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Shiga vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 81-73
20-20 22-13 25-17 14-23
Position#2
Record18-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.5
Shiga 🏆
Japan
vs
Kumamoto
Japan
Position#5
Record16-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.2
JapanB2.League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shiga v Kumamoto
31 Jan 2024
SHIG101
KUMA104
24 Dec 2023
SHIG81
KUMA73
23 Dec 2023
SHIG105
KUMA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 82
A25/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
105-83
105
83
+22
109avg 82
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 82
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 82
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
75avg 82
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 82
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 82
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
111-107
111
107
+4
105avg 82
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 82
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 82
H23/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
24-17
27-23
21-16
23-25
34-14
27-16
21-28
21-11
23-21
20-28
21-15
19-16
24-20
20-16
25-22
26-26
14-14
13-19
26-13
18-20
25-15
23-21
31-23
22-26
16-22
20-17
21-23
21-30
16-25
39-25
35-27
29-15
13-19
10-10
15-17
26-26
24-20
28-22
27-15
170.4Avg total
90.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.477.5164.0+8.972%
Season at home (12)84.574.8159.3+9.767%
Season away (13)88.280.0168.2+8.277%
Last 10 (10)90.979.5170.4+11.490%
Last 5 (5)91.883.6175.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.785.6163.3-7.914%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.776.3163.0+10.378%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 75
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 75
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 75
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 75
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 75
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 75
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
72avg 75
A23/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
18-25
13-20
32-12
15-29
26-26
20-24
22-28
15-27
172.7Avg total
86.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.283.2167.4+1.164%
Season at home (13)87.182.0169.1+5.185%
Season away (12)81.284.4165.6-3.242%
Last 10 (10)86.686.1172.7+0.570%
Last 5 (5)88.489.6178.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.387.5161.7-13.227%
vs Similar (16)84.379.1163.4+5.269%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
ShigaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/12
B2.League
83.8Avg total
43.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.039.480.4+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)44.440.985.3+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.983.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.341.780.0-3.429%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.239.783.9+4.470%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A23/12
B2.League
83.7Avg total
42.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.980.1+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.637.780.3+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)37.842.280.0-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.783.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.284.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.343.181.4-4.855%-
vs Similar (16)41.438.179.5+3.462%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.8
57.3%
52.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.7
37.0%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.2
73.6%
71.0%16.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.8
52.3%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
71.0%16.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WWWLWWWWWW
Kumamoto
LLWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+14.4
Net rating
-1.4
118.0
Offensive rating
108.0
103.6
Defensive rating
109.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.0%
3-point %
33.1%
68.0%
Assist %
54.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 108.0Defence103.6 · 109.4Shooting56.7% · 51.2%3-point %37.0% · 33.1%Ball care15.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Shiga   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shiga wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Shiga v Kumamoto105-83
08/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga91-85
07/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga86-100
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HKumamoto105-83
20/12/23AIwate67-61
16/12/23AKobe111-107
15/12/23AKobe79-88
10/12/23HNara97-79
09/12/23HNara79-72
03/12/23HYamagata Wyverns88-74
02/12/23HYamagata Wyverns85-75
26/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings105-83
25/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings93-73
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AShiga83-105
20/12/23ANara78-86
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%67%77%
Points / game86.484.588.2
Allowed / game77.574.880.0
Point differential+8.9+9.7+8.2
Avg total164.0159.3168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game84.287.181.2
Allowed / game83.282.084.4
Point differential+1.1+5.1-3.2
Avg total167.4169.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2523292%88.275.4+12.8
2 Fukuoka2519676%80.073.8+6.1
3 Shiga2518772%86.477.5+8.9
4 Koshigaya Alphas2516964%82.973.3+9.6
5 Kumamoto2516964%84.283.2+1.1
6 Aomori25151060%86.987.6-0.7
7 Kobe26141254%80.778.8+1.8
8 Shizuoka25121348%79.778.5+1.2
9 Yamagata Wyverns25121348%81.084.7-3.7
10 Nara25101540%73.177.9-4.8
11 Fukushima2581732%78.882.6-3.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2671927%78.986.7-7.8
13 Iwate2552020%69.775.9-6.2
14 Niigata251244%70.084.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga2022251481
Kumamoto2013172373
← all games of the day
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