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Sebastiani Rieti vs Luiss Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-72
18-19 23-23 17-13 23-17
Position#7
Record11-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#22
Record6-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game87.7
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaSojourner
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
57avg 77
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 77
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
63avg 77
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 77
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 77
A06/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 77
H10/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 77
A16/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
72-71
72
71
+1
65avg 77
H23/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
73avg 77
A29/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 77
A06/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
15-21
19-17
22-18
21-16
25-23
21-18
13-14
21-22
15-19
15-29
20-25
16-19
26-14
16-18
27-33
29-18
24-30
18-20
13-18
23-17
12-20
30-15
20-24
27-15
20-28
18-16
19-12
15-20
19-20
20-13
18-18
23-26
17-23
21-12
16-18
12-21
33-17
18-25
23-21
158.8Avg total
79.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.279.3161.5+2.861%
Season at home (8)83.276.8160.0+6.588%
Season away (10)81.381.4162.7-0.140%
Last 10 (10)79.079.8158.8-0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.876.2157.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.095.0166.0-24.00%
vs Similar (3)80.383.7164.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.477.3160.6+6.171%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 72
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
78avg 72
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
49avg 72
A26/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
79-74
79
74
+5
69avg 72
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
71-61
71
61
+10
68avg 72
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 72
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
no box
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
87avg 72
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
129avg 72
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
94-88
94
88
+6
88avg 72
A06/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
27-24
17-25
18-33
14-28
31-22
15-30
24-26
24-23
23-23
9-17
13-24
22-18
22-17
17-24
18-15
22-20
20-15
11-9
18-17
17-11
27-26
13-28
32-27
23-23
22-24
18-20
26-22
26-29
17-26
25-22
30-28
17-18
17-20
24-25
25-17
28-26
17-18
24-18
25-26
174.5Avg total
84.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.787.7167.4-8.033%
Season at home (9)79.986.6166.4-6.733%
Season away (9)79.688.9168.4-9.333%
Last 10 (10)84.989.6174.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)91.493.2184.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.897.2178.0-16.50%
vs Similar (10)78.980.1159.0-1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Sebastiani RietiLuiss Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A16/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A06/01
Serie A2
81.7Avg total
40.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)41.739.981.7+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.038.681.6+4.475%-
Last 30 away (10)40.741.081.7-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.481.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.481.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)43.044.087.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.939.080.9+2.971%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A26/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
87.4Avg total
44.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)42.443.285.7-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (9)42.240.782.9+1.644%-
Last 30 away (9)42.745.888.4-3.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.187.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.447.891.1-4.425%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.3
46.8%
50.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.815.6
68.4%
74.2%15.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.9
50.0%
50.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.3
35.1%
34.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.215.5
76.7%
74.2%15.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWWWLWLWL
Luiss Roma
WWLLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#22
-1.3
Net rating
-8.8
104.9
Offensive rating
110.5
106.2
Defensive rating
119.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
35.1%
61.6%
Assist %
51.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 110.5Defence106.2 · 119.4Shooting51.5% · 51.3%3-point %38.5% · 35.1%Ball care19.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Luiss Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Luiss Roma wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Luiss Roma v Sebastiani Rieti65-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AUrania Milano86-84
29/12/23AJuVi Cremona77-79
23/12/23HMonferrato72-71
16/12/23ALatina84-71
10/12/23HTreviglio85-76
06/12/23ABasket Torino84-86
03/12/23HAgrigento85-84
26/11/23ATrapani71-95
19/11/23HVigevano80-71
12/11/23ACantu66-81
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ALatina94-88
30/12/23HAgrigento83-80
22/12/23ABasket Torino98-105
17/12/23HCantu93-101 OT
09/12/23HJuVi Cremona89-92
06/12/23AVigevano71-61
02/12/23HMonferrato79-74
26/11/23ATreviglio69-87
18/11/23HTrapani84-106
11/11/23AUrania Milano89-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%88%40%
Points / game82.283.281.3
Allowed / game79.376.881.4
Point differential+2.8+6.5-0.1
Avg total161.5160.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.779.979.6
Allowed / game87.786.688.9
Point differential-8.0-6.7-9.3
Avg total167.4166.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1918195%92.376.2+16.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna1815383%77.971.8+6.1
3 Forli1915479%79.474.3+5.2
4 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
5 Cantu1914574%88.080.7+7.3
6 Trieste1813572%80.475.7+4.7
7 Basket Torino1812667%84.681.5+3.1
8 Verona1912763%76.773.1+3.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%82.279.3+2.8
10 JuVi Cremona1911858%87.885.3+2.5
11 Urania Milano1911858%83.583.8-0.4
12 Treviglio1910953%81.982.0-0.1
13 Assigeco Piacenza189950%78.075.7+2.3
14 Nardo1881044%77.983.7-5.8
15 Vigevano1871139%78.882.3-3.5
16 Cento1861233%72.778.6-5.9
17 Luiss Roma1861233%79.787.7-8.0
18 Rimini1961332%76.177.7-1.6
19 Cividale1961332%73.077.2-4.2
20 Agrigento1951426%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato1841422%79.684.2-4.7
22 Orzinuovi1841422%71.576.3-4.8
23 Chiusi1721512%62.274.4-12.2
24 Latina1821611%77.388.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti1823172381
Luiss Roma1923131772
← all games of the day
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