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Alvark vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 65-52
16-10 19-12 9-19 21-11
Position#8
Record33-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.8
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record23-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.9
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Shimane
03 Apr 2027
ALVA v SHIM
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ALVA70
SHIM68
11 Apr 2026
ALVA65
SHIM52
15 Dec 2024
ALVA63
SHIM74
14 Dec 2024
ALVA78
SHIM74
03 Mar 2024
ALVA90
SHIM80
02 Mar 2024
ALVA79
SHIM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Alvark
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
85.8▲ 6.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.7
80.6▲ 3.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
58%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.7
20.8▲ 0.1
🔥 Form · Shimane
4.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.6
69.0▼ 10.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.0
83.8▲ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
53%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.8
16.2▼ 4.6
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
66-92
66
92
-26
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H04/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H05/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
17-23
18-25
16-16
9-20
18-27
9-25
18-6
30-21
24-29
11-29
11-23
21-19
11-19
20-16
24-23
24-23
27-23
16-21
16-26
21-21
19-26
20-24
23-12
18-23
30-12
21-24
11-24
29-18
20-14
18-17
18-19
25-11
21-19
16-18
24-24
27-21
23-17
18-32
16-12
162.9Avg total
78.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)80.777.8158.5+2.966%
Season at home (25)79.275.5154.7+3.768%
Season away (25)82.280.1162.3+2.064%
Last 10 (10)78.484.5162.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)85.880.6166.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.0160.0-8.040%
vs Similar (14)83.281.1164.4+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.175.6163.7+12.5100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A08/03
B League
Osaka
#17
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H11/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H14/03
B League
Saga
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H15/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A28/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
6-20
22-18
10-18
16-15
16-16
25-24
10-20
19-25
23-20
26-19
23-32
20-23
20-23
22-15
18-16
27-21
18-16
14-22
25-19
26-14
17-22
15-23
19-20
25-23
17-18
18-25
20-21
21-19
20-14
7-20
7-21
15-26
19-17
15-18
16-20
23-21
22-28
8-25
15-24
155.6Avg total
73.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)80.180.9161.0-0.846%
Season at home (25)78.581.7160.2-3.240%
Season away (25)81.680.1161.8+1.552%
Last 10 (10)73.182.5155.6-9.420%
Last 5 (5)69.083.8152.8-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.681.9158.5-5.327%
vs Similar (13)79.681.1160.7-1.538%
vs Weaker (6)73.273.2146.3+0.067%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
AlvarkShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H04/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H05/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/04
B League
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.183.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)44.140.884.9+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.483.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.846.289.0-3.460%-
vs Similar (14)43.339.983.1+3.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.038.783.7+6.364%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H11/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A28/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/04
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H08/04
B League
80.1Avg total
39.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.180.8+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.341.282.5+0.161%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.478.2+1.358%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.580.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.040.880.8-0.864%-
vs Similar (13)40.840.581.4+0.354%-
vs Weaker (6)41.537.879.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.1
54.9%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.212.7
66.1%
73.1%12.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.4
51.0%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.4%
33.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
76.9%
73.1%11.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLLLLLL
Shimane
LLLLLWWLLL
#8
League position
#14
-7.2
Net rating
-12.7
94.3
Offensive rating
85.4
101.5
Defensive rating
98.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.7%
3-point %
30.4%
69.9%
Assist %
71.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 85.4Defence101.5 · 98.1Shooting52.3% · 48.8%3-point %32.7% · 30.4%Ball care13.1% · 17.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Alvark   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvark wins
6
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Alvark v Shimane63-74
14/12/24Alvark v Shimane78-74 OT
03/03/24Alvark v Shimane90-80
02/03/24Alvark v Shimane79-87
15/05/23Shimane v Alvark82-83
13/05/23Shimane v Alvark72-82
12/05/23Shimane v Alvark86-71
12/02/23Shimane v Alvark66-59
11/02/23Shimane v Alvark77-67
16/05/22Shimane v Alvark80-62
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex84-82
05/04/26HAkita86-72
04/04/26HAkita85-68
01/04/26ASendai80-83
29/03/26HNeoPhoenix94-98 OT
28/03/26HNeoPhoenix83-93
22/03/26HRyukyu76-77
20/03/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots76-102
15/03/26AGunma54-78
14/03/26AGunma66-92
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HToyama68-98
05/04/26HGunma65-81
04/04/26HGunma55-74
01/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya80-87
29/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-79
28/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles84-78
15/03/26HSaga80-77
14/03/26HSaga91-96
11/03/26HOsaka67-75
08/03/26ARyukyu64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW66%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %66%68%64%
Points / game80.779.282.2
Allowed / game77.875.580.1
Point differential+2.9+3.7+2.0
Avg total158.5154.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayWLLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %46%40%52%
Points / game80.178.581.6
Allowed / game80.981.780.1
Point differential-0.8-3.2+1.5
Avg total161.0160.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)29% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki51401178%91.279.3+11.9
2 Diamond Dolphins51391276%84.173.0+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex51381375%86.180.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu50351570%81.574.8+6.7
5 Gunma51351669%82.773.1+9.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa51351669%83.777.8+5.9
7 Chiba51341767%82.776.4+6.3
8 Alvark50331766%80.777.8+2.9
9 Hokkaido51321963%87.885.6+2.1
10 Sendai51312061%82.079.7+2.3
11 NeoPhoenix51302159%85.683.0+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.51292257%86.783.5+3.2
13 Saga51272453%82.082.3-0.3
14 Shimane50232746%80.180.9-0.8
15 Yokohama51222943%79.281.8-2.6
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya51213041%77.180.5-3.5
17 Shiga51213041%80.484.0-3.6
18 Osaka51203139%80.182.5-2.4
19 Kyoto51173433%73.280.6-7.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas51173433%74.682.2-7.6
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51163531%80.283.5-3.4
22 Altiri Chiba51163531%78.884.3-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots50153530%75.980.8-5.0
24 Brave Thunders51143727%75.783.5-7.7
25 Toyama51123924%80.589.3-8.8
26 Akita5194218%73.785.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark161992165
Shimane1012191152
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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