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Shiga vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-83
26-26 24-20 28-22 27-15
Position#2
Record17-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game77.3
Shiga 🏆
Japan
vs
Kumamoto
Japan
Position#5
Record16-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB2.League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shiga v Kumamoto
31 Jan 2024
SHIG101
KUMA104
24 Dec 2023
SHIG81
KUMA73
23 Dec 2023
SHIG105
KUMA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 81
A19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 81
A25/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
105-83
105
83
+22
109avg 81
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 81
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 81
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
75avg 81
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 81
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 81
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
111-107
111
107
+4
105avg 81
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 81
A20/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
24-22
22-23
26-22
21-17
24-17
27-23
21-16
23-25
34-14
27-16
21-28
21-11
23-21
20-28
21-15
19-16
24-20
20-16
25-22
26-26
14-14
13-19
26-13
18-20
25-15
23-21
31-23
22-26
16-22
20-17
21-23
21-30
16-25
39-25
35-27
29-15
13-19
10-10
15-17
169.1Avg total
89.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.777.3163.0+8.471%
Season at home (11)82.674.1156.7+8.564%
Season away (13)88.280.0168.2+8.277%
Last 10 (10)89.879.3169.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)86.681.4168.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.585.1162.6-7.612%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.876.0161.9+9.877%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 75
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 75
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 75
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 75
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 75
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 75
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 75
A20/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
18-25
13-20
32-12
15-29
171.3Avg total
86.6Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.382.2166.5+2.067%
Season at home (13)87.182.0169.1+5.185%
Season away (11)81.082.5163.5-1.545%
Last 10 (10)86.684.7171.3+1.970%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.586.5158.9-14.027%
vs Similar (16)84.379.1163.4+5.269%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
ShigaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A26/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H02/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/12
B2.League
82.4Avg total
43.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.882.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.338.879.2+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)43.840.584.3+3.259%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.982.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.840.878.5-3.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.939.583.4+4.568%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A20/12
B2.League
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.079.9-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.680.8+3.775%-
Last 30 away (14)37.241.678.9-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.543.380.7-5.855%-
vs Similar (16)41.438.179.5+3.462%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.6
56.9%
52.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.6
36.9%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
71.0%15.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
52.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.8
73.1%
71.0%15.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WWLWWWWWWW
Kumamoto
LWWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+13.0
Net rating
+4.3
116.2
Offensive rating
110.3
103.2
Defensive rating
106.0
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
34.2%
68.9%
Assist %
54.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 110.3Defence103.2 · 106.0Shooting56.3% · 52.4%3-point %36.9% · 34.2%Ball care16.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Shiga   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shiga wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga91-85
07/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga86-100
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AIwate67-61
16/12/23AKobe111-107
15/12/23AKobe79-88
10/12/23HNara97-79
09/12/23HNara79-72
03/12/23HYamagata Wyverns88-74
02/12/23HYamagata Wyverns85-75
26/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings105-83
25/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings93-73
19/11/23AAomori94-81
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23ANara78-86
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%64%77%
Points / game85.782.688.2
Allowed / game77.374.180.0
Point differential+8.4+8.5+8.2
Avg total163.0156.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %67%85%45%
Points / game84.387.181.0
Allowed / game82.282.082.5
Point differential+2.0+5.1-1.5
Avg total166.5169.1163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2422292%88.775.8+12.9
2 Fukuoka2418675%80.174.5+5.6
3 Shiga2417771%85.777.3+8.4
4 Kumamoto2416867%84.382.2+2.0
5 Koshigaya Alphas2415962%83.274.1+9.2
6 Aomori2415962%87.187.5-0.4
7 Kobe25131252%80.378.6+1.6
8 Shizuoka24121250%80.678.6+2.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns24111346%80.885.0-4.2
10 Nara2491538%72.477.8-5.4
11 Fukushima2481633%79.883.0-3.2
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2571828%78.786.6-7.8
13 Iwate2451921%69.975.9-6.0
14 Niigata241234%69.784.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga26242827105
Kumamoto2620221583
← all games of the day
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