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Shimane vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:35
Final 86-93
31-13 28-26 16-28 11-26
Position#8
Record17-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#12
Record12-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.2
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shimane v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
03 May 2026
SHIM68
NAGO90
02 May 2026
SHIM91
NAGO85
05 Jan 2025
SHIM86
NAGO93
04 Jan 2025
SHIM67
NAGO78
15 Mar 2023
SHIM88
NAGO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 73
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-55
85
55
+30
89avg 73
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
64avg 73
A14/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
74-63
74
63
+11
66avg 73
A15/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
73-77
73
77
-4
62avg 73
A18/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 73
H21/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 73
H22/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
72avg 73
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 73
A29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 73
H04/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
18-23
20-22
23-13
18-12
15-22
26-12
26-9
13-13
22-17
15-16
15-19
17-20
15-19
21-15
21-9
23-18
15-10
17-23
18-26
11-18
13-14
15-11
15-28
17-14
27-24
22-29
18-20
17-14
13-15
15-21
14-9
24-19
18-21
19-18
25-20
14-25
23-23
18-12
12-18
150.8Avg total
76.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.074.3154.3+5.763%
Season at home (15)81.570.0151.5+11.573%
Season away (12)78.179.7157.8-1.650%
Last 10 (10)76.274.6150.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.279.0154.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Similar (10)73.575.4148.9-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.371.7152.9+9.667%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 68
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
84avg 68
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 68
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
68avg 68
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 68
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
62-58
62
58
+4
48avg 68
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 68
H22/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
68-61
68
61
+7
68avg 68
A28/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 68
A29/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 68
A04/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
26-21
11-20
26-15
32-20
16-24
18-22
18-17
18-17
29-22
22-24
8-26
19-19
6-17
24-12
27-15
18-31
22-27
15-11
22-24
16-7
14-20
15-12
17-19
19-19
20-20
12-17
18-18
20-16
12-20
17-9
19-16
13-12
17-21
32-10
17-31
25-14
23-23
12-18
18-12
149.5Avg total
75.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.279.2153.4-5.044%
Season at home (13)73.982.2156.1-8.231%
Season away (14)74.576.5151.0-2.057%
Last 10 (10)75.973.6149.5+2.370%
Last 5 (5)71.266.8138.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.683.8157.3-10.233%
vs Similar (14)73.477.0150.4-3.643%
vs Weaker (7)78.173.3151.4+4.971%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
ShimaneNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A14/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A15/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A18/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H21/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H04/01
B League
71.3Avg total
35.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.275.2+0.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.634.972.5+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.978.3-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.171.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.472.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (10)35.534.870.3+0.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.936.275.1+2.767%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A04/01
B League
77.9Avg total
39.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.579.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.243.682.8-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.777.2-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.877.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.470.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.644.182.7-5.633%-
vs Similar (14)37.041.078.0-4.029%-
vs Weaker (7)40.739.179.9+1.671%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.9
48.1%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
72.7%11.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.0
51.2%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.5%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws13.18.6
65.6%
72.7%8.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LWWLLLWLWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWWLWLWLWW
#8
League position
#12
+2.0
Net rating
+2.9
104.8
Offensive rating
103.1
102.8
Defensive rating
100.2
48.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.3%
3-point %
32.5%
66.3%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 103.1Defence102.8 · 100.2Shooting48.3% · 50.3%3-point %32.3% · 32.5%Ball care16.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.5% · 27.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Shimane   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shimane wins
1
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles67-78
29/12/24AChiba86-78
28/12/24AChiba85-81 OT
22/12/24HGunma84-87
21/12/24HGunma54-71
18/12/24ANagasaki73-77
15/12/24AAlvark74-63
14/12/24AAlvark74-78 OT
11/12/24HSaga85-55
08/12/24HKyoto80-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AShimane78-67
29/12/24ASaga79-74
28/12/24ASaga68-61
22/12/24HRyukyu69-74
21/12/24HRyukyu62-58
18/12/24HYokohama77-93
15/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya76-63
14/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-89
11/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa84-83
08/12/24HHiroshima D.89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWWLLL73%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %63%73%50%
Points / game80.081.578.1
Allowed / game74.370.079.7
Point differential+5.7+11.5-1.6
Avg total154.3151.5157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %15%13%17%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%31%57%
Points / game74.273.974.5
Allowed / game79.282.276.5
Point differential-5.0-8.2-2.0
Avg total153.4156.1151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2723485%91.578.9+12.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex2722581%84.476.4+8.1
3 Gunma2720774%79.070.9+8.1
4 Ryukyu2720774%83.275.4+7.8
5 Alvark2720774%77.370.6+6.7
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2719870%80.873.6+7.2
7 Chiba2718967%80.876.0+4.8
8 Shimane27171063%80.074.3+5.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya27161159%76.371.1+5.2
10 Osaka27141352%81.480.4+1.0
11 Kyoto27141352%81.480.4+1.0
12 Diamond Dolphins27141352%81.982.3-0.4
13 Akita27131448%72.372.7-0.4
14 Nagasaki27131448%74.075.2-1.2
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles27121544%74.279.2-5.0
16 Hiroshima D.27111641%77.683.3-5.7
17 Yokohama27101737%76.180.4-4.3
18 Saga2791833%74.776.9-2.2
19 Hokkaido2791833%73.879.6-5.8
20 Koshigaya Alphas2781930%77.181.9-4.8
21 Sendai2772026%72.479.1-6.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2772026%74.782.3-7.6
23 Brave Thunders2762122%75.486.0-10.6
24 Shiga272257%74.487.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane3128161186
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1326282693
← all games of the day
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