Sendai faces Alvark in the B League on 6 November 2026, with the model favouring Alvark and predicting a close 84-86 contest that will likely finish over the 170-point line; the projected total of 170.0 points sits just below the 170-point over line, giving a 0-based probability of the over that is not supplied, but the model gives a 5% chance of overtime, indicating a tight finish. Sendai, 10-4 overall, averages 85.6 points scored and 80.0 points allowed, while Alvark, 11-3 overall, posts 95.4 points scored and 83.1 points allowed; Sendai's home record is 7-2 with 84.0 points per game and 75.2 allowed, whereas Alvark is undefeated 6-0 on the road, scoring 107.2 points and allowing 89.3. In the last five, Sendai won four and lost one, with a recent 87-79 win over Tokyo Sunrockers and a 73-80 loss to the same team; Alvark's last five include a 90-85 loss to Tainan TSG GhostHawks and two wins over Utsunomiya Brex. Historically, Alvark leads 9-1 in the ten meetings, though Sendai last defeated them 83-80 on 1 April 2026. The spread is 2.0 in favour of Sendai, with a 47% chance that Sendai covers, while the model gives Sendai a 42% win probability and Alvark a 58% win probability. The game will test Sendai's defensive resilience against Alvark's high-scoring road form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 85.6 | 80.0 | 165.6 | +5.6 | 71% |
| Season at home (9) | 84.0 | 75.2 | 159.2 | +8.8 | 78% |
| Season away (5) | 88.6 | 88.6 | 177.2 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.1 | 78.2 | 163.3 | +6.9 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 79.6 | 165.6 | +6.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 84.2 | 89.2 | 173.5 | -5.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 86.0 | 83.0 | 169.0 | +3.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 87.4 | 78.5 | 165.8 | +8.9 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 95.4 | 83.1 | 178.4 | +12.3 | 79% |
| Season at home (8) | 86.5 | 78.4 | 164.9 | +8.1 | 62% |
| Season away (6) | 107.2 | 89.3 | 196.5 | +17.8 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 95.7 | 81.5 | 177.2 | +14.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.0 | 86.0 | 183.0 | +11.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 67.0 | 94.5 | 161.5 | -27.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 94.6 | 92.0 | 186.6 | +2.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 89.7 | 77.7 | 167.5 | +12.0 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 41.2 | 83.8 | +1.4 | 47% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.8 | 39.2 | 80.9 | +2.6 | 56% | 25% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.6 | 43.6 | 87.1 | +0.0 | 36% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 40.4 | 83.7 | +2.9 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 40.8 | 87.2 | +5.6 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 39.8 | 42.8 | 82.5 | -3.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 42.9 | 43.4 | 86.3 | -0.6 | 44% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 43.1 | 39.7 | 82.8 | +3.4 | 59% | 47% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.3 | 39.6 | 83.9 | +4.8 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.1 | 36.3 | 80.5 | +7.8 | 67% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 44.5 | 42.8 | 87.3 | +1.7 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 37.0 | 83.8 | +9.8 | 70% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 35.4 | 82.0 | +11.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 34.5 | 40.5 | 75.0 | -6.0 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 47.4 | 50.6 | 98.0 | -3.2 | 20% | 80% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 44.4 | 37.6 | 82.0 | +6.8 | 64% | 41% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sendai under 92.5 | 79.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Sendai under 94.5 | 84.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark +9.5 | 84.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Sendai under 96.5 | 88.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Sendai under 90.5 | 73.9% | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Sendai under 98.5 | 91.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Sendai under 91.5 | 76.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Lost |
| Alvark +19.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Sendai under 89.5 | 70.8% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Alvark +14.5 | 92.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Alvark +24.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 68.5 | 95.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Alvark over 74.5 | 86.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Alvark +4.5 | 71.0% | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 70.5 | 93.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Under 186.5 | 84.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 196.5 | 93.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Alvark over 76.5 | 82.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 72.5 | 90.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Under 191.5 | 89.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Alvark over 78.5 | 76.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Lost |
