PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shimane vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 68-90
14-30 16-19 22-19 16-22
Position#14
Record28-31
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#23
Record17-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.8
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shimane v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
03 May 2026
SHIM68
NAGO90
02 May 2026
SHIM91
NAGO85
05 Jan 2025
SHIM86
NAGO93
04 Jan 2025
SHIM67
NAGO78
15 Mar 2023
SHIM88
NAGO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A11/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
A22/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-28
8-25
15-24
10-16
12-19
19-9
11-21
18-26
21-13
14-17
15-14
15-18
26-21
15-22
20-14
26-12
27-30
16-21
14-20
24-28
22-18
16-12
11-14
19-23
12-32
21-29
22-22
17-24
30-23
13-23
19-18
19-15
24-18
22-13
16-23
22-24
25-16
10-26
34-19
159.6Avg total
76.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)79.781.0160.7-1.347%
Season at home (29)79.081.4160.3-2.445%
Season away (30)80.480.6161.0-0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.683.0159.6-6.450%
Last 5 (5)79.684.0163.6-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.279.0149.2-8.89%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.982.9163.9-2.047%
vs Weaker (4)73.577.2150.8-3.875%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H08/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A11/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A12/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
86-109
86
109
-23
A15/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H18/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
68-103
68
103
-35
H19/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A22/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H25/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H26/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-18
17-15
19-16
20-28
23-23
13-21
25-19
25-20
24-20
21-25
26-26
19-21
22-27
23-34
22-27
25-14
24-27
13-21
12-21
20-27
15-25
19-29
14-22
21-27
14-21
18-22
18-22
18-22
20-26
17-10
18-25
17-29
17-21
20-29
15-12
24-22
16-25
26-10
19-34
167.8Avg total
77.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)79.884.8164.6-5.029%
Season at home (30)78.384.6162.9-6.323%
Season away (29)81.485.0166.4-3.634%
Last 10 (10)77.290.6167.8-13.410%
Last 5 (5)73.292.0165.2-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.287.5164.7-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.285.9166.2-5.719%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
ShimaneNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A11/04
B League
Alvark
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A22/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/05
B League
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.480.6-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.239.680.8+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)38.841.580.2-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.939.775.6-3.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.741.584.2+1.153%-
vs Weaker (4)42.238.280.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A12/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A15/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H19/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A22/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H25/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H26/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/05
B League
86.3Avg total
39.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.482.5-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.543.180.6-5.524%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.885.1-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.746.686.3-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.449.085.4-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.345.984.2-7.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.941.281.1-1.338%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.0
54.3%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.4
29.3%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.9
77.9%
73.1%10.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
53.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
73.1%13.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WWLLWWWLLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LLLLLLLWLL
#14
League position
#23
-7.6
Net rating
-13.2
89.0
Offensive rating
89.5
96.6
Defensive rating
102.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.3%
3-point %
29.2%
76.4%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 89.5Defence96.6 · 102.7Shooting49.8% · 49.8%3-point %29.3% · 29.2%Ball care14.3% · 16.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Shimane   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles91-85
26/04/26HIbaraki Robots81-69
25/04/26HIbaraki Robots79-88
22/04/26ANagasaki74-106
19/04/26AHiroshima D.73-72
18/04/26AHiroshima D.104-102 OT
15/04/26HKyoto76-75
12/04/26AAlvark68-70
11/04/26AAlvark52-65
08/04/26HToyama68-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26AShimane85-91
26/04/26HNagasaki69-91
25/04/26HNagasaki73-83
22/04/26AAlvark71-92
19/04/26HSaga68-103
18/04/26HSaga74-83
15/04/26AToyama86-109
12/04/26AOsaka96-91
11/04/26AOsaka81-91
08/04/26HShiga69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLWLWW45%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %47%45%50%
Points / game79.779.080.4
Allowed / game81.081.480.6
Point differential-1.3-2.4-0.2
Avg total160.7160.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)38% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %29%23%34%
Points / game79.878.381.4
Allowed / game84.884.685.0
Point differential-5.0-6.3-3.6
Avg total164.6162.9166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%13%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)30% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki59471280%91.779.6+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex59451476%85.879.8+5.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa59431673%84.077.5+6.5
4 Gunma59411869%83.172.8+10.3
5 Diamond Dolphins59411869%82.974.7+8.2
6 Chiba59411869%84.176.7+7.5
7 Ryukyu59411869%82.075.1+6.9
8 Alvark59411869%81.377.2+4.0
9 Hokkaido59362361%88.286.6+1.6
10 Sendai59352459%82.779.7+3.0
11 NeoPhoenix59352459%85.783.2+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.59312853%85.983.8+2.1
13 Saga59312853%82.281.9+0.3
14 Shimane59283147%79.781.0-1.3
15 Yokohama59263344%79.381.6-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya59243541%76.580.4-3.8
17 Osaka59233639%81.283.0-1.8
18 Shiga59233639%80.685.2-4.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas59203934%75.382.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba59194032%78.884.0-5.2
21 Kyoto59194032%74.581.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots59184131%75.981.4-5.5
23 Nagoya Fighting Eagles59174229%79.884.8-5.0
24 Toyama59174229%81.588.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders59154425%75.784.0-8.3
26 Akita59104917%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1416221668
Nagoya Fighting Eagles3019192290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.