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Tobol Kostanay 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 56-58
20-10 9-14 9-17 18-17
Position#12
Record4-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#13
Record2-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.5
Allowed / game76.4
KazakhstanNational League
Other2015-16
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay 2 v Pavlodar
17 Apr 2026
TOBO77
PAVL55
15 Apr 2026
TOBO80
PAVL67
22 Mar 2016
TOBO56
PAVL58
18 Feb 2016
TOBO61
PAVL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H31/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A02/02
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H17/02
National League
Pavlodar
#13
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H18/02
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A19/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A20/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H21/02
National League
Astana
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H19/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H21/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
14-25
24-15
20-17
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
10-23
14-31
17-14
13-18
12-30
11-15
18-20
16-20
17-28
13-13
15-20
12-14
17-25
21-7
16-20
12-20
18-18
18-27
14-17
14-23
19-16
25-6
13-5
12-15
139.8Avg total
65.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)58.578.5136.9-20.017%
Season at home (11)60.272.0132.2-11.827%
Season away (13)57.083.9140.9-26.98%
Last 10 (10)65.574.3139.8-8.820%
Last 5 (5)62.671.8134.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)53.680.9134.5-27.30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.069.2146.2+7.880%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazygurt
#4
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A31/01
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H02/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
43-102
43
102
-59
H17/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/02
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
39-70
39
70
-31
A19/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H20/02
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A21/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A19/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A20/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
43-83
43
83
-40
H21/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
12-18
14-20
15-25
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
9-19
6-20
11-18
13-13
9-9
12-21
14-21
15-22
13-15
21-26
6-30
15-10
13-22
15-18
8-19
15-6
15-15
17-18
9-21
16-9
17-22
7-28
13-18
6-15
125.8Avg total
50.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)55.576.4131.9-21.08%
Season at home (10)56.580.6137.1-24.110%
Season away (14)54.773.4128.1-18.77%
Last 10 (10)50.575.3125.8-24.80%
Last 5 (5)51.273.0124.2-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)53.077.1130.1-24.15%
vs Similar ◀ (5)64.874.0138.8-9.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -10.3-10.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Tobol Kostanay 2Pavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H31/01
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A19/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A20/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H21/02
National League
Astana
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H21/03
National League
73.7Avg total
32.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)28.942.871.6-13.915%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.639.469.0-9.825%-
Last 30 away (12)28.345.073.3-16.78%-
Last 10 (7)32.641.173.7-8.629%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.071.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)27.644.772.2-17.16%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.525.566.0+15.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazygurt
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A31/01
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
15-39
15
39
-24
A19/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H20/02
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A19/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A20/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H21/03
National League
66.0Avg total
26.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)28.338.867.1-10.515%-
Last 30 at home (8)27.140.867.9-13.612%-
Last 30 away (12)29.137.566.6-8.417%-
Last 10 (7)26.339.766.0-13.40%-
Last 5 (5)27.838.866.6-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)27.639.266.9-11.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.037.068.0-6.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
18/02/16Tobol Kostanay 2 v Pavlodar61-56
13/11/15Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay 279-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/16HKokshetay69-42
20/03/16AAtyrau 264-85
19/03/16HAstana66-72
21/02/16HKazygurt57-75
20/02/16ATobol Kostanay57-85
19/02/16ABars Petropavlovsk54-86
18/02/16HPavlodar61-56
17/02/16HKokshetay82-85
02/02/16AAtyrau 268-76
31/01/16HAstana 277-81
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/16HTobol Kostanay43-83
20/03/16ABars Petropavlovsk57-63
19/03/16AKazygurt51-65
21/02/16AKokshetay55-81
20/02/16HAtyrau 250-73
19/02/16AAstana 239-70
18/02/16ATobol Kostanay 256-61
17/02/16HTobol Kostanay43-102
02/02/16HBars Petropavlovsk52-65
31/01/16AKazygurt59-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay 2
National League 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLWLLW27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %17%27%8%
Points / game58.560.257.0
Allowed / game78.572.083.9
Point differential-20.0-11.8-26.9
Avg total136.9132.2140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2015-16
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %8%10%7%
Points / game55.556.554.7
Allowed / game76.480.673.4
Point differential-21.0-24.1-18.7
Avg total131.9137.1128.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau2523292%88.164.9+23.2
2 Tobol Kostanay2421388%84.554.3+30.2
3 Astana1510567%79.873.4+6.4
4 Kazygurt2416867%71.467.4+4.0
5 Kaspiy Aktau2315865%76.765.7+11.0
6 Bars Petropavlovsk24141058%62.565.4-3.0
7 Atyrau 224131154%61.867.1-5.3
8 Almaty21101148%75.169.3+5.9
9 Kapshagay2381535%71.872.7-0.9
10 Astana 22171433%57.568.9-11.3
11 Kokshetay2451921%54.072.1-18.0
12 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%58.578.5-20.0
13 Pavlodar242228%55.576.4-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay 220991856
Pavlodar1014171758
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