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Gargzdai vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 89-94
28-25 21-19 24-24 16-26
Position#12
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#10
Record1-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game87.3
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Siauliai
22 Apr 2027
GAR v SIA
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
GAR90
SIA79
15 Apr 2026
GAR78
SIA81
05 Nov 2025
GAR102
SIA91
21 Sep 2025
GAR85
SIA93
11 Dec 2023
GAR89
SIA94
24 Apr 2023
GAR56
SIA60
07 Oct 2022
GAR76
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 68
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 68
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 68
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 68
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 68
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 68
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 68
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 68
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 68
A04/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
19-25
27-11
25-28
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
165.5Avg total
77.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.791.4168.1-14.825%
Season at home (6)77.893.0170.8-15.233%
Season away (6)75.589.8165.3-14.317%
Last 10 (10)77.787.8165.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)77.886.2164.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.486.4159.8-13.019%
vs Similar (4)85.288.2173.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 78
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
74avg 78
H29/10
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 78
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
87avg 78
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 78
H12/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 78
H14/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 78
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-76
100
76
+24
97avg 78
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 78
H26/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 78
A03/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
24-28
22-20
24-17
18-18
19-22
22-31
22-19
18-28
28-19
17-20
21-22
25-15
24-24
23-12
17-23
20-25
23-18
26-21
22-31
22-27
19-22
16-18
25-23
15-16
20-29
28-22
11-22
24-23
22-23
29-21
25-9
19-30
16-17
17-18
22-23
19-22
25-26
17-20
16-18
172.6Avg total
85.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.887.3166.2-8.58%
Season at home (6)80.286.7166.8-6.517%
Season away (6)77.588.0165.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)85.687.0172.6-1.430%
Last 5 (5)81.485.8167.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.987.0161.9-12.19%
vs Similar (6)83.786.8170.5-3.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.887.0177.8+3.869%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
GargzdaiSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
84.6Avg total
40.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.581.9-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.482.1-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.781.7-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.384.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.943.181.0-5.231%-
vs Similar (4)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H29/10
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H26/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/12
LKL
89.4Avg total
43.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.185.7-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.743.887.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.483.9-4.913%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.089.4-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.087.2-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.543.181.5-4.636%-
vs Similar (6)40.343.583.8-3.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.845.290.1-0.438%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.6
49.3%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
34.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.615.2
61.8%
73.2%15.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.9
58.9%
55.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
73.2%13.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLWLLWLLLL
Siauliai
LLWLLLWLLW
#12
League position
#10
-13.2
Net rating
-1.7
100.6
Offensive rating
113.6
113.8
Defensive rating
115.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
32.6%
62.9%
Assist %
60.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 113.6Defence113.8 · 115.3Shooting49.4% · 55.2%3-point %32.9% · 32.6%Ball care19.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
2
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
24/04/23Gargzdai v Siauliai56-60
16/02/23Siauliai v Gargzdai92-99 OT
07/10/22Gargzdai v Siauliai76-78
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103
25/10/23HNeptunas87-97
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ABC Wolves77-86
26/11/23HLietkabelis74-88
23/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes100-76
19/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-89
14/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga82-90
12/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/11/23HNevezis89-74
06/11/23ANevezis84-89
29/10/23HMazeikiai81-90
26/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes104-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game76.777.875.5
Allowed / game91.493.089.8
Point differential-14.8-15.2-14.3
Avg total168.1170.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game78.880.277.5
Allowed / game87.386.788.0
Point differential-8.5-6.5-10.5
Avg total166.2166.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1311285%91.778.8+12.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1311285%81.571.8+9.8
3 BC Wolves1311285%85.576.7+8.8
4 Lietkabelis128467%84.881.8+3.0
5 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
6 Neptunas137654%86.285.1+1.2
7 Jonava136746%80.183.6-3.5
8 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes134931%88.391.7-3.4
10 Gargzdai123925%76.791.4-14.8
11 Nevezis1321115%81.391.2-9.9
12 Siauliai121118%78.887.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2821241689
Siauliai2519242694
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