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Siauliai vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 107-79
27-20 28-21 25-23 27-15
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeENBL· Siauliu arena (
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 79
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-76
100
76
+24
97avg 79
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 79
H26/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 79
A03/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 79
A11/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
66-103
66
103
-37
51avg 79
H18/12
LKL
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
104avg 79
A27/12
ENBL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
71avg 79
A30/12
LKL
Jonava
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 79
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
115-72
115
72
+43
114avg 79
A08/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
20-29
28-22
11-22
24-23
22-23
29-21
25-9
19-30
16-17
17-18
22-23
19-22
25-26
17-20
16-18
25-28
19-21
24-24
26-16
12-34
18-17
20-30
16-22
34-15
21-16
23-21
26-25
21-13
19-21
18-24
20-15
9-16
31-21
21-14
19-26
30-25
29-21
23-13
33-13
169.2Avg total
86.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.588.8180.2+2.875%
Season at home (2)89.584.5174.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.283.0169.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)88.680.4169.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.086.4160.4-12.411%
vs Similar (6)82.284.2166.3-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.686.7181.3+7.973%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-91
97
91
+6
91avg 67
A21/11
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
48avg 67
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
92-96
92
96
-4
75avg 67
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 67
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-115
71
115
-44
56avg 67
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 67
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 67
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 67
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 67
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
23-21
24-14
21-24
13-18
10-28
22-17
15-18
20-20
22-29
16-18
34-29
17-18
32-18
30-33
22-22
19-28
17-33
18-32
17-22
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
17-21
22-30
19-18
17-17
20-20
29-20
20-18
24-15
23-28
15-15
25-21
19-16
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
168.9Avg total
81.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.885.5169.2-1.850%
Season at home (2)72.589.0161.5-16.50%
Season away (2)95.082.0177.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.687.3168.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)79.079.8158.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.183.6155.6-11.521%
vs Similar (4)89.091.2180.2-2.250%
vs Weaker (7)93.181.0174.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
SiauliaiKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H26/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H18/12
LKL
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A27/12
ENBL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
LKL
Jonava
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A08/01
LKL
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.187.0-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.486.9-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)43.143.987.0-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.343.280.6-5.933%-
vs Similar (6)41.341.582.8-0.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.745.792.5+1.047%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A21/11
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
39.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.180.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.782.3-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.579.5-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.584.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.080.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.240.676.8-4.437%-
vs Similar (4)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.188.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.0
56.0%
53.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
72.2%14.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.2
45.1%
53.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws27.319.2
70.3%
72.2%19.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WWWWLWLLWL
Keila KK
LWWLLLWLLW
#4
League position
#12
+3.1
Net rating
-8.2
111.0
Offensive rating
102.8
107.9
Defensive rating
110.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.9%
3-point %
34.0%
58.7%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 102.8Defence107.9 · 110.9Shooting54.1% · 47.5%3-point %33.9% · 34.0%Ball care17.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Siauliai   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Siauliai wins
0
Keila KK wins
No previous meetings.
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24APieno Zvaigzdes115-72
04/01/24HJonava80-77
30/12/23AMazeikiai78-73
27/12/23AValmiera Glass Via104-77
18/12/23HJuventus66-103
11/12/23AGargzdai94-89
03/12/23ABC Wolves77-86
26/11/23HLietkabelis74-88
23/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes100-76
19/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-89
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83
22/12/23HViimsi82-80
18/12/23ABrno93-73
15/12/23HRapla75-86
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
08/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-115
03/12/23ATallinna Kalev101-91
28/11/23HLiege92-96
25/11/23AVEF Riga60-81
21/11/23AValmiera Glass Via97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game91.589.593.5
Allowed / game88.884.593.0
Point differential+2.8+5.0+0.5
Avg total180.2174.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.872.595.0
Allowed / game85.589.082.0
Point differential-1.8-16.5+13.0
Avg total169.2161.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus550100%93.075.6+17.4
2 Bakken Bears440100%92.875.8+17.0
3 Liege54180%91.678.0+13.6
4 Tartu Ulikool54180%82.671.2+11.4
5 Voluntari54180%81.470.8+10.6
6 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
7 Siauliai43175%91.588.8+2.8
8 Bristol Flyers63350%82.576.0+6.5
9 Newcastle Eagles42250%86.283.2+3.0
10 Keila KK42250%83.885.5-1.8
11 Lublin41325%88.893.2-4.5
12 Zwolle41325%66.877.8-11.0
13 Spartak Pleven51420%79.489.4-10.0
14 Brno61517%75.385.0-9.7
15 Valmiera Glass Via6060%80.797.3-16.7
16 Svendborg5050%67.295.0-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai27282527107
Keila KK2021231579
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