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Sencur vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-89
24-18 13-24 14-26 23-21
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 3· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023
Meetings · Sencur v Sutjeska
13 Nov 2023
SENC74
SUT89
22 Nov 2022
SENC63
SUT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutjeska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 68
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
88avg 68
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
70avg 68
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 68
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
72-108
72
108
-36
50avg 68
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 68
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 68
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 68
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 68
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
19-22
11-18
15-24
23-20
8-24
16-14
17-18
19-20
27-16
29-22
20-10
16-20
17-20
21-17
15-12
22-19
19-12
18-21
17-19
17-28
18-27
18-25
19-28
22-22
22-21
20-17
20-18
14-25
12-20
22-11
19-28
18-15
22-24
25-15
17-17
25-11
16-19
17-21
24-19
156.9Avg total
77.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.076.5153.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.079.9156.9-2.950%
Last 5 (5)77.482.2159.6-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.176.5147.6-5.438%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
vs Weaker (10)81.371.5152.8+9.890%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Tivat
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A08/04
Prva A Liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
A12/04
ABA League 2
Mornar Bar 2
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
no box
A17/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
H20/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H26/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
no box
A10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H17/05
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 84
A10/10
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 84
H12/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
26-15
23-19
21-20
25-35
12-20
27-24
18-12
23-10
23-16
18-22
20-18
22-23
20-20
13-13
18-19
16-15
22-26
28-13
13-19
28-23
26-23
13-15
16-21
22-19
18-30
11-24
7-20
17-21
19-20
11-22
21-19
20-26
31-18
24-30
23-17
25-19
18-32
16-15
22-23
161.0Avg total
79.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.590.0179.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)81.089.0170.0-8.00%
Season away (1)98.091.0189.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.781.3161.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)77.687.4165.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.184.1155.3-13.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.379.4161.8+2.978%
vs Weaker (13)85.373.0158.3+12.385%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
SencurSutjeska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
79.3Avg total
38.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.777.9-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.176.9+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.442.879.1-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.279.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.479.6-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.140.876.9-4.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.941.978.8-5.042%-
vs Weaker (10)41.436.377.7+5.170%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A08/04
Prva A Liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A12/04
ABA League 2
Mornar Bar 2
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A17/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#3
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/05
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A10/10
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H12/10
ABA League 2
86.2Avg total
43.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.982.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.441.580.9-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.283.3+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.886.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.291.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.646.486.0-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.743.285.9-0.633%-
vs Weaker (13)41.735.777.4+6.077%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.6
50.5%
53.6%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.3
30.2%
31.5%25.0
🏀 Free throws16.910.8
63.8%
73.7%10.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.5
52.7%
53.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.59.0
48.6%
31.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
73.7%12.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/2 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WWLWLWLWLL
Sutjeska
LWLLWWLWLW
#12
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
-0.6
105.9
Offensive rating
111.7
107.4
Defensive rating
112.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
58.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.2%
3-point %
48.6%
57.3%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 111.7Defence107.4 · 112.3Shooting48.5% · 58.5%3-point %30.2% · 48.6%Ball care15.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds36.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sencur   ■ Sutjeska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sencur wins
1
Sutjeska wins
DateGameScore
22/11/22Sencur v Sutjeska63-70
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HHelios Domzale82-70
04/11/23ATajfun Sentjur82-71
28/10/23ARogaska67-84
20/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-78
16/10/23ALTH Castings72-108
13/10/23AHelios Domzale76-71
11/10/23HPelister78-82 OT
07/10/23HPerspektiva Ilirija95-68
30/09/23AKK Triglav Kranj64-76
21/05/23ACedevita Olimpija70-91
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23HSpartak Subotica81-89
10/10/23APodgorica98-91
17/05/23HBuducnost68-82
10/05/23ABuducnost58-93
28/04/23APodgorica83-82
26/04/23HPodgorica79-73
20/04/23HStudentski Centar73-75
17/04/23AMornar Bar 284-66
12/04/23AKK Krka Novo mesto82-91
08/04/23ATivat91-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game77.078.076.0
Allowed / game76.582.071.0
Point differential+0.5-4.0+5.0
Avg total153.5160.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Sutjeska
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game89.581.098.0
Allowed / game90.089.091.0
Point differential-0.5-8.0+7.0
Avg total179.5170.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor220100%97.077.0+20.0
2 Siroki Brijeg220100%82.568.5+14.0
3 Spartak Subotica330100%82.774.0+8.7
4 Vojvodina Novi Sad65183%85.276.8+8.3
5 Podgorica32167%83.079.3+3.7
6 Sencur21150%77.076.5+0.5
7 MZT Skopje21150%85.085.0+0.0
8 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
9 Sutjeska21150%89.590.0-0.5
10 Cedevita Junior21150%81.582.5-1.0
11 Pelister21150%80.084.5-4.5
12 Borac Banja Luka31233%74.075.7-1.7
13 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
14 Helios Domzale2020%72.078.0-6.0
15 GKK Sibenka3030%78.393.3-15.0
16 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
17 TFT Skopje2020%70.089.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2413142374
Sutjeska1824262189
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