Siena vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 80-70

24-16 14-16 23-14 19-24

Position#2

Record11-7

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game69.6

Siena 🏆

Pesaro

Position#15

Record4-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game89.5

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Siena v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nymburk

#32

75-78

-3

A15/01

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

68-72

-4

A19/01

Lega A

Maccabi Haifa

#29

66-86

-20

A22/01

Eurocup

Reggiana

65-55

+10

H26/01

Lega A

Maccabi Haifa

#29

92-73

+19

H29/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

#13

54-57

-3

A02/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

76-67

H07/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

89-80

A08/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

73-80

-7

A09/02

Italian Cup

Khimki M.

73-85

-12

A12/02

Eurocup

12-16

26-21

16-18

21-23

14-18

17-11

18-19

19-24

17-19

21-15

9-27

19-25

14-22

12-13

22-9

17-11

28-17

19-12

16-19

29-25

8-11

15-16

17-13

14-17

24-15

23-22

11-14

18-16

20-10

24-25

20-20

25-25

14-18

14-27

25-16

20-19

13-18

17-22

28-19

15-26

146.4Avg total

73.1Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.3	69.6	144.8	+5.7	61%
Season at home (9)	80.2	69.4	149.7	+10.8	89%
Season away (9)	70.3	69.7	140.0	+0.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	73.3	146.4	-0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	73.8	146.8	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.2	77.0	146.2	-7.8	0%
vs Similar (13)	71.2	70.8	142.1	+0.4	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	74.9	68.8	143.8	+6.1	67%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

77-82

-5

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

73-94

-21

H16/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

82-80

A22/12

Lega A

Reggiana

66-99

-33

H26/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

65-75

-10

A29/12

Lega A

Brindisi

86-91 OT

-5

H05/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

65-89

-24

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

88-82

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

88-100

100

-12

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-79

H02/02

Lega A

18-18

19-25

21-15

19-24

20-23

23-32

14-21

16-18

16-14

23-18

24-30

19-18

21-21

13-18

16-30

18-25

11-10

18-26

18-14

23-9

23-23

16-23

18-25

11-23

20-13

15-28

19-25

17-19

24-22

23-20

24-21

15-18

30-22

15-25

28-35

23-31

17-13

22-21

20-14

164.3Avg total

77.2Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.8	89.5	169.3	-9.7	22%
Season at home (9)	78.0	88.4	166.4	-10.4	22%
Season away (9)	81.7	90.6	172.2	-8.9	22%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	87.1	164.3	-9.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	88.2	170.0	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	76.9	86.8	163.7	-9.9	22%
vs Similar (7)	90.3	87.3	177.6	+3.0	71%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	16.4	33.1	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	16.4	32.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	14.4	30.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.4	16.1	33.5	+1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	42%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.3	21.0	39.2	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	15.9	32.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	17.4	35.9	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	15.5	30.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.4	15.2	33.7	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	19.6	43.7	+4.6	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nymburk

#32

38-37

A15/01

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

31-29

A19/01

Lega A

Maccabi Haifa

#29

38-34

A22/01

Eurocup

Reggiana

26-35

-9

H26/01

Lega A

Maccabi Haifa

#29

47-29

+18

H29/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

#13

23-27

-4

A02/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

47-37

+10

H07/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

44-35

A08/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

28-45

-17

A09/02

Italian Cup

Khimki M.

