Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 96-45

29-14 22-12 33-11 12-8

Position#3

Record21-7

FormWWWLL

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game69.9

Shymkent 🏆

ChelSU Kostanay

Position#5

Record11-17

FormLLWWL

Points / game67.5

Allowed / game70.8

Higher League

Other2024-25

Meetings · Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ChelSU Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

89-74

+15

74avg 75

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

77-70

66avg 75

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

79-75

62avg 75

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

66-71

-5

50avg 75

A02/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

65-48

+17

53avg 75

H03/03

Higher League

Karaganda

90-55

+35

93avg 75

A04/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

88-41

+47

88avg 75

H05/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

91-67

+24

86avg 75

A06/03

Higher League

Turan

53-90

-37

29avg 75

H07/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

79-84

-5

63avg 75

A08/04

Higher League

28-15

25-20

16-22

20-17

23-16

28-8

12-25

14-21

22-24

26-16

7-11

24-24

23-25

13-15

14-13

16-18

26-18

22-8

12-10

5-12

22-15

21-13

26-15

21-12

30-16

18-8

21-7

19-10

24-12

22-16

17-26

28-13

8-25

16-13

5-33

24-19

22-26

23-19

20-18

14-21

145.2Avg total

77.7Scored

67.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	83.8	69.9	153.7	+13.9	75%
Season at home (14)	83.4	68.1	151.4	+15.3	79%
Season away (14)	84.2	71.8	156.0	+12.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	67.5	145.2	+10.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	67.4	147.6	+12.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.8	77.6	147.4	-7.8	40%
vs Similar (6)	78.7	84.2	162.8	-5.5	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.4	65.2	154.6	+24.3	100%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

57-79

-22

50avg 60

A30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

72-73

-1

59avg 60

H01/02

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

67-63

53avg 60

A01/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

66-71

-5

50avg 60

H02/03

Higher League

Shymkent

48-65

-17

41avg 60

A03/03

Higher League

Turan

69-90

-21

55avg 60

H04/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

52-72

-20

39avg 60

A05/03

Higher League

Karaganda

20-0

+20

no box

H06/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

85-44

+41

85avg 60

A07/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

61-69

-8

49avg 60

H08/04

Higher League

16-18

9-19

18-24

14-18

25-18

17-18

15-17

15-20

17-15

16-20

15-11

19-17

22-16

12-15

17-14

15-26

18-26

8-22

10-12

12-5

17-29

14-27

17-16

21-18

15-27

10-20

12-15

15-10

–

22-3

22-7

26-16

15-18

23-26

14-13

18-20

6-10

122.3Avg total

59.7Scored

62.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	67.5	70.8	138.2	-3.3	39%
Season at home (14)	67.1	65.1	132.3	+2.0	43%
Season away (14)	67.8	76.4	144.1	-8.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	59.7	62.6	122.3	-2.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	57.4	55.0	112.4	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	64.4	83.4	147.8	-19.1	7%
vs Similar (5)	72.4	66.2	138.6	+6.2	40%
vs Weaker (11)	66.5	51.1	117.6	+15.5	91%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ShymkentChelSU Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	17.9	42.3	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	17.7	41.7	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	18.1	42.9	+6.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.3	22.5	46.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.2	16.4	42.6	+9.8	84%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	24.1	41.6	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	13.9	36.3	+8.6	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	14.7	36.4	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	13.1	35.1	+8.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	16.3	37.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	13.6	35.0	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	13.8	33.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	14.8	34.0	+4.4	80%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.8	12.7	36.5	+11.2	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.1	18.1	34.2	-2.0	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.7	16.9	32.6	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.6	17.9	31.4	-4.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	17.8	31.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	14.2	21.0	35.2	-6.8	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	13.0	30.8	+4.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	44%	-

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

53-35

+18

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

51-24

+27

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

48-40

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

36-40

-4

A02/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

48-26

+22

H03/03

Higher League

Karaganda

43-28

+15

A04/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

48-24

+24

H05/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

46-28

+18

A06/03

Higher League

Turan

24-38

-14

H07/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

45-45

A08/04

Higher League

77.0Avg total

44.2Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	32.6	78.7	+13.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	30.7	76.8	+15.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.2	34.4	80.6	+11.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	32.8	77.0	+11.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	32.6	73.8	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	32.8	69.8	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.3	43.3	84.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	50.1	29.1	79.2	+20.9	95%	-