| Alvark under 96.5 | 84.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Alvark under 91.5 | 70.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Sendai +20.5 | 94.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Alvark under 92.5 | 73.4% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Alvark under 94.5 | 79.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Alvark over 80.5 | 70.5% | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Over 146.5 | 92.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Sendai over 70.5 | 90.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Sendai +15.5 | 87.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Sendai over 72.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Sendai over 74.5 | 81.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 86.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 78.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Sendai +10.5 | 76.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Sendai over 76.5 | 76.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.8 | 18.5 | 53.6% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.4 | 12.0 | 32.9% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.0 | 11.8 | 73.8% | 11.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 20.6 | 53.6% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 12.0 | 32.9% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 17.1 | 73.8% | 17.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 | Sendai v Alvark | 83-80 |
| 05/11/25 | Alvark v Sendai | 94-80 |
| 09/02/25 | Sendai v Alvark | 64-79 |
| 08/02/25 | Sendai v Alvark | 57-82 |
| 10/04/24 | Sendai v Alvark | 68-78 |
| 17/01/24 | Alvark v Sendai | 92-72 |
| 08/10/23 | Sendai v Alvark | 61-90 |
| 07/10/23 | Sendai v Alvark | 78-86 |
| 23/04/23 | Sendai v Alvark | 65-70 |
| 22/04/23 | Sendai v Alvark | 62-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 87-79 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 73-80 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Shimane | 86-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 93-82 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 91-72 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Kobe | 80-71 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 85-81 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Tokyo Sunrockers | 70-68 |
| 09/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 105-90 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 81-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 85-90 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 106-71 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 100-90 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Saga | 112-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 82-91 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 66-69 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Akita | 90-74 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Gunma | 100-86 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Xac Broncos | 113-78 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Osaka | 103-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 71% |
| Home | WWWLW | 78% |
| Away | LLWWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 9 | 5 |
| Win % | 71% | 78% | 60% |
| Points / game | 85.6 | 84.0 | 88.6 |
| Allowed / game | 80.0 | 75.2 | 88.6 |
| Point differential | +5.6 | +8.8 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 165.6 | 159.2 | 177.2 |
| Over 171.75 | 29% | 11% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 33% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 79% |
| Home | WLLWW | 62% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 8 | 6 |
| Win % | 79% | 62% | 100% |
| Points / game | 95.4 | 86.5 | 107.2 |
| Allowed / game | 83.1 | 78.4 | 89.3 |
| Point differential | +12.3 | +8.1 | +17.8 |
| Avg total | 178.4 | 164.9 | 196.5 |
| Over 171.75 | 57% | 38% | 83% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 62% | 83% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 7% | 0% | 17% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 73.6 | +18.9 | |
| 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 79.6 | +11.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 90.5 | 78.2 | +12.3 | |
| 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 95.4 | 83.1 | +12.3 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.3 | 80.7 | +6.7 | |
| 6 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 85.6 | 80.0 | +5.6 | |
| 7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 81.8 | 72.8 | +8.9 | |
| 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.6 | 76.8 | +7.8 | |
| 9 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64% | 89.4 | 79.3 | +10.1 |
| 10 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 83.7 | 85.7 | -2.0 | |
| 11 | Levanga Hokkaido | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 95.2 | 94.0 | +1.2 |
| 12 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 85.1 | 82.2 | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 79.1 | 83.1 | -4.1 | |
| 14 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.6 | 79.6 | +4.0 | |
| 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 77.0 | 80.3 | -3.3 | |
| 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 85.5 | 89.3 | -3.8 | |
| 17 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 81.2 | 85.2 | -4.0 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 83.2 | 85.9 | -2.7 | |
| 19 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 80.1 | 86.2 | -6.1 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 81.2 | 82.8 | -1.6 | |
| 21 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 79.3 | 84.2 | -4.8 | |
| 22 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 90.5 | 97.0 | -6.5 | |
| 23 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 78.9 | 86.7 | -7.8 | |
| 24 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 23% | 78.9 | 86.1 | -7.2 | |
| 25 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 76.3 | 94.0 | -17.7 | |
| 26 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 67.8 | 90.2 | -22.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 19 | 22 | 31 | 96 | |
| 10 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 69 |
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