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Sendai vs NeoPhoenix Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 85-83
Projected total 167.6
Scheduled
Position#5
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.2
Vs
57%
43%
■ SEND 57%■ NEOP 43%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game81.6
JapanB League· Xebio Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sendai v NeoPhoenix
18 Nov 2026
SEND v NEOP
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
SEND87
NEOP86
18 Oct 2025
SEND82
NEOP79
31 Mar 2024
SEND81
NEOP100
30 Mar 2024
SEND82
NEOP75
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Sendai hosts NeoPhoenix on 18 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Sendai and predicting a 57% chance of a home win against NeoPhoenix's 43%; the projected score is 85-83 and the total 167.6 points, with a 5% overtime probability. Sendai finished the season 14-4, averaging 88.6 points scored and 80.2 points allowed, and sits third in the league; at home they are 8-2, scoring 85.2 and allowing 74.6, and they have won their last five games, including victories over Shimane, Hiroshima D., and Nagasaki. NeoPhoenix is 8-3 overall, 87.5 points scored and 82.7 allowed, and sits seventh; on the road they are 8-3, with the same averages, and their last five games include wins over Levanga Hokkaido and Ryukyu but a loss to Alvark. In the ten meetings between the clubs Sendai has six wins to NeoPhoenix's four, though NeoPhoenix won the most recent encounter 104-99 on 12 April 2026. The game will be decided by the teams' recent form and the slight edge in Sendai's home performance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sendai win
57.0%fair 1.75
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix win
43.0%fair 2.33
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Kobe
#23
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 79
H19/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 79
H22/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 79
A24/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
86-85
86
85
+1
83avg 79
A26/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 79
H31/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
87-79
87
79
+8
81avg 79
H01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H06/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
107-87
107
87
+20
no box
A09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
A11/11
B League
Shimane
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
16-9
28-16
13-29
19-18
31-17
18-12
23-25
21-19
26-26
22-19
24-18
26-23
18-21
17-25
25-16
15-16
31-18
14-22
13-24
19-22
26-24
22-20
20-13
24-10
19-22
22-19
31-18
28-33
30-26
28-14
21-14
29-24
31-24
25-26
21-17
23-27
22-16
19-16
23-17
169.8Avg total
90.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.680.2168.8+8.478%
Season at home (10)85.274.6159.8+10.680%
Season away (8)92.987.1180.0+5.875%
Last 10 (10)90.679.2169.8+11.490%
Last 5 (5)96.680.4177.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.085.0169.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.982.8174.7+9.178%
vs Weaker (19)88.478.8167.2+9.674%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
98avg 84
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 84
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 84
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 84
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 84
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 84
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 84
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
110-96
110
96
+14
no box
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
26-19
25-20
20-31
22-19
20-17
21-23
14-16
28-25
26-22
14-30
20-10
15-15
22-21
25-16
27-28
17-24
28-22
18-19
18-20
16-25
24-23
24-25
29-15
19-23
16-20
17-23
14-23
20-22
34-28
27-16
19-31
30-21
18-15
25-20
25-17
18-17
170.0Avg total
87.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Season at homeno games
Season away (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Last 10 (10)87.882.2170.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)87.885.0172.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.783.3170.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.685.8175.4+3.869%
vs Weaker (11)89.981.2171.1+8.782%
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
60.4%
Under 163
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
48.1%
Under 168
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
36.2%
Under 173
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sendai total 80.5
Over 80.5
66.0%
Under 80.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sendai total 84.5
Over 84.5
51.0%
Under 84.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sendai total 88.5
Over 88.5
35.8%
Under 88.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 79.5
Over 79.5
62.1%
Under 79.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 83.5
Over 83.5
46.9%
Under 83.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 87.5
Over 87.5
32.3%
Under 87.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sendai -3
SEND -3
48.0%
NEOP +3
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
SEND
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.
Spread Sendai 0
SEND 0
57.0%
NEOP 0
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
SEND
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.
Spread Sendai +3
SEND +3
65.9%
NEOP -3
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
SEND
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
SendaiNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#23
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H19/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H22/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/10
B League
Shimane
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A26/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H31/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A11/11
B League
Shimane
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/11
B League
88.9Avg total
47.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.037.880.8+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)45.344.289.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.288.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.695.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.042.189.1+4.967%-
vs Weaker (19)44.040.984.9+3.158%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/11
B League
87.5Avg total
46.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.387.9+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.644.286.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (22)45.343.088.3+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.587.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.843.883.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.543.487.8+1.154%-
vs Weaker (11)47.442.990.3+4.582%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.0
34.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.8
78.7%
73.8%11.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.2
57.1%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
73.8%15.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sendai
WWWWWLWWWW
NeoPhoenix
WWLWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#7
+8.1
Net rating
+9.2
97.8
Offensive rating
100.0
89.7
Defensive rating
90.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
33.8%
65.6%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 100.0Defence89.7 · 90.8Shooting53.5% · 54.3%3-point %34.9% · 33.8%Ball care13.3% · 13.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Sendai   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sendai wins
4
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26NeoPhoenix v Sendai104-99
11/04/26NeoPhoenix v Sendai98-104
19/10/25Sendai v NeoPhoenix87-86
18/10/25Sendai v NeoPhoenix82-79
12/01/25NeoPhoenix v Sendai129-64
11/01/25NeoPhoenix v Sendai105-93
31/03/24Sendai v NeoPhoenix81-100
30/03/24Sendai v NeoPhoenix82-75
19/03/23NeoPhoenix v Sendai83-86 OT
18/03/23NeoPhoenix v Sendai74-82
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AShimane87-76
11/11/26AHiroshima D.106-91
09/11/26ANagasaki107-87
06/11/26HAlvark96-69
01/11/26HTokyo Sunrockers87-79
31/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers73-80
26/10/26AShimane86-85
24/10/26ABrave Thunders93-82
22/10/26HYokohama91-72
19/10/26HKobe80-71
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAltiri Chiba86-69
11/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido110-96
08/11/26AAlvark67-88
01/11/26ARyukyu96-86
31/10/26ARyukyu80-86
24/10/26AKobe91-89
19/10/26AHiroshima D.75-77
10/10/26AShinshu83-81
04/10/26ASaga93-89
03/10/26ASaga97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sendai
B League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game88.685.292.9
Allowed / game80.274.687.1
Point differential+8.4+10.6+5.8
Avg total168.8159.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
Home--
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12-12
Win %75%-75%
Points / game87.4-87.4
Allowed / game81.6-81.6
Point differential+5.8-+5.8
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1610662%96.794.6+2.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Utsunomiya Brex157847%81.983.6-1.7
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
18 Shimane156940%83.581.9+1.6
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
24 Akita1741324%83.491.5-8.2
25 Saga151147%77.894.9-17.1
26 Osaka161156%70.190.9-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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