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Sichuan vs Guangdong Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game87.7
ChinaCBARound 11· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sichuan v Guangdong
21 Dec 2026
SICH v GUAN
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
SICH v GUAN
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
SICH54
GUAN102
19 Jan 2026
SICH76
GUAN104
31 Mar 2025
SICH90
GUAN119
01 Dec 2024
SICH104
GUAN94
17 Mar 2024
SICH92
GUAN104
17 Dec 2023
SICH104
GUAN115
18 Dec 2022
SICH105
GUAN116
26 Jan 2022
SICH76
GUAN110
13 Jan 2021
SICH88
GUAN114
27 Oct 2020
SICH90
GUAN111
05 Jan 2020
SICH108
GUAN119
14 Nov 2019
SICH100
GUAN123
30 Dec 2018
SICH101
GUAN108
20 Nov 2018
SICH104
GUAN121
02 Jan 2018
SICH101
GUAN115
24 Feb 2017
SICH91
GUAN111
11 Jan 2017
SICH130
GUAN109
27 Jan 2016
SICH101
GUAN93
31 Dec 2014
SICH94
GUAN120
14 Feb 2014
SICH98
GUAN102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sichuan
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.7
75.6▲ 1.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 99.7
97.8▼ 1.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
55%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.5
14.8▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Guangdong
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.7
85.8▼ 6.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.9
86.0▼ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
60%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 22.1
19.6▼ 2.5
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-20
18-28
28-23
18-19
18-21
23-26
12-27
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
176.8Avg total
79.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.295.7174.8-16.533%
Season at home (3)75.789.0164.7-13.333%
Season away (3)82.7102.3185.0-19.733%
Last 10 (10)79.697.2176.8-17.620%
Last 5 (5)75.697.8173.4-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)74.8101.5176.3-26.87%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
29-27
18-16
20-17
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
177.8Avg total
88.3Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.387.7175.0-0.350%
Season at home (3)88.078.3166.3+9.7100%
Season away (3)86.797.0183.7-10.30%
Last 10 (10)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.886.0171.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar (13)91.792.2183.8-0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.181.5174.6+11.664%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
SichuanGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
91.3Avg total
39.3Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.252.488.7-16.212%-
Last 30 away (14)38.350.588.8-12.214%-
Last 10 (10)39.352.091.3-12.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.252.489.6-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
91.8Avg total
43.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.192.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.144.191.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.846.192.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.991.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.891.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar (13)45.548.193.6-2.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.040.390.3+9.771%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLWWLLLL
Guangdong
WLWWLLLWLW
#17
League position
#10
-18.7
Net rating
+6.1
90.8
Offensive rating
102.5
109.5
Defensive rating
96.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
36.5%
53.2%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 102.5Defence109.5 · 96.4Shooting51.4% · 56.0%3-point %34.2% · 36.5%Ball care15.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sichuan   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sichuan wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Sichuan v Guangdong54-102
25/03/26Guangdong v Sichuan93-51
19/01/26Sichuan v Guangdong76-104
31/03/25Sichuan v Guangdong90-119
12/03/25Guangdong v Sichuan101-73
01/12/24Sichuan v Guangdong104-94
30/10/24Guangdong v Sichuan105-100
17/03/24Sichuan v Guangdong92-104
17/12/23Sichuan v Guangdong104-115
02/12/23Guangdong v Sichuan121-94
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101
17/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters71-93
15/04/26ATianjin84-100
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
06/05/26ABeijing94-102
03/05/26HGuangzhou90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.275.782.7
Allowed / game95.789.0102.3
Point differential-16.5-13.3-19.7
Avg total174.8164.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.388.086.7
Allowed / game87.778.397.0
Point differential-0.3+9.7-10.3
Avg total175.0166.3183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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