PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guangdong vs Sichuan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 101-73
16-25 31-13 34-15 20-20
Position#8
Record25-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#19
Record8-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game110.1
ChinaCBARound 39· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Sichuan
06 Jan 2027
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
14 Dec 2026
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
GUAN93
SICH51
12 Mar 2025
GUAN101
SICH73
30 Oct 2024
GUAN105
SICH100
02 Dec 2023
GUAN121
SICH94
16 Jan 2023
GUAN119
SICH99
26 Oct 2021
GUAN111
SICH108
22 Jan 2021
GUAN107
SICH92
07 Nov 2020
GUAN121
SICH90
16 Jan 2020
GUAN122
SICH100
05 Nov 2019
GUAN118
SICH115
29 Jan 2019
GUAN124
SICH113
26 Oct 2018
GUAN138
SICH111
04 Nov 2017
GUAN113
SICH109
01 Mar 2017
GUAN119
SICH97
26 Feb 2017
GUAN123
SICH99
16 Nov 2016
GUAN100
SICH93
23 Dec 2015
GUAN121
SICH123
16 Nov 2014
GUAN120
SICH110
08 Nov 2013
GUAN120
SICH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sichuan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 106
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 106
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 106
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-92
116
92
+24
131avg 106
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-94
112
94
+18
114avg 106
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-115
81
115
-34
68avg 106
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
111-82
111
82
+29
117avg 106
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
127-83
127
83
+44
126avg 106
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
115-117
115
117
-2
100avg 106
A07/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
106-87
106
87
+19
106avg 106
A10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-28
34-23
24-17
25-24
30-21
22-25
22-28
18-28
11-20
33-11
23-18
29-20
27-20
30-25
30-27
32-20
30-27
28-31
22-16
23-31
17-27
17-25
24-32
29-22
24-21
32-25
26-14
31-20
31-24
30-17
35-22
26-32
32-38
36-23
21-24
29-18
28-18
25-23
24-28
199.8Avg total
105.7Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)105.098.0203.0+7.066%
Season at home (19)107.497.7205.1+9.674%
Season away (19)102.698.3200.9+4.358%
Last 10 (10)105.794.1199.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)108.096.8204.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.799.3192.0-6.70%
vs Similar (14)101.4101.4202.8-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)105.089.8194.8+15.285%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
117-107
117
107
+10
88avg 85
H11/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 85
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
117-121
117
121
-4
104avg 85
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
99-115
99
115
-16
92avg 85
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
87-129
87
129
-42
68avg 85
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 85
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
84-97
84
97
-13
84avg 85
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
95avg 85
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
73avg 85
H07/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
97-105
97
105
-8
93avg 85
H10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
29-22
35-30
34-31
29-21
24-32
22-20
29-36
31-27
35-31
23-31
28-32
16-26
31-33
31-32
21-24
26-27
21-32
18-30
22-40
27-29
29-27
21-20
16-28
22-30
19-25
24-20
19-22
23-25
30-38
33-24
16-31
24-20
21-26
24-33
14-20
28-29
31-28
17-23
21-25
208.7Avg total
98.3Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)100.4110.1210.6-9.721%
Season at home (19)102.5108.0210.5-5.537%
Season away (19)98.4112.3210.6-13.95%
Last 10 (10)98.3110.4208.7-12.110%
Last 5 (5)91.8104.6196.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)93.1109.2202.3-16.25%
vs Similar (10)107.5111.0218.5-3.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.9-6.9
GuangdongSichuan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A07/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A10/03
CBA
100.6Avg total
51.9Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.250.0102.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.450.6102.9+1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)52.149.6101.6+2.556%-
Last 10 (10)51.948.7100.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.050.2104.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.353.0100.3-5.70%-
vs Similar (14)50.652.8103.4-2.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)55.046.4101.4+8.685%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H11/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H10/03
CBA
106.7Avg total
51.5Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.358.5108.8-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.455.3104.7-5.920%-
Last 30 away (15)51.361.6112.9-10.313%-
Last 10 (10)51.555.2106.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.855.4106.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.158.6107.8-9.510%-
vs Similar (10)52.858.1110.9-5.330%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.9
57.6%
52.6%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.6
38.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
76.3%15.3
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.323.6
46.9%
52.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.7
31.2%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws29.221.4
73.3%
76.3%21.4
They take 81.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWWLWWWWW
Sichuan
LLLLLLLLLW
#8
League position
#19
+12.4
Net rating
-12.2
116.2
Offensive rating
103.9
103.8
Defensive rating
116.2
57.4%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.2%
3-point %
31.2%
69.9%
Assist %
70.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 103.9Defence103.8 · 116.2Shooting57.4% · 46.9%3-point %38.2% · 31.2%Ball care18.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Guangdong   ■ Sichuan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Sichuan wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Sichuan v Guangdong104-94
30/10/24Guangdong v Sichuan105-100
17/03/24Sichuan v Guangdong92-104
17/12/23Sichuan v Guangdong104-115
02/12/23Guangdong v Sichuan121-94
16/01/23Guangdong v Sichuan119-99
18/12/22Sichuan v Guangdong105-116
26/01/22Sichuan v Guangdong76-110
26/10/21Guangdong v Sichuan111-108
22/01/21Guangdong v Sichuan107-92
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25AXinjiang106-87
07/03/25AShanxi Zhongyu115-117
05/03/25HLiaoning127-83
24/01/25HGuangzhou111-82
22/01/25AShanghai81-115
20/01/25ANanjing Tongxi112-94
18/01/25AFujian116-92
16/01/25AGuangzhou85-77
12/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters99-98
10/01/25HQingdao105-96
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HShenzhen97-105
07/03/25HBeijing83-99
05/03/25AJilin102-118
25/01/25ATianjin84-97
23/01/25HQingdao93-104
20/01/25HShanghai87-129
18/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha99-115
16/01/25AFujian117-121
13/01/25HTianjin104-109
11/01/25HNingbo Rockets117-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %66%74%58%
Points / game105.0107.4102.6
Allowed / game98.097.798.3
Point differential+7.0+9.6+4.3
Avg total203.0205.1200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sichuan
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL37%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %21%37%5%
Points / game100.4102.598.4
Allowed / game110.1108.0112.3
Point differential-9.7-5.5-13.9
Avg total210.6210.5210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%16%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3933685%103.992.6+11.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3829976%114.0107.6+6.4
3 Xinjiang37261170%110.1102.2+7.9
4 Beijing38261268%102.196.2+5.9
5 Shandong38261268%104.5100.0+4.5
6 Guangdong38251366%105.098.0+7.0
7 Qingdao38251366%104.299.7+4.5
8 Shanghai37241365%111.2102.4+8.8
9 Liaoning39251464%105.199.6+5.5
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou38241463%113.1105.3+7.8
11 Beijing Royal Fighters37211657%106.8102.1+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi39192049%106.1107.6-1.5
13 Shenzhen38152339%104.8106.5-1.7
14 Jilin39132633%102.5111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin38112729%102.6111.6-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets38102826%103.4113.8-10.4
17 Sichuan3883021%100.4110.1-9.7
18 Guangzhou3883021%96.9107.8-10.9
19 Fujian3763116%103.1115.4-12.4
20 Jiangsu Dragons3863216%93.4103.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong16313420101
Sichuan2513152073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.