Siena vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2010

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 90-76

22-22 27-16 23-16 18-22

Position#1

Record17-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game92.6

Allowed / game65.1

Siena 🏆

Pesaro

Position#11

Record6-10

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game81.6

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Siena v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

97-66

+31

H20/12

Lega A

Treviso

92-80

+12

A03/01

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#26

101-58

101

+43

H06/01

Euroleague

Caserta

100-75

100

+25

H10/01

Lega A

Barcelona

70-85

-15

A14/01

Euroleague

Cantu

87-56

+31

A17/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

100-70

100

+30

H24/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

76-72

H28/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

143-49

143

+94

A31/01

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#22

78-88

-10

A03/02

Euroleague

27-16

20-17

23-20

27-13

22-23

25-19

25-17

20-21

19-14

31-11

28-14

23-19

24-20

29-12

25-18

22-25

15-22

20-18

14-20

21-25

16-14

16-13

27-13

28-16

25-16

22-13

26-26

27-15

17-12

16-14

21-23

22-23

34-4

41-11

35-15

33-19

17-27

17-18

18-22

26-21

164.3Avg total

94.4Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	92.6	65.1	157.8	+27.5	100%
Season at home (9)	91.6	63.9	155.4	+27.7	100%
Season away (8)	93.9	66.5	160.4	+27.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	94.4	69.9	164.3	+24.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.8	67.0	163.8	+29.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.5	84.5	152.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	89.5	65.5	155.0	+24.0	96%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

76-73

A20/12

Lega A

Teramo

#13

82-78

H03/01

Lega A

Minsk

#27

93-85

H05/01

EuroChallenge

Virtus Bologna

80-82

-2

A10/01

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

92-86

H12/01

EuroChallenge

NSB Napoli

#16

126-64

126

+62

H17/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

86-89

-3

A24/01

Lega A

Apoel BC

#11

76-70

A26/01

EuroChallenge

Avellino

94-86

H31/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

90-77

+13

H02/02

EuroChallenge

24-17

10-19

18-20

24-17

22-18

18-22

28-20

14-18

27-26

27-19

22-25

17-15

21-28

19-17

27-16

13-21

20-25

25-24

28-18

19-19

47-20

38-19

14-9

27-16

25-19

14-22

30-24

17-24

18-22

22-19

16-16

20-13

20-23

26-22

31-23

17-18

21-28

17-14

29-16

23-19

168.5Avg total

89.5Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	81.6	81.6	163.2	-0.1	38%
Season at home (8)	84.8	78.9	163.6	+5.9	62%
Season away (8)	78.4	84.4	162.8	-6.0	12%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	79.0	168.5	+10.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	77.2	171.6	+17.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	67.2	87.8	155.0	-20.6	0%
vs Similar (18)	79.2	79.5	158.7	-0.3	50%
vs Weaker (7)	87.4	64.6	152.0	+22.9	100%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.3	36.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.9	38.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.6	36.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.6	47.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.4	48.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.3	19.9	40.3	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	19.9	44.4	+4.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	15.4	38.2	+7.4	90%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	15.5	38.2	+7.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	15.3	38.3	+7.7	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	14.6	38.3	+9.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	13.8	36.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.2	15.0	38.2	+8.1	93%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	17.9	35.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	14.6	38.1	+9.0	100%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

47-33

+14

H20/12

Lega A

Treviso

47-42

A03/01

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#26

50-25

+25

H06/01

Euroleague

Caserta

53-32

+21

H10/01

Lega A

Barcelona

35-40

-5

A14/01

Euroleague

Cantu

32-27

A17/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-29

+18

H24/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-26

H28/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

75-15

+60

A31/01

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#22

34-45

-11

A03/02

Euroleague

76.7Avg total

45.3Scored

31.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	32.5	75.5	+10.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	31.9	74.3	+10.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	33.2	76.7	+10.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	31.4	76.7	+13.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	28.4	72.6	+15.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	41.5	76.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	43.6	31.9	75.5	+11.7	82%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

