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Alvark vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 70-68
26-18 13-21 17-14 14-15
Position#8
Record34-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.3
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record23-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.6
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Shimane
03 Apr 2027
ALVA v SHIM
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ALVA70
SHIM68
11 Apr 2026
ALVA65
SHIM52
15 Dec 2024
ALVA63
SHIM74
14 Dec 2024
ALVA78
SHIM74
03 Mar 2024
ALVA90
SHIM80
02 Mar 2024
ALVA79
SHIM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 76
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
62avg 76
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
67avg 76
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
79avg 76
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
83avg 76
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
82avg 76
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-68
85
68
+17
83avg 76
H04/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 76
H05/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 76
A08/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
65-52
65
52
+13
66avg 76
H11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
18-27
9-25
18-6
30-21
24-29
11-29
11-23
21-19
11-19
20-16
24-23
24-23
27-23
16-21
16-26
21-21
19-26
20-24
23-12
18-23
30-12
21-24
11-24
29-18
20-14
18-17
18-19
25-11
21-19
16-18
24-24
27-21
23-17
18-32
16-12
16-10
19-12
9-19
21-11
158.8Avg total
78.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)80.477.3157.7+3.167%
Season at home (26)78.774.6153.3+4.069%
Season away (25)82.280.1162.3+2.064%
Last 10 (10)78.380.5158.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.071.4151.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.0160.0-8.040%
vs Similar (14)83.281.1164.4+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.673.3158.9+12.4100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
67-75
67
75
-8
65avg 74
H11/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 74
H14/03
B League
Saga
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 74
H15/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 74
A28/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 74
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 74
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
46avg 74
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
57avg 74
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 74
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
52-65
52
65
-13
39avg 74
A11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
16-16
25-24
10-20
19-25
23-20
26-19
23-32
20-23
20-23
22-15
18-16
27-21
18-16
14-22
25-19
26-14
17-22
15-23
19-20
25-23
17-18
18-25
20-21
21-19
20-14
7-20
7-21
15-26
19-17
15-18
16-20
23-21
22-28
8-25
15-24
10-16
12-19
19-9
11-21
152.9Avg total
71.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)79.580.6160.1-1.145%
Season at home (25)78.581.7160.2-3.240%
Season away (26)80.579.5160.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)71.981.0152.9-9.120%
Last 5 (5)64.081.0145.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.680.5155.1-5.925%
vs Similar (13)79.681.1160.7-1.538%
vs Weaker (5)71.676.4148.0-4.860%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
AlvarkShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H04/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H05/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/04
B League
81.7Avg total
43.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.183.7+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.981.9+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.285.5+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.581.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.631.477.0+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.846.289.0-3.460%-
vs Similar (14)43.339.983.1+3.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.537.582.0+6.964%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H11/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A28/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A11/04
B League
78.2Avg total
38.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.280.2-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.341.282.5+0.161%-
Last 30 away (12)38.238.676.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.678.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.540.378.8-1.858%-
vs Similar (13)40.840.581.4+0.354%-
vs Weaker (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.1
55.5%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
73.1%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.4
28.8%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.411.0
76.4%
73.1%11.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWLLLLLL
Shimane
LLLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#14
-2.5
Net rating
-12.4
94.5
Offensive rating
84.1
97.1
Defensive rating
96.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.7%
3-point %
28.8%
70.0%
Assist %
71.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 84.1Defence97.1 · 96.5Shooting52.7% · 48.3%3-point %32.7% · 28.8%Ball care13.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Alvark   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alvark wins
5
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Alvark v Shimane65-52
15/12/24Alvark v Shimane63-74
14/12/24Alvark v Shimane78-74 OT
03/03/24Alvark v Shimane90-80
02/03/24Alvark v Shimane79-87
15/05/23Shimane v Alvark82-83
13/05/23Shimane v Alvark72-82
12/05/23Shimane v Alvark86-71
12/02/23Shimane v Alvark66-59
11/02/23Shimane v Alvark77-67
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HShimane65-52
08/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex84-82
05/04/26HAkita86-72
04/04/26HAkita85-68
01/04/26ASendai80-83
29/03/26HNeoPhoenix94-98 OT
28/03/26HNeoPhoenix83-93
22/03/26HRyukyu76-77
20/03/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots76-102
15/03/26AGunma54-78
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AAlvark52-65
08/04/26HToyama68-98
05/04/26HGunma65-81
04/04/26HGunma55-74
01/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya80-87
29/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-79
28/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles84-78
15/03/26HSaga80-77
14/03/26HSaga91-96
11/03/26HOsaka67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game80.478.782.2
Allowed / game77.374.680.1
Point differential+3.1+4.0+2.0
Avg total157.7153.3162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game79.578.580.5
Allowed / game80.681.779.5
Point differential-1.1-3.2+1.0
Avg total160.1160.2160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)29% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki52411179%91.279.5+11.7
2 Diamond Dolphins51391276%84.173.0+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex52391375%86.280.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu51361571%81.474.6+6.9
5 Gunma51351669%82.773.1+9.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa51351669%83.777.8+5.9
7 Chiba52351767%83.176.4+6.7
8 Alvark51341767%80.477.3+3.1
9 Hokkaido52322062%87.885.7+2.1
10 Sendai51312061%82.079.7+2.3
11 NeoPhoenix51302159%85.683.0+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.52292356%86.583.6+2.9
13 Saga52272552%82.082.3-0.4
14 Shimane51232845%79.580.6-1.1
15 Yokohama51222943%79.281.8-2.6
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya52223042%77.380.5-3.2
17 Shiga52213140%80.384.3-4.1
18 Osaka52203238%80.382.8-2.5
19 Kyoto52183435%73.580.6-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52173533%80.583.7-3.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas52173533%74.882.3-7.5
22 Altiri Chiba51163531%78.884.3-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots51153629%75.680.8-5.2
24 Brave Thunders51143727%75.783.5-7.7
25 Toyama52124023%80.689.3-8.7
26 Akita52104219%73.985.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2613171470
Shimane1821141568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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