 2026 pits Seattle against Idaho State, with Seattle the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 87% to win, reflecting their 1-2 season record, 70.3 points scored and 73.3 allowed per game, and a league position of 281, while Idaho State sits at 0-3 with 67.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed, ranking 389; Seattle's home form is 1-1, 69.0 points for and 73.0 against, and they have won two of their last five, including a 79-60 victory over Portland State, whereas Idaho State's road record is 0-3, 67.3 points for and 92.0 against, with only one win in five and recent losses to Air Force, Wyoming and Utah State; the two teams have met twice before, Seattle winning both times, most recently 83-74 in November 2025; Pythia projects a 80-67 score, 147.1 total points, a 16.5-point spread that Seattle covers 36% of the time, an over line of 143.5 with a 58% chance, and a 3% overtime probability, ending with Seattle's 80-point performance as the decisive fact.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Seattle win
86.5%fair 1.16
Best odds1.06
Implied90.2%
Edge-3.7pp
Idaho State win
13.5%fair 7.41
Best odds12.00
Implied9.8%
Edge+3.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SeattleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#99
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#265
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#177
L
59-86
59
86
-27
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-18
24-32
28-35
42-37
29-20
42-39
39-27
48-53
29-32
42-34
30-35
28-21
29-32
29-29
39-47
34-27
28-28
51-32
22-41
37-45
135.0Avg total
68.6Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.373.3143.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)69.073.0142.0-4.050%
Season away (1)73.074.0147.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)65.467.4132.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.977.5146.4-8.612%
vs Similar (8)66.465.9132.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)67.964.4132.3+3.575%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Utah State
#9
L
58-94
58
94
-36
A03/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#142
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A07/11
NCAA
Air Force
#115
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-60
39-39
39-37
34-32
50-30
41-46
32-38
41-45
29-46
36-37
45-30
28-35
36-36
42-49
29-37
29-57
20-44
42-49
42-41
40-48
156.0Avg total
72.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.392.0159.3-24.70%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)67.392.0159.3-24.70%
Last 10 (10)72.483.6156.0-11.230%
Last 5 (5)70.685.2155.8-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.782.4155.1-9.716%
vs Similar (9)78.376.8155.1+1.656%
vs Weaker (1)68.059.0127.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Seattle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139.5
Over 139.5
67.7%
@ 1.47+4.4pp
Under 139.5
32.3%
@ 2.60-4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 144.5 · main line
Over 144.5
56.0%
@ 1.90+5.5pp
Under 144.5
44.0%
@ 1.93-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 149.5
Over 149.5
43.8%
@ 2.60+7.1pp
Under 149.5
56.2%
@ 1.47-7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Seattle total 76.5
Over 76.5
63.3%
@ 1.39-1.6pp
Under 76.5
36.7%
@ 2.57+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.57
Seattle total 80.5 · main line
Over 80.5
47.4%
@ 1.90-2.3pp
Under 80.5
52.6%
@ 1.88+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Seattle total 84.5
Over 84.5
32.0%
@ 2.55-3.5pp
Under 84.5
68.0%
@ 1.40+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.40
Idaho State total 60
Over 60
76.9%
Under 60
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Idaho State total 64 · main line
Over 64
62.6%
@ 1.87+13.2pp
Under 64
37.4%
@ 1.85-13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Idaho State total 68
Over 68
46.4%
Under 68
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Seattle -19.5
SEAT -19.5
26.8%
@ 2.30-13.6pp
IDAH +19.5
73.2%
@ 1.55+13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
SEAT
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
IDAH
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Spread Seattle -16.5 · main line
SEAT -16.5
36.2%
@ 1.92-14.0pp
IDAH +16.5
63.8%
@ 1.93+14.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SEAT
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.89
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
IDAH
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Spread Seattle -13.5
SEAT -13.5
46.6%
@ 1.55-13.0pp
IDAH +13.5
53.4%
@ 2.30+13.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SEAT
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
IDAH
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -6.5-6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -6.5-6.5
SeattleIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SeattleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#99
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#265
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#177
