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Guangzhou vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 86-104
24-31 18-24 22-26 22-23
Position#16
Record7-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game108.1
Guangzhou
China
vs
Shenzhen 🏆
China
Position#13
Record13-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game107.3
ChinaCBARound 37· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shenzhen
10 Mar 2027
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
GUAN86
SHEN99
08 Mar 2025
GUAN86
SHEN104
05 Feb 2024
GUAN109
SHEN96
03 Dec 2023
GUAN108
SHEN115
01 Jan 2023
GUAN109
SHEN105
21 Mar 2022
GUAN104
SHEN119
20 Dec 2020
GUAN96
SHEN98
21 Jan 2020
GUAN97
SHEN120
20 Nov 2019
GUAN116
SHEN88
25 Dec 2018
GUAN113
SHEN121
14 Dec 2018
GUAN98
SHEN104
06 Mar 2018
GUAN112
SHEN116
22 Dec 2017
GUAN117
SHEN128
23 Dec 2016
GUAN105
SHEN103
20 Dec 2015
GUAN118
SHEN126
11 Nov 2014
GUAN94
SHEN113
30 Dec 2013
GUAN93
SHEN108
12 Dec 2012
GUAN86
SHEN97
15 Jan 2012
GUAN109
SHEN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 88
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 88
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 88
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 88
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 88
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 88
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 88
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 88
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 88
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 88
A05/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
203.0Avg total
92.5Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)96.9108.1205.0-11.219%
Season at home (17)98.5108.5207.1-10.018%
Season away (19)95.4107.7203.1-12.421%
Last 10 (10)92.5110.5203.0-18.010%
Last 5 (5)97.6118.6216.2-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)92.7111.1203.9-18.40%
vs Similar (9)103.094.0197.0+9.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 96
H06/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
79avg 96
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
115-99
115
99
+16
116avg 96
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
112-115
112
115
-3
108avg 96
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 96
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
118-96
118
96
+22
124avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
99avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
21-28
22-17
13-19
29-33
22-30
19-21
25-23
29-26
28-36
33-17
25-20
46-21
21-41
25-25
20-28
32-30
30-17
27-23
19-31
29-23
39-20
24-25
26-28
23-28
33-31
32-24
14-29
16-30
23-35
24-22
23-17
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
30-31
28-42
31-18
26-18
209.6Avg total
105.3Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)104.8107.3212.1-2.536%
Season at home (19)105.0102.8207.8+2.247%
Season away (17)104.5112.3216.8-7.824%
Last 10 (10)105.3104.3209.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)107.8106.0213.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)96.3103.4199.7-7.121%
vs Similar (2)104.599.0203.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)114.1102.3216.4+11.878%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
GuangzhouShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
104.2Avg total
51.3Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.951.9101.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.951.9102.8-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)48.851.9100.7-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)51.352.9104.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.258.2109.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.054.0103.0-5.133%-
vs Similar (9)52.147.099.1+5.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H06/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A06/03
CBA
114.8Avg total
57.3Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.753.5107.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.252.5106.7+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)52.954.9107.8-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)57.357.5114.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.2114.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)50.654.4105.1-3.826%-
vs Similar (2)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.253.1112.3+6.189%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.724.8
48.0%
52.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.718.0
79.3%
76.3%18.0
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.930.4
56.4%
52.6%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
35.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
76.3%17.0
They take 80.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLLLLLLWL
Shenzhen
WWLLWWLWLL
#16
League position
#13
-19.4
Net rating
+1.5
99.6
Offensive rating
109.5
119.0
Defensive rating
108.0
48.4%
Effective FG%
54.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
33.3%
59.0%
Assist %
65.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 109.5Defence119.0 · 108.0Shooting48.4% · 54.3%3-point %32.9% · 33.3%Ball care18.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangzhou wins
3
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou101-108
24/03/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou106-115
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25AJiangsu Dragons115-109
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109
22/01/25ABeijing86-104
19/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters102-112
17/01/25HJilin118-96
15/01/25HNanjing Tongxi108-101
13/01/25AJilin112-115
11/01/25HShandong115-99
08/01/25HQingdao95-107
06/01/25HGuangdong84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %19%18%21%
Points / game96.998.595.4
Allowed / game108.1108.5107.7
Point differential-11.2-10.0-12.4
Avg total205.0207.1203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW36%
HomeLWWWW47%
AwayWLLLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %36%47%24%
Points / game104.8105.0104.5
Allowed / game107.3102.8112.3
Point differential-2.5+2.2-7.8
Avg total212.1207.8216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3731684%103.592.2+11.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3728976%114.6108.3+6.3
3 Xinjiang35251071%111.1102.8+8.3
4 Shandong36251169%104.799.5+5.2
5 Beijing37251268%101.695.8+5.8
6 Qingdao37251268%104.699.9+4.8
7 Guangdong37241365%105.098.3+6.6
8 Liaoning37241365%105.199.5+5.7
9 Shanghai36231364%111.4102.9+8.6
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou36231364%112.8104.8+8.0
11 Beijing Royal Fighters35201557%107.0102.1+4.9
12 Nanjing Tongxi37181949%106.3107.9-1.6
13 Shenzhen36132336%104.8107.3-2.5
14 Jilin37132435%102.5110.9-8.4
15 Tianjin36112531%101.9110.8-8.8
16 Ningbo Rockets3792824%102.8113.7-10.9
17 Sichuan3782922%100.5110.3-9.7
18 Guangzhou3672919%96.9108.1-11.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons3663017%94.1103.8-9.6
20 Fujian3663017%103.1115.6-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2418222286
Shenzhen31242623104
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