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Serbia U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2019
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 72-81
20-14 21-25 15-24 16-18
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game61.2
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 9th place
Other2019
Meetings · Serbia U18 v Italy U18
04 Aug 2019
SERB72
ITAL81
28 Jul 2010
SERB97
ITAL52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Serbia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#14
W
121-49
121
49
+72
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#15
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
28-13
32-12
33-5
27-26
19-20
20-24
26-16
20-14
25-18
17-13
16-22
32-20
22-21
25-24
20-25
17-17
22-14
14-18
22-19
16-14
23-17
18-20
20-26
16-18
20-14
18-11
22-24
16-20
11-16
2-12
25-8
24-11
15-22
18-13
25-16
22-21
21-24
13-15
20-14
154.4Avg total
83.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.769.0143.7+5.767%
Season at home (5)74.669.2143.8+5.460%
Season away (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.870.6154.4+13.280%
Last 5 (5)74.669.2143.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.072.2138.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.868.8140.5+3.062%
vs Weaker (16)83.468.8152.2+14.688%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U18
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#12
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-19
17-20
14-16
23-16
17-20
10-23
25-16
25-14
18-23
15-19
21-13
16-23
10-14
15-26
21-17
13-18
9-10
11-13
21-21
8-17
28-12
20-18
8-11
18-12
16-22
10-17
12-12
11-7
10-15
14-24
20-21
14-15
16-15
17-7
21-13
15-11
23-16
24-22
16-18
137.1Avg total
68.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)62.561.2123.7+1.350%
Season at home (3)66.759.7126.3+7.067%
Season away (3)58.362.7121.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)68.069.1137.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)64.261.0125.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.778.3145.0-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.463.7131.1+3.771%
vs Weaker (16)73.062.3135.3+10.781%
This opponent (Serbia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
Serbia U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Serbia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#14
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A05/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
78.3Avg total
42.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.072.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.533.771.2+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.436.372.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.978.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.835.565.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.136.472.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker (16)40.134.174.2+5.969%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U18
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#3
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
64.8Avg total
32.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.465.9+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.232.365.5+0.959%-
Last 30 away (13)36.130.266.3+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.364.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.460.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.039.371.3-7.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.730.466.1+5.386%-
vs Weaker (16)35.028.463.4+6.675%-
This opponent (Serbia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Serbia U18 wins
0
Italy U18 wins
DateGameScore
30/07/17Italy U18 v Serbia U1846-63
01/04/16Italy U18 v Serbia U1875-77 OT
13/08/12Italy U18 v Serbia U1874-78
30/07/11Italy U18 v Serbia U1861-67
28/07/10Serbia U18 v Italy U1897-52
Serbia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/19HGermany U1876-74
01/08/19HFinland U1882-62
31/07/19HLithuania U1854-56
29/07/19HTurkey U1876-67
28/07/19HGreat Britain U1885-87 OT
27/07/19AGermany U1875-68
05/08/18ALatvia U1899-90
04/08/18AFrance U1878-67
03/08/18AGermany U1892-86
01/08/18HUkraine U18121-49
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/19HMontenegro U1878-67
01/08/19HCroatia U1868-50
31/07/19ATurkey U1855-67
29/07/19ARussia U1856-63
28/07/19ALithuania U1864-58
27/07/19HMontenegro U1854-62
05/08/18HSpain U1862-80
04/08/18ATurkey U1879-69
03/08/18HBosnia & Herzegovina U1898-96 OT
01/08/18ARussia U1866-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%60%100%
Points / game74.774.675.0
Allowed / game69.069.268.0
Point differential+5.7+5.4+7.0
Avg total143.7143.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %17%20%0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game62.566.758.3
Allowed / game61.259.762.7
Point differential+1.3+7.0-4.3
Avg total123.7126.3121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18660100%83.761.3+22.3
2 France U1865183%71.057.3+13.7
3 Turkey U1865183%73.262.3+10.8
4 Serbia U1864267%74.769.0+5.7
5 Russia U1864267%77.372.8+4.5
6 Greece U1864267%66.866.5+0.3
7 Italy U1863350%62.561.2+1.3
8 Slovenia U1863350%65.568.3-2.8
9 Germany U1873443%73.667.9+5.7
10 Lithuania U1873443%70.769.3+1.4
11 Montenegro U1873443%68.773.6-4.9
12 Croatia U1862433%63.872.8-9.0
13 Finland U1862433%60.271.2-11.0
14 Netherlands U1872529%75.675.7-0.1
15 Great Britain U1872529%67.182.1-15.0
16 Latvia U187070%65.983.7-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia U182021151672
Italy U181425241881
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