Siena vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 72-66

23-20 17-7 15-24 17-15

Position#4

Record20-15

FormLLWWL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game73.4

Siena 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#5

Record22-13

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game77.0

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Siena v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

71-81

-10

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

75-55

+20

H14/04

Lega A

Venezia

83-81

H21/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

94-90

A28/04

Lega A

Sassari

86-92

-6

H05/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-103

103

-24

A10/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-81 OT

-2

A12/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

92-73

+19

H14/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-69

H16/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

67-82

-15

A18/05

Lega A

23-20

18-14

19-25

11-22

23-10

17-16

19-13

16-16

23-22

13-24

25-14

22-21

29-18

21-19

23-25

21-28

21-26

20-20

32-19

13-27

22-25

16-23

17-29

24-26

13-18

26-20

17-20

14-12

24-13

22-22

26-23

20-15

20-19

15-15

19-19

21-16

10-14

13-18

19-29

25-21

160.8Avg total

80.1Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	77.2	73.4	150.5	+3.8	57%
Season at home (17)	81.7	70.8	152.5	+10.9	82%
Season away (18)	72.9	75.8	148.7	-2.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	80.7	160.8	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	81.6	160.0	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.3	84.7	150.0	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.1	78.5	154.6	-2.3	40%
vs Weaker (11)	79.1	75.1	154.2	+4.0	55%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

93-65

+28

H06/04

Lega A

Varese

81-95

-14

A14/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

85-67

+18

H21/04

Lega A

Cantu

78-69

A28/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

94-89

H05/05

Lega A

Siena

103-79

103

+24

H10/05

Lega A

Siena

81-79 OT

H12/05

Lega A

Siena

73-92

-19

A14/05

Lega A

Siena

69-75

-6

A16/05

Lega A

Siena

82-67

+15

H18/05

Lega A

30-23

24-12

16-16

23-14

20-29

15-30

21-18

25-18

21-12

25-14

14-16

25-25

22-11

19-23

24-19

13-16

24-27

24-17

21-25

25-20

25-22

23-16

29-17

26-24

18-13

20-26

20-17

12-14

13-24

22-22

23-26

15-20

19-20

15-15

19-19

16-21

14-10

18-13

29-19

21-25

161.6Avg total

83.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	81.4	77.0	158.4	+4.4	63%
Season at home (18)	85.6	77.4	163.1	+8.2	61%
Season away (17)	76.9	76.6	153.5	+0.4	65%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	77.7	161.6	+6.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	78.4	160.0	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	74.5	147.5	-1.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.3	77.7	154.9	-0.4	47%
vs Weaker (12)	87.4	75.9	163.3	+11.5	83%

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.9	39.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.9	37.4	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.1	19.1	38.3	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.8	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	19.1	36.1	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	24.7	39.0	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.8	75%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

41-34

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

40-26

+14

H14/04

Lega A

Venezia

36-46

-10

H21/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

50-37

+13

A28/04

Lega A

Sassari

41-46

-5

H05/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-48

-10

A10/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-38

A12/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

46-35

+11

H14/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-34

H16/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

23-32

-9

A18/05

Lega A

76.5Avg total

38.9Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	36.9	78.6	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	37.9	73.6	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	37.6	76.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.4	73.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	46.3	80.7	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.1	36.4	74.5	+1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.2	36.4	76.5	+3.8	45%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

54-35

+19

H06/04

Lega A

Varese

35-59

-24

A14/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

46-26

+20

H21/04

Lega A

Cantu

41-34

A28/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

48-44

H05/05

Lega A

Siena

48-38

+10

H10/05

Lega A

Siena

38-39

-1

H12/05

Lega A

Siena

35-46

-11

A14/05

Lega A

Siena

34-35

-1

A16/05

Lega A

Siena

32-23

H18/05

Lega A

79.0Avg total

41.1Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	36.8	78.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.9	79.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.2	73.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.7	38.7	77.4	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.9	37.7	80.6	+5.2	67%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	17.9	38.3	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.8	39.7	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	17.3	31.0	-3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	21.5	39.7	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.3	41.5	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.5	20.5	37.9	-3.0	27%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	37.4	76.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	41.9	78.2	-5.7	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.0	38.3	69.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.5	41.3	78.8	-3.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.4	76.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.6	79.1	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	37.2	73.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.9	35.7	76.6	+5.2	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	82-67
16/05/13	Siena v Olimpia Milano	75-69
14/05/13	Siena v Olimpia Milano	92-73
12/05/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	81-79 OT
10/05/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	103-79
03/03/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	72-68
05/11/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	66-71
17/06/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	84-73
15/06/12	Olimpia Milano v Siena	88-83
13/06/12	Olimpia Milano v Siena	79-82

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/13	A	Olimpia Milano	67-82
16/05/13	H	Olimpia Milano	75-69
14/05/13	H	Olimpia Milano	92-73
12/05/13	A	Olimpia Milano	79-81 OT
10/05/13	A	Olimpia Milano	79-103
05/05/13	H	Sassari	86-92
28/04/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	94-90
21/04/13	H	Venezia	83-81
14/04/13	H	Virtus Bologna	75-55
07/04/13	A	Cremona	71-81

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/13	H	Siena	82-67
16/05/13	A	Siena	69-75
14/05/13	A	Siena	73-92
12/05/13	H	Siena	81-79 OT
10/05/13	H	Siena	103-79
05/05/13	H	Brindisi	94-89
28/04/13	A	Cantu	78-69
21/04/13	H	Biella	85-67
14/04/13	A	Varese	81-95
06/04/13	H	Pesaro	93-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	57%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	57%	82%	33%
Points / game	77.2	81.7	72.9
Allowed / game	73.4	70.8	75.8
Point differential	+3.8	+10.9	-2.9
Avg total	150.5	152.5	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	59%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	67% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	63%
Home	WWWWW	61%
Away	WLWLL	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	63%	61%	65%
Points / game	81.4	85.6	76.9
Allowed / game	77.0	77.4	76.6
Point differential	+4.4	+8.2	+0.4
Avg total	158.4	163.1	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	39%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	67% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	35	27	8	77%	84.0	77.0	+7.0
3	Sassari	36	25	11	69%	87.9	82.2	+5.7
4	Virtus Roma	36	23	13	64%	77.7	75.5	+2.2
5	Olimpia Milano	35	22	13	63%	81.4	77.0	+4.4
6	Reggiana	36	21	15	58%	77.0	73.2	+3.8
7	Siena	35	20	15	57%	77.2	73.4	+3.8
8	Cantu	36	20	16	56%	74.2	70.6	+3.6
9	Venezia	35	17	18	49%	78.7	79.3	-0.6
10	Cremona	30	13	17	43%	79.9	80.4	-0.5
11	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.5	81.0	-4.6
12	Caserta	30	13	17	43%	72.1	77.0	-4.9
13	Brindisi	30	11	19	37%	81.4	82.8	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	11	19	37%	83.0	85.7	-2.7
15	Pesaro	30	10	20	33%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
16	Virtus Bologna	30	10	20	33%	75.0	80.2	-5.2
17	Biella	30	6	24	20%	72.3	83.7	-11.5
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	23	17	15	17	72
Olimpia Milano	20	7	24	15	66

← all games of the day

Siena vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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