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Nagasaki vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 106-74
23-19 32-12 29-21 22-22
Position#1
Record43-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#14
Record26-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shimane
25 Sep 2026
NAGA78
SHIM85
23 Sep 2026
NAGA64
SHIM89
22 Apr 2026
NAGA106
SHIM74
02 Feb 2025
NAGA96
SHIM74
01 Feb 2025
NAGA69
SHIM78
18 Dec 2024
NAGA77
SHIM73
31 Mar 2024
NAGA81
SHIM85
30 Mar 2024
NAGA74
SHIM67
25 Oct 2023
NAGA77
SHIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
A19/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
18-18
34-19
26-15
19-31
24-16
22-24
25-27
28-21
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
15-17
18-27
20-22
27-16
25-20
23-16
21-29
21-24
20-26
18-21
23-21
21-15
17-15
29-18
32-12
12-24
18-27
26-28
18-20
31-18
175.8Avg total
91.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)91.379.8171.1+11.678%
Season at home (27)91.679.8171.3+11.881%
Season away (28)91.179.8170.9+11.475%
Last 10 (10)91.284.6175.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)90.285.2175.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.983.5172.4+5.464%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A11/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A19/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
17-22
15-23
19-20
25-23
17-18
18-25
20-21
21-19
20-14
7-20
7-21
15-26
19-17
15-18
16-20
23-21
22-28
8-25
15-24
10-16
12-19
19-9
11-21
18-26
21-13
14-17
15-14
15-18
26-21
15-22
20-14
26-12
27-30
16-21
14-20
24-28
22-18
16-12
11-14
152.1Avg total
71.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)79.680.5160.1-1.047%
Season at home (26)78.481.5159.9-3.042%
Season away (29)80.679.7160.3+0.952%
Last 10 (10)71.880.3152.1-8.530%
Last 5 (5)74.676.8151.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.179.7153.8-5.623%
vs Similar (13)80.482.1162.5-1.746%
vs Weaker (4)73.577.2150.8-3.875%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
NagasakiShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A19/04
B League
88.9Avg total
45.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.386.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.189.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.841.683.4+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.288.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.542.486.9+2.057%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H08/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A11/04
B League
Alvark
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A19/04
B League
80.9Avg total
40.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.280.7+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.240.982.1+0.365%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.278.9+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.380.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.540.278.8-1.754%-
vs Similar (13)42.040.782.7+1.354%-
vs Weaker (4)42.238.280.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.022.8
63.3%
53.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.915.7
78.9%
73.1%15.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.6
29.0%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.811.0
79.7%
73.1%11.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWLLWWWW
Shimane
WWWLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+6.2
Net rating
-10.2
101.5
Offensive rating
85.4
95.3
Defensive rating
95.6
57.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.1%
3-point %
29.0%
70.7%
Assist %
69.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 85.4Defence95.3 · 95.6Shooting57.2% · 48.6%3-point %33.1% · 29.0%Ball care15.5% · 16.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
4
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
24/12/25Shimane v Nagasaki101-93
09/04/25Shimane v Nagasaki72-63
02/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane96-74
01/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane69-78
18/12/24Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
31/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane81-85 OT
30/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane74-67
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AIbaraki Robots109-103 OT
18/04/26AIbaraki Robots90-69
15/04/26HHiroshima D.82-83
12/04/26AHokkaido90-89
11/04/26AHokkaido80-82
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
05/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles99-88
04/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles97-83
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AHiroshima D.73-72
18/04/26AHiroshima D.104-102 OT
15/04/26HKyoto76-75
12/04/26AAlvark68-70
11/04/26AAlvark52-65
08/04/26HToyama68-98
05/04/26HGunma65-81
04/04/26HGunma55-74
01/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya80-87
29/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %78%81%75%
Points / game91.391.691.1
Allowed / game79.879.879.8
Point differential+11.6+11.8+11.4
Avg total171.1171.3170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%63%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeLLLLW42%
AwayLLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %47%42%52%
Points / game79.678.480.6
Allowed / game80.581.579.7
Point differential-1.0-3.0+0.9
Avg total160.1159.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)38% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %4%4%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki55431278%91.379.8+11.6
2 Diamond Dolphins55411475%84.074.0+9.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex55411475%85.780.3+5.4
4 SeaHorses Mikawa55391671%84.177.7+6.4
5 Gunma55381769%82.772.7+10.0
6 Ryukyu55381769%81.674.7+6.9
7 Chiba55371867%83.576.8+6.7
8 Alvark55371867%80.176.9+3.1
9 Hokkaido55342162%88.086.1+1.9
10 Sendai55332260%82.279.3+2.9
11 NeoPhoenix55332260%86.183.5+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.55302555%86.583.8+2.7
13 Saga55292653%82.381.9+0.3
14 Shimane55262947%79.680.5-1.0
15 Yokohama55253045%79.181.2-2.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya55233242%76.480.2-3.8
17 Osaka55223340%81.082.8-1.8
18 Shiga55223340%80.885.0-4.1
19 Altiri Chiba55183733%79.083.9-4.9
20 Kyoto55183733%73.980.9-7.1
21 Koshigaya Alphas55183733%74.881.9-7.1
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55173831%80.284.5-4.3
23 Ibaraki Robots55154027%75.681.8-6.2
24 Toyama55144125%80.988.9-8.0
25 Brave Thunders55144125%75.684.1-8.5
26 Akita55104518%73.385.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki23322922106
Shimane1912212274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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