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Shandong vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 115-105
29-22 28-27 29-24 29-32
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game113.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game110.0
ChinaCBARound 2· Shandong Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shandong v Guangdong
31 Oct 2026
SHAN85
GUAN76
06 Apr 2026
SHAN99
GUAN86
15 Oct 2024
SHAN115
GUAN105
08 Nov 2023
SHAN112
GUAN88
19 Oct 2022
SHAN96
GUAN95
22 Mar 2022
SHAN111
GUAN110
22 Apr 2021
SHAN112
GUAN118
10 Mar 2021
SHAN90
GUAN104
07 Jan 2020
SHAN102
GUAN107
16 Nov 2019
SHAN99
GUAN123
30 Oct 2018
SHAN96
GUAN120
01 Dec 2017
SHAN100
GUAN85
22 Jan 2017
SHAN99
GUAN98
15 Feb 2016
SHAN81
GUAN95
22 Nov 2015
SHAN104
GUAN108
21 Dec 2014
SHAN96
GUAN103
05 Jan 2014
SHAN93
GUAN113
29 Mar 2013
SHAN74
GUAN94
22 Mar 2013
SHAN81
GUAN88
30 Dec 2012
SHAN91
GUAN92
02 Dec 2011
SHAN93
GUAN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
104-107
104
107
-3
103avg 95
H17/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
101-127
101
127
-26
83avg 95
A20/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 95
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 95
H24/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
110avg 95
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
115-98
115
98
+17
115avg 95
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 95
A30/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
102-119
102
119
-17
95avg 95
A02/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
128-104
128
104
+24
133avg 95
H06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
102-113
102
113
-11
91avg 95
H13/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
26-29
22-34
28-24
23-39
32-32
24-24
22-32
27-16
35-37
22-30
26-33
25-33
30-24
33-27
32-25
29-22
25-24
33-18
24-21
36-25
35-22
22-25
22-26
24-28
29-24
23-31
19-23
23-26
26-33
30-40
23-20
41-30
24-26
35-28
28-20
22-27
23-35
24-29
33-22
217.2Avg total
108.8Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.0113.0215.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)102.0113.0215.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)108.8108.4217.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)108.4108.0216.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7110.0214.7-5.322%
vs Similar ◀ (15)107.0108.2215.2-1.240%
vs Weaker (6)103.898.3202.2+5.583%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-100
120
100
+20
113avg 103
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
106-96
106
96
+10
100avg 103
H20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
106avg 103
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
117-82
117
82
+35
116avg 103
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 103
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
110-94
110
94
+16
102avg 103
A03/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
98-82
98
82
+16
102avg 103
H06/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
90-107
90
107
-17
79avg 103
H08/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
95-116
95
116
-21
75avg 103
A11/05
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
99-110
99
110
-11
88avg 103
A13/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-21
19-32
31-21
30-26
30-19
26-34
27-18
23-25
31-20
27-25
21-32
23-32
31-14
34-25
21-26
31-17
31-32
25-27
14-30
27-30
28-26
24-17
30-23
28-28
25-17
19-24
26-19
28-22
22-27
21-25
21-30
26-25
16-29
27-29
26-22
26-36
29-23
22-39
27-23
21-25
204.9Avg total
103.4Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.0110.0209.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)99.0110.0209.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)103.4101.5204.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)98.4101.8200.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)107.4101.2208.6+6.250%
vs Weaker (14)115.3107.0222.3+8.379%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
ShandongGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A20/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H24/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A30/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A02/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H13/10
CBA
111.5Avg total
56.3Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.955.4110.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.454.6110.0+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)54.356.2110.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.2111.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.655.2111.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.657.7113.2-2.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.756.3111.0-1.533%-
vs Weaker (6)54.249.8104.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A11/05
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A13/10
CBA
103.2Avg total
52.7Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.553.0111.6+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.252.8113.0+7.487%-
Last 30 away (15)56.953.3110.1+3.647%-
Last 10 (10)52.750.5103.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.651.297.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.050.8106.8+5.262%-
vs Weaker (14)61.455.6117.0+5.971%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.7
54.6%
52.6%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.5
79.9%
76.3%19.5
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.2
50.2%
52.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.7
34.5%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.119.1
79.3%
76.3%19.1
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLLWWWLLL
Guangdong
LLLWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#8
+0.4
Net rating
+2.5
114.3
Offensive rating
107.3
113.9
Defensive rating
104.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
34.5%
64.8%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 107.3Defence113.9 · 104.8Shooting54.2% · 50.9%3-point %35.7% · 34.5%Ball care13.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shandong wins
7
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Guangdong v Shandong127-101
08/11/23Shandong v Guangdong112-88
02/04/23Guangdong v Shandong102-93
19/10/22Shandong v Guangdong96-95 OT
22/03/22Shandong v Guangdong111-110 OT
01/03/22Guangdong v Shandong127-101
22/04/21Shandong v Guangdong112-118
20/04/21Guangdong v Shandong117-99
10/03/21Shandong v Guangdong90-104
05/02/21Guangdong v Shandong131-112
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HZhejiang Guangsha102-113
06/04/24HNingbo Rockets128-104
02/04/24AQingdao102-119
30/03/24AShenzhen95-106
28/03/24AFujian115-98
26/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters111-85
24/03/24HFujian120-109
22/03/24ANanjing Tongxi110-116
20/03/24AGuangdong101-127
17/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha104-107
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AShanxi Zhongyu99-110
11/05/24ALiaoning95-116
08/05/24HLiaoning90-107
06/05/24HLiaoning98-82
03/05/24ALiaoning110-94
01/05/24ALiaoning97-119
25/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha117-82
23/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha102-109
20/04/24HZhejiang Guangsha106-96
18/04/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game102.0102.0-
Allowed / game113.0113.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total215.0215.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game99.0-99.0
Allowed / game110.0-110.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total209.0-209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Qingdao110100%109.080.0+29.0
2 Xinjiang110100%112.098.0+14.0
3 Nanjing Tongxi110100%104.091.0+13.0
4 Ningbo Rockets110100%126.0114.0+12.0
5 Liaoning110100%123.0112.0+11.0
6 Shanxi Zhongyu110100%110.099.0+11.0
7 Tianjin110100%115.0104.0+11.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha110100%113.0102.0+11.0
9 Beijing110100%110.0107.0+3.0
10 Beijing Royal Fighters110100%100.099.0+1.0
11 Jilin1010%99.0100.0-1.0
12 Shanghai1010%107.0110.0-3.0
13 Fujian1010%104.0115.0-11.0
14 Guangdong1010%99.0110.0-11.0
15 Shandong1010%102.0113.0-11.0
16 Zhejiang Chouzhou1010%112.0123.0-11.0
17 Sichuan1010%114.0126.0-12.0
18 Shenzhen1010%91.0104.0-13.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons1010%98.0112.0-14.0
20 Guangzhou1010%80.0109.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong29282929115
Guangdong22272432105
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