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BC Wolves vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-77
22-19 26-25 20-17 18-16
Position#3
Record10-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game74.9
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Siauliai
Lithuania
Position#10
Record1-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.5
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Siauliai
17 Mar 2025
WOL100
SIA84
02 Nov 2024
WOL103
SIA93
03 Dec 2023
WOL86
SIA77
04 May 2023
WOL83
SIA73
24 Oct 2022
WOL89
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
92avg 82
H28/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 82
A31/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
78avg 82
H05/11
LKL
Prometey
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 82
H08/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-64
75
64
+11
66avg 82
H12/11
LKL
Venezia
#12
L
77-93
77
93
-16
70avg 82
H15/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 82
A18/11
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 82
A21/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 82
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
83avg 82
H28/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
30-18
18-15
14-21
22-18
26-17
15-21
23-22
19-21
22-17
16-15
20-18
24-24
16-17
28-16
17-14
17-14
13-19
22-12
23-19
20-23
19-21
23-25
15-24
19-16
25-24
25-27
22-21
24-16
23-21
21-18
16-16
18-19
21-16
20-22
25-17
22-24
13-31
27-21
25-25
162.0Avg total
83.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.174.9162.0+12.291%
Season at home (5)85.870.2156.0+15.6100%
Season away (6)88.278.8167.0+9.383%
Last 10 (10)83.578.5162.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)84.685.4170.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.484.0163.4-4.633%
vs Similar (5)81.878.8160.6+3.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.575.8165.2+13.881%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
L
79-97
79
97
-18
73avg 78
H22/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 78
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
74avg 78
H29/10
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 78
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
87avg 78
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 78
H12/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 78
H14/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 78
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-76
100
76
+24
97avg 78
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 78
H26/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
18-33
15-22
22-20
34-28
24-28
22-20
24-17
18-18
19-22
22-31
22-19
18-28
28-19
17-20
21-22
25-15
24-24
23-12
17-23
20-25
23-18
26-21
22-31
22-27
19-22
16-18
25-23
15-16
20-29
28-22
11-22
24-23
22-23
29-21
25-9
19-30
16-17
17-18
22-23
173.9Avg total
85.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.087.5166.5-8.59%
Season at home (6)80.286.7166.8-6.517%
Season away (5)77.688.4166.0-10.80%
Last 10 (10)85.888.1173.9-2.330%
Last 5 (5)84.287.6171.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.787.1161.8-12.410%
vs Similar (7)83.187.1170.3-4.014%
vs Weaker (13)90.887.0177.8+3.869%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
BC WolvesSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H28/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A31/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/11
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H08/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/11
LKL
Venezia
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/11
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H28/11
Eurocup
81.6Avg total
42.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.780.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.738.079.7+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)42.639.281.9+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.681.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.041.478.4-4.422%-
vs Similar (5)43.636.680.2+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.737.882.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H22/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H29/10
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H26/11
LKL
89.9Avg total
43.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.085.4-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.743.887.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.183.3-4.913%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.789.9-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.942.680.5-4.740%-
vs Similar (7)40.143.683.7-3.40%-
vs Weaker (13)44.845.290.1-0.438%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.9
49.4%
55.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.9
40.5%
34.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.213.7
79.7%
73.2%13.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.224.6
59.7%
55.4%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
73.2%13.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWWWLWWWWW
Siauliai
LWLLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#10
+9.4
Net rating
-2.6
114.2
Offensive rating
113.1
104.8
Defensive rating
115.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.5%
3-point %
32.3%
62.3%
Assist %
60.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 113.1Defence104.8 · 115.8Shooting53.7% · 55.6%3-point %40.5% · 32.3%Ball care18.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Wolves wins
1
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
17/09/23Siauliai v BC Wolves66-68
04/05/23BC Wolves v Siauliai83-73
13/02/23Siauliai v BC Wolves107-102
24/10/22BC Wolves v Siauliai89-78
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HLondon Lions87-101
25/11/23ARytas84-74
21/11/23AHamburg84-71
18/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes91-88
15/11/23HVenezia77-93
12/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas75-64
08/11/23HPrometey85-71
05/11/23HJuventus77-71
31/10/23ACedevita Olimpija86-78
28/10/23HNevezis89-74
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HLietkabelis74-88
23/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes100-76
19/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-89
14/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga82-90
12/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/11/23HNevezis89-74
06/11/23ANevezis84-89
29/10/23HMazeikiai81-90
26/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes104-93
22/10/23HGargzdai79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game87.185.888.2
Allowed / game74.970.278.8
Point differential+12.2+15.6+9.3
Avg total162.0156.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Siauliai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game79.080.277.6
Allowed / game87.586.788.4
Point differential-8.5-6.5-10.8
Avg total166.5166.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves1110191%87.174.9+12.2
2 Rytas1210283%90.978.9+12.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas119282%79.869.7+10.1
4 Lietkabelis118373%86.381.9+4.4
5 Juventus127558%87.279.5+7.8
6 Jonava126650%81.484.8-3.4
7 Neptunas115645%87.887.2+0.6
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes114736%89.891.4-1.5
9 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
10 Gargzdai113827%76.491.4-15.0
11 Siauliai111109%79.087.5-8.5
12 Nevezis111109%78.891.3-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2226201886
Siauliai1925171677
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