34-36

-2

A20/12

Lega A

Teramo

#13

40-40

H03/01

Lega A

Minsk

#27

54-45

H05/01

EuroChallenge

Virtus Bologna

40-45

-5

A10/01

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

45-49

-4

H12/01

EuroChallenge

NSB Napoli

#16

85-39

+46

H17/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

39-41

-2

A24/01

Lega A

Apoel BC

#11

40-41

-1

A26/01

EuroChallenge

Avellino

46-45

H31/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

38-42

-4

H02/02

EuroChallenge

88.4Avg total

46.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.1	78.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	38.5	82.7	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	42.3	88.4	+3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	41.6	91.2	+8.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.4	41.0	74.4	-7.6	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	48.1	34.4	82.6	+13.7	71%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	17.5	40.3	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	19.8	45.2	+5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.8	16.9	39.6	+5.9	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.7	43.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	24.6	41.6	-7.6	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	15.9	37.9	+6.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	17.2	39.9	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.7	44.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	18.8	46.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.1	16.8	39.9	+6.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.9	36.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	36.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.4	19.6	35.0	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.4	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	28%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.3	14.3	31.6	+3.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	34.2	79.3	+10.8	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	34.2	79.9	+11.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	34.3	78.6	+10.1	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	38.5	87.6	+10.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	38.6	91.2	+14.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	43.0	76.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	45.9	33.6	79.5	+12.3	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.0	77.6	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	37.1	76.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	40.8	78.5	-3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	36.7	80.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.6	80.4	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.8	46.8	80.6	-13.0	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.3	30.1	69.4	+9.1	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/09	Pesaro v Siena	67-80
23/05/09	Siena v Pesaro	93-69
21/05/09	Pesaro v Siena	68-77
19/05/09	Siena v Pesaro	94-51
11/04/09	Pesaro v Siena	90-100
21/12/08	Siena v Pesaro	83-55

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/10	A	Anadolu Efes	78-88
31/01/10	A	NSB Napoli	143-49
28/01/10	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	76-72
24/01/10	H	Virtus Bologna	100-70
17/01/10	A	Cantu	87-56
14/01/10	A	Barcelona	70-85
10/01/10	H	Caserta	100-75
06/01/10	H	Fenerbahce	101-58
03/01/10	A	Treviso	92-80
20/12/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	97-66

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/10	H	Buducnost	90-77
31/01/10	H	Avellino	94-86
26/01/10	A	Apoel BC	76-70
24/01/10	A	Varese	86-89
17/01/10	H	NSB Napoli	126-64
12/01/10	H	Krasnye Krylya	92-86
10/01/10	A	Virtus Bologna	80-82
05/01/10	H	Minsk	93-85
03/01/10	H	Teramo	82-78
20/12/09	A	Biella	76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.6	91.6	93.9
Allowed / game	65.1	63.9	66.5
Point differential	+27.5	+27.7	+27.4
Avg total	157.8	155.4	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	94%	100%	88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	38%
Home	WWWWW	62%
Away	LLWLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	38%	62%	12%
Points / game	81.6	84.8	78.4
Allowed / game	81.6	78.9	84.4
Point differential	-0.1	+5.9	-6.0
Avg total	163.2	163.6	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (2)	20% (5)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	17	17	0	100%	92.6	65.1	+27.5
2	Caserta	16	11	5	69%	83.1	75.4	+7.6
3	Olimpia Milano	16	11	5	69%	79.1	75.6	+3.5
4	Cantu	16	9	7	56%	79.4	74.6	+4.8
5	Avellino	16	9	7	56%	75.9	76.9	-1.0
6	Sutor Montegranaro	16	9	7	56%	77.3	79.5	-2.2
7	Virtus Roma	17	9	8	53%	82.5	75.4	+7.1
8	Virtus Bologna	17	9	8	53%	75.5	74.8	+0.8
9	Biella	16	8	8	50%	82.0	79.2	+2.8
10	Teramo	17	8	9	47%	78.8	75.8	+3.0
11	Treviso	17	8	9	47%	82.8	83.6	-0.9
12	Varese	17	8	9	47%	75.5	79.5	-4.0
13	Pesaro	16	6	10	38%	81.6	81.6	-0.1
14	Cremona	16	5	11	31%	80.8	82.9	-2.2
15	Ferrara	16	4	12	25%	75.7	83.1	-7.4
16	NSB Napoli	16	0	16	0%	57.1	98.5	-41.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	22	27	23	18	90
Pesaro	22	16	16	22	76

← all games of the day

Siena vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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