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

25-37

-12

A30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

42-36

H01/02

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

33-35

-2

A01/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

34-31

H02/03

Higher League

Shymkent

26-48

-22

A03/03

Higher League

Turan

31-56

-25

H04/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

25-47

-22

A05/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

44-10

+34

A07/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

37-39

-2

H08/04

Higher League

70.7Avg total

33.0Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.7	38.1	73.8	-2.5	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.4	37.5	72.9	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	38.7	74.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.0	37.7	70.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	40.0	72.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.6	45.1	76.8	-13.5	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.4	32.6	71.0	+5.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.4	30.3	70.8	+10.1	67%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	11.4	21.8	33.2	-10.4	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	22.2	40.8	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.8	18.2	39.1	+2.6	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.3	16.2	33.5	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	16.1	32.6	+0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.8	32.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.7	21.2	37.9	-4.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.3	15.6	33.9	+2.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.5	37.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.5	17.8	36.4	+0.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.4	16.5	32.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.8	15.8	32.6	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	17.0	33.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	14.7	15.8	30.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	12.2	26.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.0	17.1	33.1	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.2	15.8	32.0	+0.4	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.1	75.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	36.1	72.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.1	79.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	34.7	68.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.8	73.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.6	42.8	74.4	-11.2	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.3	40.8	78.2	-3.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.4	36.1	75.4	+3.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	33.5	35.2	68.8	-1.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.1	32.1	66.2	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.1	37.9	71.0	-4.9	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	31.1	31.9	63.0	-0.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	28.0	58.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	32.7	38.3	71.0	-5.6	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.0	33.6	67.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	34.6	31.3	65.9	+3.2	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Shymkent wins

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	65-48
28/01/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	88-76
12/12/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	108-65
20/10/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	91-86
24/02/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-95
24/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	66-82
22/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	68-99
11/11/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	71-81
09/04/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-87
18/11/22	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	60-93

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	79-84
07/04/25	H	Turan	53-90
06/03/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	91-67
05/03/25	H	CHAMP1ON	88-41
04/03/25	A	Karaganda	90-55
03/03/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	65-48
02/03/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	66-71
01/03/25	H	Turan	79-75
31/01/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	77-70
30/01/25	H	CHAMP1ON	89-74

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	61-69
07/04/25	A	CHAMP1ON	85-44
06/04/25	H	Karaganda	20-0
05/03/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	52-72
04/03/25	H	Turan	69-90
03/03/25	A	Shymkent	48-65
02/03/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	66-71
01/03/25	A	CHAMP1ON	67-63
01/02/25	H	Karaganda	72-73
30/01/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	57-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	75%
Home	WWWWL	79%
Away	WLWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	75%	79%	71%
Points / game	83.8	83.4	84.2
Allowed / game	69.9	68.1	71.8
Point differential	+13.9	+15.3	+12.4
Avg total	153.7	151.4	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	64%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	39%
Home	LLLWL	43%
Away	LWLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	39%	43%	36%
Points / game	67.5	67.1	67.8
Allowed / game	70.8	65.1	76.4
Point differential	-3.3	+2.0	-8.6
Avg total	138.2	132.3	144.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	43%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	28	25	3	89%	81.7	60.3	+21.4
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	29	24	5	83%	80.2	62.8	+17.4
3	Shymkent	28	21	7	75%	83.8	69.9	+13.9
4	Tigers-KazATU	29	12	17	41%	67.5	73.1	-5.6
5	ChelSU Kostanay	28	11	17	39%	67.5	70.8	-3.3
6	CHAMP1ON	29	4	25	14%	57.3	79.2	-21.9
7	Karaganda	29	3	26	10%	53.2	74.0	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Shymkent	29	22	33	12	96
ChelSU Kostanay	14	12	11	8	45

← all games of the day

Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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