30-40

-10

A12/02

Eurocup

70.0Avg total

35.2Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	33.8	70.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	33.9	71.2	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	33.8	69.0	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	34.8	70.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.8	71.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	34.5	65.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.0	34.0	69.0	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.3	33.2	71.5	+5.2	58%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

37-43

-6

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-55

-12

H16/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

39-32

A22/12

Lega A

Reggiana

34-39

-5

H26/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

29-35

-6

A29/12

Lega A

Brindisi

46-32

+14

H05/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

31-36

-5

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

41-41

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

45-40

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

40-44

-4

H02/02

Lega A

78.2Avg total

38.5Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	41.7	80.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.7	78.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.5	41.3	78.9	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.6	42.3	87.9	+3.3	86%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.4	17.7	34.1	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.9	42.3	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.3	35.2	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.3	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.9	43.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-2.0	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.0	24.4	47.4	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.9	73.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	33.9	69.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	39.6	76.2	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	42.5	80.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.2	36.8	73.1	-0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	36.6	35.7	72.2	+0.9	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	43.3	82.4	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	43.8	81.7	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	46.3	84.4	-8.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	47.4	87.4	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.5	42.7	80.2	-5.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.7	45.0	89.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/13	Pesaro v Siena	69-94
18/02/13	Pesaro v Siena	78-73
21/10/12	Siena v Pesaro	65-60
26/04/12	Pesaro v Siena	81-85
03/01/12	Siena v Pesaro	75-78
10/04/11	Pesaro v Siena	66-72
10/02/11	Siena v Pesaro	81-68
19/12/10	Siena v Pesaro	104-61
07/02/10	Siena v Pesaro	90-76
18/10/09	Pesaro v Siena	67-80

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/14	A	Khimki M.	73-85
09/02/14	A	Sassari	73-80
08/02/14	A	Brindisi	89-80
07/02/14	H	Virtus Roma	76-67
02/02/14	A	Virtus Bologna	54-57
29/01/14	H	Maccabi Haifa	92-73
26/01/14	H	Reggiana	65-55
22/01/14	A	Maccabi Haifa	66-86
19/01/14	A	Cremona	68-72
15/01/14	A	Nymburk	75-78

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/14	H	Cantu	82-79
26/01/14	A	Caserta	88-100
19/01/14	H	Avellino	88-82
12/01/14	A	Venezia	65-89
05/01/14	H	Brindisi	86-91 OT
29/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	65-75
26/12/13	H	Reggiana	66-99
22/12/13	A	Cremona	82-80
16/12/13	H	Olimpia Milano	73-94
08/12/13	H	Virtus Roma	77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	61%
Home	WWLWW	89%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	61%	89%	33%
Points / game	75.3	80.2	70.3
Allowed / game	69.6	69.4	69.7
Point differential	+5.7	+10.8	+0.7
Avg total	144.8	149.7	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	78%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	22%
Home	LLLWW	22%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	22%	22%	22%
Points / game	79.8	78.0	81.7
Allowed / game	89.5	88.4	90.6
Point differential	-9.7	-10.4	-8.9
Avg total	169.3	166.4	172.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	17%	22%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	18	13	5	72%	78.3	69.2	+9.2
2	Brindisi	18	13	5	72%	77.2	73.9	+3.3
3	Cantu	18	12	6	67%	82.6	79.6	+3.1
4	Siena	18	11	7	61%	75.3	69.6	+5.7
5	Virtus Roma	18	11	7	61%	76.2	74.3	+1.9
6	Sassari	18	10	8	56%	83.2	79.4	+3.8
7	Venezia	18	9	9	50%	78.9	78.5	+0.4
8	Avellino	18	9	9	50%	76.9	80.8	-3.8
9	Reggiana	19	9	10	47%	75.6	72.6	+3.0
10	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	73.5	73.3	+0.3
11	Varese	18	8	10	44%	81.6	81.3	+0.3
12	Virtus Bologna	18	8	10	44%	79.2	79.7	-0.4
13	Pistoia	18	8	10	44%	76.8	79.4	-2.6
14	Cremona	18	6	12	33%	75.6	81.3	-5.7
15	Sutor Montegranaro	18	5	13	28%	79.6	88.4	-8.9
16	Pesaro	18	4	14	22%	79.8	89.5	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	24	14	23	19	80
Pesaro	16	16	14	24	70

← all games of the day

Siena vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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