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Keila KK vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-86
17-21 22-30 19-18 17-17
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#10
Record4-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v Rapla
04 Mar 2025
KEIL63
RAPL86
15 Dec 2023
KEIL75
RAPL86
13 Jan 2023
KEIL71
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
90avg 66
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 66
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 66
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
93-103
93
103
-10
84avg 66
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-91
97
91
+6
91avg 66
A21/11
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
48avg 66
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
92-96
92
96
-4
75avg 66
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 66
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-115
71
115
-44
56avg 66
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 66
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-19
21-20
27-10
19-17
19-18
22-22
30-23
27-17
12-19
23-17
18-20
22-27
26-33
26-18
19-25
29-32
23-21
24-14
21-24
13-18
10-28
22-17
15-18
20-20
22-29
16-18
34-29
17-18
32-18
30-33
22-22
19-28
17-33
18-32
17-22
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
173.1Avg total
85.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.984.6164.5-4.740%
Season at home (7)82.087.0169.0-5.043%
Season away (8)78.082.5160.5-4.538%
Last 10 (10)85.287.9173.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)79.492.0171.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)72.285.1157.3-13.024%
vs Similar ◀ (4)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (5)95.482.8178.2+12.6100%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 64
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 64
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 64
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 64
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 64
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 64
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 64
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 64
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 64
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 64
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
153.4Avg total
74.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.478.5151.9-5.127%
Season at home (6)71.779.2150.8-7.517%
Season away (9)74.678.0152.6-3.433%
Last 10 (10)74.079.4153.4-5.420%
Last 5 (5)72.682.0154.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.481.7153.1-10.320%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.779.3154.0-4.620%
vs Weaker (10)83.869.9153.7+13.980%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Keila KKRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A21/11
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
85.9Avg total
40.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.981.5-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.883.5-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.979.5-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.485.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.245.681.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.942.279.1-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.542.884.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)49.839.689.4+10.280%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
78.1Avg total
36.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.576.7-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.342.677.9-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.575.6-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.478.1-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.476.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.743.073.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.341.477.7-5.130%-
vs Weaker (10)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.9
49.3%
50.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
32.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.218.6
68.4%
70.5%18.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.7
50.3%
50.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.45.9
26.3%
32.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws17.911.7
65.4%
70.5%11.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLWLLWLWWW
Rapla
LLWLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#10
-3.4
Net rating
-8.4
107.3
Offensive rating
96.8
110.8
Defensive rating
105.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
26.3%
56.5%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 96.8Defence110.8 · 105.2Shooting52.5% · 46.6%3-point %38.4% · 26.3%Ball care18.7% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Keila KK   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
2
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Keila KK v Rapla71-85
29/11/22Rapla v Keila KK67-59
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
08/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-115
03/12/23ATallinna Kalev101-91
28/11/23HLiege92-96
25/11/23AVEF Riga60-81
21/11/23AValmiera Glass Via97-91
19/11/23HVentspils93-103
15/11/23HTartu Ulikool80-73
10/11/23AValmiera Glass Via90-80
03/11/23HLatvijas Universitate95-72
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game79.982.078.0
Allowed / game84.687.082.5
Point differential-4.7-5.0-4.5
Avg total164.5169.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %27%17%33%
Points / game73.471.774.6
Allowed / game78.579.278.0
Point differential-5.1-7.5-3.4
Avg total151.9150.8152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%17%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1211192%90.669.1+21.5
2 Prometey1110191%91.668.5+23.2
3 VEF Riga1410471%85.369.9+15.4
4 Ventspils139469%90.584.1+6.5
5 Rigas Zelli1510567%79.670.2+9.4
6 Tartu Ulikool149564%77.071.5+5.5
7 Tal Tech138562%80.677.8+2.8
8 BK Ogre148657%80.777.8+2.9
9 BK Liepaja148657%81.480.5+0.9
10 Parnu125742%73.275.9-2.7
11 Keila KK156940%79.984.6-4.7
12 Viimsi1551033%69.385.6-16.3
13 Rapla1541127%73.478.5-5.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via1531220%75.587.7-12.1
15 Latvijas Universitate1631319%68.686.5-17.9
16 Tallinna Kalev1421214%69.085.4-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1722191775
Rapla2130181786
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