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Shiga vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-92 (OT)
22-21 23-18 17-28 19-14 14-11
Position#2
Record19-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game77.3
Shiga 🏆
Japan
vs
Shizuoka
Japan
Position#9
Record13-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.3
JapanB2.League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shiga v Shizuoka
11 Feb 2024
SHIG78
SHIZ75
10 Feb 2024
SHIG100
SHIZ82
30 Dec 2023
SHIG97
SHIZ74
29 Dec 2023
SHIG95
SHIZ92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
105-83
105
83
+22
109avg 82
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 82
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 82
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
75avg 82
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 82
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 82
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
111-107
111
107
+4
105avg 82
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 82
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 82
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 82
H24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
34-14
27-16
21-28
21-11
23-21
20-28
21-15
19-16
24-20
20-16
25-22
26-26
14-14
13-19
26-13
18-20
25-15
23-21
31-23
22-26
16-22
20-17
21-23
21-30
16-25
39-25
35-27
29-15
13-19
10-10
15-17
26-26
24-20
28-22
27-15
20-20
22-13
25-17
14-23
169.2Avg total
89.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.277.3163.6+8.973%
Season at home (13)84.274.7158.9+9.569%
Season away (13)88.280.0168.2+8.277%
Last 10 (10)89.779.5169.2+10.290%
Last 5 (5)88.682.4171.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.086.0163.0-9.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.476.2162.6+10.279%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
53avg 74
A02/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
73avg 74
A03/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
80avg 74
H09/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 74
H10/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 74
A16/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 74
A17/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
96-79
96
79
+17
100avg 74
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
57-76
57
76
-19
53avg 74
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
90avg 74
H24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
25-14
16-20
21-27
16-19
12-16
23-12
14-22
23-22
20-14
19-26
16-19
13-21
22-14
14-21
31-17
20-17
8-21
22-25
27-26
23-21
23-24
19-24
17-29
24-37
18-21
23-17
13-23
28-10
21-25
28-19
19-25
15-24
15-17
12-22
15-13
16-20
24-16
25-18
23-20
160.5Avg total
78.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.078.3158.3+1.750%
Season at home (15)81.577.9159.4+3.760%
Season away (11)77.978.9156.8-1.036%
Last 10 (10)78.881.7160.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.293.2172.5-14.00%
vs Similar (20)80.075.9155.9+4.155%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
ShigaShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/12
B2.League
83.4Avg total
43.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.082.7+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.980.0+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.085.5+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.883.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.542.079.5-4.517%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.139.583.5+4.671%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A02/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A17/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A20/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/12
B2.League
78.3Avg total
39.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)40.038.278.2+1.854%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.777.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (11)38.840.379.1-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.278.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.546.088.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (20)39.137.076.2+2.150%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.7
56.7%
52.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.4
36.1%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
71.0%16.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.2
54.8%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.910.3
74.1%
71.0%10.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WWWWLWWWWW
Shizuoka
WLWLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#9
+13.4
Net rating
-4.0
117.1
Offensive rating
110.4
103.7
Defensive rating
114.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.1%
3-point %
36.5%
67.9%
Assist %
65.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 110.4Defence103.7 · 114.4Shooting55.8% · 54.8%3-point %36.1% · 36.5%Ball care16.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Shiga   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shiga wins
0
Shizuoka wins
No previous meetings.
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HKumamoto81-73
23/12/23HKumamoto105-83
20/12/23AIwate67-61
16/12/23AKobe111-107
15/12/23AKobe79-88
10/12/23HNara97-79
09/12/23HNara79-72
03/12/23HYamagata Wyverns88-74
02/12/23HYamagata Wyverns85-75
26/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings105-83
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HFukuoka88-74
23/12/23HFukuoka57-76
20/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings96-79
17/12/23AAltiri Chiba78-98
16/12/23AAltiri Chiba82-98
10/12/23HFukuoka77-89
09/12/23HFukuoka80-73
03/12/23AKumamoto78-81
02/12/23AKumamoto65-69
26/11/23HKobe87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%69%77%
Points / game86.284.288.2
Allowed / game77.374.780.0
Point differential+8.9+9.5+8.2
Avg total163.6158.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %50%60%36%
Points / game80.081.577.9
Allowed / game78.377.978.9
Point differential+1.7+3.7-1.0
Avg total158.3159.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2624292%88.075.1+12.9
2 Shiga2619773%86.277.3+8.9
3 Fukuoka2619773%79.774.4+5.3
4 Koshigaya Alphas26161062%82.873.7+9.2
5 Kumamoto26161062%83.883.1+0.7
6 Aomori26151158%86.587.2-0.7
7 Kobe26141254%80.778.8+1.8
8 Shizuoka26131350%80.078.3+1.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns26131350%81.284.6-3.3
10 Nara26111542%73.277.8-4.6
11 Fukushima2691735%78.982.6-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2671927%78.986.7-7.8
13 Iwate2652119%69.776.2-6.6
14 Niigata261254%70.484.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Shiga222317191495
Shizuoka211828141192
← all games of the day
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