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H12/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)33.731.164.8+2.647%23%
Last 30 at home (17)33.829.563.4+4.353%18%
Last 30 away (13)33.533.266.7+0.438%31%
Last 10 (10)30.931.562.4-0.630%10%
Last 5 (5)29.636.666.2-7.00%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.435.566.9-4.125%25%
vs Similar (8)30.231.962.1-1.612%12%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.428.062.4+6.475%17%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H21/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Utah State
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#142
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Air Force
#115
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/11
NCAA
75.1Avg total
35.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)34.737.772.4-3.040%70%
Last 30 at home (15)37.435.272.6+2.260%80%
Last 30 away (15)32.040.172.1-8.120%60%
Last 10 (10)35.239.975.1-4.740%80%
Last 5 (5)34.437.672.0-3.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.938.872.7-4.832%68%
vs Similar (9)36.736.873.4-0.156%78%
vs Weaker (1)25.029.054.0-4.00%0%
This opponent (Seattle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
SEAT win
no forecast
@ 1.13
IDAH win
no forecast
@ 6.00
1st half Spread Seattle -9.5 · main line
SEAT -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
IDAH +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 69.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Seattle 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Idaho State 1st half total 30 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Seattle -10.5
SEAT -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
IDAH +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Seattle -8.5
SEAT -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
IDAH +8.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Seattle -11.5
SEAT -11.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
IDAH +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Seattle -7.5
SEAT -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
IDAH +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.67
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Seattle -12.5
SEAT -12.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
IDAH +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Seattle -6.5
SEAT -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
IDAH +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
SEAT
no forecast
@ 1.15
Draw
no forecast
@ 29.00
IDAH
no forecast
@ 6.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SEAT win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
IDAH win + total 144.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SEAT leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Idaho State +1972.4%1.58
Bet365
1.58		----+13.9pp
Idaho State +19.573.2%1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55		---+13.6pp
Idaho State over 61.571.2%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+12.0pp
Over 137.572.0%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34		---+3.9pp
Seattle under 85.571.6%1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.34		---+3.3pp
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Seattle wins
0
Idaho State wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Seattle v Idaho State83-74
15/11/21Seattle v Idaho State77-51
Seattlelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HUTSA Roadrunners59-86
08/11/26HPortland State79-60
03/11/26AHawaii73-74
08/03/26APacific58-61
07/03/26HSan Diego Toreros58-56
01/03/26ALoyola Marymount71-66
26/02/26APepperdine87-80
22/02/26HPortland71-59
19/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)70-72
16/02/26HOregon State60-50
Idaho Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AAir Force82-89
07/11/26AWyoming62-93
03/11/26AUtah State58-94
08/03/26APortland State78-85
08/03/26HNorthern Arizona73-65
03/03/26ASacramento State65-83
28/02/26HWeber State73-83
21/02/26HMontana State91-76
20/02/26HMontana73-69
14/02/26AIdaho69-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Seattle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.369.073.0
Allowed / game73.373.074.0
Point differential-3.0-4.0-1.0
Avg total143.7142.0147.0
Over 144.567%50%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.3-67.3
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-24.7--24.7
Avg total159.3-159.3
Over 144.5100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara440100%85.872.5+13.2
3 San Francisco330100%72.763.3+9.3
4 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
5 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Gonzaga21150%90.573.0+17.5
9 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado32167%94.068.7+25.3
2 Idaho42250%86.571.5+15.0
3 Sacramento State21150%83.578.5+5.0
4 Montana31233%77.363.3+14.0
5 Portland State31233%80.775.0+5.7
6 Montana State31233%76.080.0-4.0
7 East. Washington41325%80.583.5-3.0
8 Northern Arizona4040%69.587.8-18.2
9 Weber State3030%72.796.0-23.3
10 Idaho State3030%67.392.0-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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