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Kumamoto vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 81-78
22-23 14-20 26-19 19-16
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#9
Record10-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.0
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shizuoka
29 Jan 2025
KUMA76
SHIZ63
26 Nov 2024
KUMA74
SHIZ71
25 Nov 2024
KUMA51
SHIZ60
03 Mar 2024
KUMA86
SHIZ85
02 Mar 2024
KUMA108
SHIZ101
03 Dec 2023
KUMA81
SHIZ78
02 Dec 2023
KUMA69
SHIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 76
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 76
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 76
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 76
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 76
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 76
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 76
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 76
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 76
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-19
23-14
18-21
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
167.6Avg total
83.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.981.7164.7+1.261%
Season at home (10)85.080.3165.3+4.780%
Season away (8)80.483.5163.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)83.983.7167.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)87.083.8170.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.485.8155.2-16.47%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.878.5162.3+5.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 73
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 73
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
no box
H05/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
81-56
81
56
+25
79avg 73
A11/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
67avg 73
A12/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 73
A18/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
A19/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 73
H25/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 73
H26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
53avg 73
A02/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
26-21
13-11
24-11
18-23
24-20
13-22
19-23
19-20
21-18
13-21
22-16
24-13
19-19
18-12
20-12
17-18
17-26
13-20
23-22
19-23
10-11
28-19
23-13
19-27
22-24
26-15
18-19
24-16
23-17
12-24
19-20
25-19
25-14
16-20
21-27
16-19
12-16
23-12
14-22
156.7Avg total
79.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.276.0156.2+4.256%
Season at home (11)83.777.8161.5+5.964%
Season away (7)74.773.1147.9+1.643%
Last 10 (10)79.577.2156.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)80.477.2157.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.374.7155.0+5.657%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
KumamotoShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
83.5Avg total
42.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.578.5-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.279.2+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.741.077.7-4.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.983.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.042.478.4-6.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.936.678.5+5.373%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A12/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A18/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H25/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A02/12
B2.League
79.0Avg total
40.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)40.337.277.5+3.256%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.536.479.9+7.273%-
Last 30 away (7)35.338.473.7-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.879.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.276.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.837.176.9+2.650%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
71.0%15.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.4
51.2%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.4
39.0%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.2
76.7%
71.0%11.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WWLLWLLWWW
Shizuoka
LWWLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#9
+0.3
Net rating
+14.1
108.6
Offensive rating
114.7
108.3
Defensive rating
100.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
39.0%
67.7%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 114.7Defence108.3 · 100.6Shooting51.4% · 54.2%3-point %33.1% · 39.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
0
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73
29/10/23HIwate78-71
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AKumamoto65-69
26/11/23HKobe87-80
25/11/23HKobe78-77
19/11/23AYamagata Wyverns92-94 OT
18/11/23AYamagata Wyverns80-66
12/11/23ANara70-86
11/11/23ANara81-56
05/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-89 OT
04/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas74-88
29/10/23HFukushima85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game82.985.080.4
Allowed / game81.780.383.5
Point differential+1.2+4.7-3.1
Avg total164.7165.3163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %56%64%43%
Points / game80.283.774.7
Allowed / game76.077.873.1
Point differential+4.2+5.9+1.6
Avg total156.2161.5147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1816289%86.673.7+12.9
2 Fukuoka1814478%79.373.9+5.4
3 Koshigaya Alphas1812667%84.672.8+11.7
4 Shiga1812667%85.376.3+8.9
5 Kumamoto1811761%82.981.7+1.2
6 Kobe1911858%78.775.8+2.9
7 Shizuoka1810856%80.276.0+4.2
8 Aomori1810856%85.287.0-1.8
9 Yamagata Wyverns1881044%79.784.1-4.3
10 Nara1871139%71.977.1-5.1
11 Fukushima1861233%80.883.2-2.3
12 Iwate1951426%71.677.6-5.9
13 Ehime Orange Vikings1951426%76.286.1-9.9
14 Niigata191185%67.183.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2214261981
Shizuoka2320191678
← all games of the day
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