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Shimane vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 95-67
27-22 27-10 20-20 21-15
Position#12
Record11-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.8
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#23
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game83.3
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shimane v Shinshu
02 May 2027
SHIM v SHIN
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
SHIM97
SHIN79
16 Dec 2023
SHIM95
SHIN67
19 Dec 2021
SHIM75
SHIN67
18 Dec 2021
SHIM91
SHIN71
21 Mar 2021
SHIM70
SHIN60
20 Mar 2021
SHIM88
SHIN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
61avg 74
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 74
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 74
A08/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 74
A11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
80avg 74
A12/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 74
H30/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
90-59
90
59
+31
88avg 74
H01/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 74
H06/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-85
70
85
-15
54avg 74
A09/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
106-75
106
75
+31
98avg 74
A10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
13-19
14-16
20-23
24-20
25-16
17-21
15-28
32-19
17-26
19-15
24-23
23-17
17-21
21-18
16-24
22-20
21-24
19-27
22-20
21-20
26-16
19-29
17-22
26-12
20-15
23-20
21-12
18-16
28-26
22-16
25-17
13-19
20-17
22-30
15-19
36-20
27-21
25-10
18-24
164.1Avg total
84.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.877.8160.7+5.058%
Season at home (11)81.376.0157.3+5.364%
Season away (8)85.080.4165.4+4.650%
Last 10 (10)84.579.6164.1+4.940%
Last 5 (5)88.476.2164.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)81.476.8158.2+4.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.177.1160.2+6.073%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 68
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 68
H05/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
59-75
59
75
-16
48avg 68
A08/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
62-74
62
74
-12
45avg 68
A11/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
85-94
85
94
-9
78avg 68
A12/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
57avg 68
H02/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 68
H03/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
62-83
62
83
-21
53avg 68
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 68
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
76avg 68
A10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
16-16
24-14
24-30
23-13
20-23
16-26
24-17
11-24
15-12
21-18
12-21
11-23
21-19
14-20
16-12
22-25
22-18
19-25
22-26
27-19
10-20
14-23
13-21
14-19
19-25
23-8
14-28
21-18
17-26
14-23
10-16
15-17
25-20
13-26
28-20
21-23
25-19
16-17
17-24
154.4Avg total
73.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.683.3158.9-7.721%
Season at home (11)75.382.8158.1-7.536%
Season away (8)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.181.3154.4-8.220%
Last 5 (5)71.282.4153.6-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.784.2156.9-11.50%
vs Similar (10)77.478.7156.1-1.360%
vs Weaker (7)82.671.0153.6+11.686%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
ShimaneShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A08/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A12/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H01/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A09/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A10/12
B League
83.3Avg total
45.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.137.977.0+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)42.839.482.2+3.562%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.283.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.036.483.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)40.337.978.2+2.463%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.539.781.2+1.755%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A08/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H03/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A10/12
B League
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.876.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.339.075.3-2.727%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.778.3+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.643.080.6-5.423%-
vs Similar (10)39.037.576.5+1.560%-
vs Weaker (7)37.133.070.1+4.157%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.6
50.5%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.2
34.9%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
72.0%13.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.1
44.9%
50.9%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
33.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.010.7
71.3%
72.0%10.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WLWWLLLWLL
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLWW
#12
League position
#23
+6.7
Net rating
-11.4
114.3
Offensive rating
97.6
107.6
Defensive rating
109.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
34.2%
57.0%
Assist %
69.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 97.6Defence107.6 · 109.0Shooting51.3% · 48.0%3-point %34.9% · 34.2%Ball care13.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Shimane   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shimane wins
2
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
25/12/22Shinshu v Shimane84-101
24/12/22Shinshu v Shimane86-93
19/12/21Shimane v Shinshu75-67
18/12/21Shimane v Shinshu91-71
11/04/21Shinshu v Shimane62-71
10/04/21Shinshu v Shimane85-75
21/03/21Shimane v Shinshu70-60
20/03/21Shimane v Shinshu88-95 OT
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AKyoto106-75
09/12/23AKyoto70-85
06/12/23HDiamond Dolphins93-75
01/12/23HChiba90-59
30/11/23HChiba83-87
12/11/23ARyukyu84-91
11/11/23ARyukyu77-80
08/11/23AToyama92-83
04/11/23HBrave Thunders81-85
03/11/23HBrave Thunders69-76
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ARyukyu79-83
09/12/23ARyukyu81-83
06/12/23HSeaHorses Mikawa62-83
03/12/23HAkita70-80
02/12/23HAkita64-83
12/11/23AKyoto85-94
11/11/23AKyoto62-74
08/11/23ABrave Thunders59-75
05/11/23HToyama83-79
04/11/23HToyama86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%64%50%
Points / game82.881.385.0
Allowed / game77.876.080.4
Point differential+5.0+5.3+4.6
Avg total160.7157.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %21%36%0%
Points / game75.675.376.0
Allowed / game83.382.884.0
Point differential-7.7-7.5-8.0
Avg total158.9158.1160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1916384%80.964.6+16.3
2 NeoPhoenix1916384%89.278.2+11.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%77.467.9+9.5
4 Ryukyu1915479%81.777.7+4.0
5 Diamond Dolphins1914574%83.378.7+4.6
6 Brave Thunders2014670%81.876.5+5.2
7 Nagasaki1912763%85.383.5+1.8
8 Shimane1911858%82.877.8+5.0
9 SeaHorses Mikawa1911858%82.477.6+4.8
10 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1911858%73.973.8+0.1
11 Chiba1911858%83.383.3+0.0
12 Hiroshima D.1910953%79.375.2+4.1
13 Saga1910953%74.373.3+1.0
14 Osaka1991047%78.179.5-1.4
15 Sendai1981142%81.380.7+0.6
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya1981142%75.675.9-0.3
17 Gunma1981142%75.880.7-4.9
18 Akita1981142%71.376.4-5.1
19 Yokohama1971237%76.081.5-5.5
20 Kyoto1951426%75.683.6-8.0
21 Shinshu1941521%75.683.3-7.7
22 Hokkaido2041620%74.182.2-8.1
23 Ibaraki Robots191185%74.686.3-11.6
24 Toyama191185%72.587.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2727202195
Shinshu2210201567
← all games of the day
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