Siena vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 92-73

24-13 22-22 26-23 20-15

Position#4

Record18-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game73.2

Siena 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#5

Record21-11

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game76.9

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Siena v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

69-77

-8

H29/03

Euroleague

Avellino

#11

70-75

-5

A01/04

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

64-76

-12

A04/04

Euroleague

Cremona

#10

71-81

-10

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

75-55

+20

H14/04

Lega A

Venezia

83-81

H21/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

94-90

A28/04

Lega A

Sassari

86-92

-6

H05/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-103

103

-24

A10/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-81 OT

-2

A12/05

Lega A

25-23

15-22

15-20

14-12

26-20

15-22

17-21

12-12

11-15

16-24

15-18

22-19

23-20

18-14

19-25

11-22

23-10

17-16

19-13

16-16

23-22

13-24

25-14

22-21

29-18

21-19

23-25

21-28

21-26

20-20

32-19

13-27

22-25

16-23

17-29

24-26

13-18

26-20

17-20

14-12

158.1Avg total

77.0Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.1	73.2	150.3	+3.8	56%
Season at home (15)	81.5	70.7	152.2	+10.7	80%
Season away (17)	73.2	75.5	148.7	-2.2	35%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	81.1	158.1	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	89.4	173.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.3	84.7	150.0	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.8	77.1	151.8	-2.3	38%
vs Weaker (13)	78.2	75.2	153.4	+3.1	54%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

78-81

-3

H16/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

71-85

-14

H24/03

Lega A

Sassari

85-79

A30/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

93-65

+28

H06/04

Lega A

Varese

81-95

-14

A14/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

85-67

+18

H21/04

Lega A

Cantu

78-69

A28/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

94-89

H05/05

Lega A

Siena

103-79

103

+24

H10/05

Lega A

Siena

81-79 OT

H12/05

Lega A

20-18

23-18

15-20

20-25

15-21

16-22

16-23

24-19

29-22

22-20

22-19

12-18

30-23

24-12

16-16

23-14

20-29

15-30

21-18

25-18

21-12

25-14

14-16

25-25

22-11

19-23

24-19

13-16

24-27

24-17

21-25

25-20

25-22

23-16

29-17

26-24

18-13

20-26

20-17

12-14

163.7Avg total

84.9Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	82.0	76.9	159.0	+5.1	66%
Season at home (17)	85.8	78.1	163.9	+7.8	59%
Season away (15)	77.7	75.7	153.4	+2.1	73%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	78.8	163.7	+6.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	76.6	164.8	+11.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	74.5	147.5	-1.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.9	77.6	155.5	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (15)	85.6	73.7	159.3	+11.9	87%

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.4	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.9	41.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.4	19.3	40.8	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	24.7	39.0	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.5	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.9	38.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	17.7	38.9	+3.6	67%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

40-45

-5

H29/03

Euroleague

Avellino

#11

41-42

-1

A01/04

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

27-39

-12

A04/04

Euroleague

Cremona

#10

41-34

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

40-26

+14

H14/04

Lega A

Venezia

36-46

-10

H21/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

50-37

+13

A28/04

Lega A

Sassari

41-46

-5

H05/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-48

-10

A10/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-38

A12/05

Lega A

79.4Avg total

39.3Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.2	75.9	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	35.9	76.9	+5.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	38.4	74.9	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	40.1	79.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.0	83.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	46.3	80.7	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	36.4	75.1	+2.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.7	35.8	75.5	+3.8	46%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

43-36

H16/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

31-43

-12

H24/03

Lega A

Sassari

51-42

A30/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

54-35

+19

H06/04

Lega A

Varese

35-59

-24

A14/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

46-26

+20

H21/04

Lega A

Cantu

41-34

A28/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

48-44

H05/05

Lega A

Siena

48-38

+10

H10/05

Lega A

Siena

38-39

-1

H12/05

Lega A

83.1Avg total

43.5Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	37.7	79.5	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	39.3	77.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	39.6	83.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.2	80.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.0	39.7	79.7	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.1	37.1	78.1	+4.0	60%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.3	36.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.5	36.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	17.3	31.0	-3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	35.9	72.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	42.2	78.6	-5.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	39.9	76.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.2	85.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.0	38.3	69.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	35.4	39.8	75.2	-4.5	15%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.8	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	36.1	75.6	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	36.2	77.0	+4.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	36.0	74.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.6	80.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.7	34.6	76.3	+7.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
12/05/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	81-79 OT
10/05/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	103-79
03/03/13	Olimpia Milano v Siena	72-68
05/11/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	66-71
17/06/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	84-73
15/06/12	Olimpia Milano v Siena	88-83
13/06/12	Olimpia Milano v Siena	79-82
11/06/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	86-58
09/06/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	86-77
04/03/12	Siena v Olimpia Milano	77-68

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/13	A	Olimpia Milano	79-81 OT
10/05/13	A	Olimpia Milano	79-103
05/05/13	H	Sassari	86-92
28/04/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	94-90
21/04/13	H	Venezia	83-81
14/04/13	H	Virtus Bologna	75-55
07/04/13	A	Cremona	71-81
04/04/13	A	Baskonia	64-76
01/04/13	A	Avellino	70-75
29/03/13	H	Barcelona	69-77

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/13	H	Siena	81-79 OT
10/05/13	H	Siena	103-79
05/05/13	H	Brindisi	94-89
28/04/13	A	Cantu	78-69
21/04/13	H	Biella	85-67
14/04/13	A	Varese	81-95
06/04/13	H	Pesaro	93-65
30/03/13	A	Sassari	85-79
24/03/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	71-85
16/03/13	H	Cremona	78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	56%
Home	LWWWL	80%
Away	LLWLL	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	15	17
Win %	56%	80%	35%
Points / game	77.1	81.5	73.2
Allowed / game	73.2	70.7	75.5
Point differential	+3.8	+10.7	-2.2
Avg total	150.3	152.2	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	60%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	67% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	66%
Home	WWWWW	59%
Away	LWWLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	66%	59%	73%
Points / game	82.0	85.8	77.7
Allowed / game	76.9	78.1	75.7
Point differential	+5.1	+7.8	+2.1
Avg total	159.0	163.9	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	35%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	67% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	6%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	32	25	7	78%	84.1	76.8	+7.3
3	Sassari	33	24	9	73%	88.5	82.8	+5.7
4	Olimpia Milano	32	21	11	66%	82.0	76.9	+5.1
5	Virtus Roma	33	21	12	64%	77.9	75.5	+2.4
6	Reggiana	33	20	13	61%	77.1	73.0	+4.1
7	Siena	32	18	14	56%	77.1	73.2	+3.8
8	Cantu	33	18	15	55%	74.0	69.5	+4.5
9	Venezia	32	16	16	50%	78.6	79.0	-0.3
10	Cremona	30	13	17	43%	79.9	80.4	-0.5
11	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.5	81.0	-4.6
12	Caserta	30	13	17	43%	72.1	77.0	-4.9
13	Brindisi	30	11	19	37%	81.4	82.8	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	11	19	37%	83.0	85.7	-2.7
15	Pesaro	30	10	20	33%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
16	Virtus Bologna	30	10	20	33%	75.0	80.2	-5.2
17	Biella	30	6	24	20%	72.3	83.7	-11.5
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	24	22	26	20	92
Olimpia Milano	13	22	23	15	73

← all games of the day

Siena vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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