Shinshu and Ibaraki Robots face off in the B League on 15 November 2026, a contest where the balance is razor-thin as neither side holds a clear edge. Across the season, Shinshu has gone 6-11, scoring 83.9 points per game while conceding 86.8, and sits in 20th place, whereas Ibaraki Robots are 9-9, averaging 83.7 points and allowing 79.8, positioned 12th. At home, Shinshu is 4-5, 83.3 points for and 84.6 against, and in their last five they are 3-2; their recent home loss to Gunma 74-85 and away defeat to SeaHorses Mikawa 86-91 bookend a narrow away win over Akita 101-96. Ibaraki, on the road, is 5-3, 79.8 points for and 76.0 against, and in their last five they are also 3-2, with a recent loss to Kyoto 75-98 and wins over Akita 95-83 and Ryukyu 80-72. Their head-to-head record is even at 3-3, the last meeting ending 91-83 in favour of Shinshu. Pythia assigns a 45% chance to Shinshu and 55% to Ibaraki, naming the Robots the favourite, and projects a score of 83-85 with a total of 168.2 points; the model also estimates a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 83.9 | 86.8 | 170.6 | -2.9 | 35% |
| Season at home (9) | 83.3 | 84.6 | 167.9 | -1.2 | 44% |
| Season away (8) | 84.5 | 89.2 | 173.8 | -4.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 87.4 | 172.1 | -2.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 81.8 | 163.4 | -0.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 76.2 | 83.3 | 159.5 | -7.1 | 18% |
| vs Similar (14) | 81.7 | 83.9 | 165.6 | -2.2 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 93.8 | 84.4 | 178.2 | +9.4 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 83.7 | 79.8 | 163.5 | +3.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (10) | 86.9 | 82.8 | 169.7 | +4.1 | 40% |
| Season away (8) | 79.8 | 76.0 | 155.8 | +3.8 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.7 | 76.3 | 164.0 | +11.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.8 | 83.4 | 168.2 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 73.9 | 84.4 | 158.3 | -10.5 | 20% |
| vs Similar (13) | 82.4 | 82.2 | 164.6 | +0.2 | 46% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 89.3 | 75.1 | 164.4 | +14.1 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 42.3 | 82.8 | -1.8 | 47% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 40.9 | 42.0 | 82.9 | -1.1 | 55% | 45% |
| Last 30 away (19) | 40.3 | 42.5 | 82.8 | -2.2 | 42% | 42% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 43.9 | 86.8 | -1.0 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 42.2 | 82.6 | -1.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 38.8 | 42.7 | 81.5 | -3.9 | 36% | 36% |
| vs Similar (14) | 39.7 | 42.3 | 82.0 | -2.6 | 43% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 46.6 | 41.4 | 88.0 | +5.2 | 80% | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 43.7 | 84.9 | -2.5 | 30% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 43.6 | 44.9 | 88.6 | -1.3 | 41% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.9 | 42.1 | 80.0 | -4.2 | 15% | 23% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.2 | 43.3 | 89.5 | +2.9 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.4 | 45.8 | 89.2 | -2.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 37.8 | 42.7 | 80.5 | -4.9 | 20% | 20% |
| vs Similar (13) | 41.2 | 45.3 | 86.5 | -4.2 | 23% | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 46.0 | 42.1 | 88.1 | +3.9 | 57% | 43% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibaraki Robots +5 | 71.2% | 1.58 | 1.61 | 1.58 | 1.54 | - | - | +12.3pp |
| Ibaraki Robots +8.5 | 80.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp |
| Shinshu under 92.5 | 81.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp |
| Ibaraki Robots over 78.5 | 72.9% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp |
| Under 179.5 | 75.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 20.0 | 53.6% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.6 | 9.7 | 32.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 11.4 | 73.8% | 11.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.4 | 19.4 | 53.6% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.9 | 11.3 | 32.9% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.0 | 14.2 | 73.8% | 14.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/10/23 | Shinshu v Ibaraki Robots | 91-83 |
| 07/10/23 | Shinshu v Ibaraki Robots | 84-79 OT |
| 02/04/23 | Ibaraki Robots v Shinshu | 91-69 |
| 01/04/23 | Ibaraki Robots v Shinshu | 77-84 |
| 26/12/21 | Shinshu v Ibaraki Robots | 77-84 |
| 25/12/21 | Shinshu v Ibaraki Robots | 67-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Gunma | 74-85 |
| 10/11/26 | A | SeaHorses Mikawa | 86-91 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Akita | 101-96 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Kyoto | 67-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 80-72 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Kobe | 97-87 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 80-87 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 90-97 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 77-92 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Akita | 95-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Kyoto | 75-98 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Akita | 95-83 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Ryukyu | 80-72 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Osaka | 86-68 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 88-96 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 101-69 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Toyama | 83-61 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 102-87 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Alvark | 69-66 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Osaka | 98-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 35% |
| Home | LWWWL | 44% |
| Away | LLLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 9 | 8 |
| Win % | 35% | 44% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.9 | 83.3 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 86.8 | 84.6 | 89.2 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | -1.2 | -4.8 |
| Avg total | 170.6 | 167.9 | 173.8 |
| Over 168.25 | 59% | 56% | 62% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 22% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (6) | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 50% |
| Home | WWWLW | 40% |
| Away | WWWWL | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 10 | 8 |
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 62% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 86.9 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.8 | 82.8 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +3.9 | +4.1 | +3.8 |
| Avg total | 163.5 | 169.7 | 155.8 |
| Over 168.25 | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 | |
| 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 | |
| 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 | |
| 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 | |
| 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 | |
| 7 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 | |
| 11 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 | |
| 12 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 | |
| 13 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 | |
| 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 | |
| 17 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 | |
| 20 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 | |
| 21 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 | |
| 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 | |
| 23 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 | |
| 24 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 | |
| 25 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 | |
| 26 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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