Siena vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 May 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 82-85

13-28 27-22 15-22 27-13

Position#2

Record20-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game70.5

Siena

Reggiana 🏆

Position#8

Record15-15

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game74.5

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Siena v Reggiana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Reggiana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illinois State

61-49

+12

H26/03

CBI

Virtus Roma

93-89

A30/03

Lega A

Fresno State

61-57

A01/04

CBI

Fresno State

75-89

-14

H02/04

CBI

Fresno State

81-68

+13

H05/04

CBI

Sassari

82-81

H06/04

Lega A

Caserta

76-78

-2

A19/04

Lega A

Brindisi

84-66

+18

H27/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

80-71 OT

A04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-85

-11

H11/05

Lega A

0-0

31-21

0-0

30-28

24-28

19-8

25-28

25-25

0-0

26-32

0-0

35-25

0-0

24-43

0-0

51-46

0-0

39-22

0-0

42-46

22-22

18-20

25-20

17-19

20-15

18-17

20-22

18-24

22-8

18-26

22-8

22-24

16-17

12-16

17-15

19-16

24-18

13-26

22-22

15-19

150.0Avg total

76.7Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.9	70.5	147.4	+6.5	67%
Season at home (15)	80.1	70.4	150.5	+9.7	87%
Season away (15)	73.8	70.5	144.3	+3.3	47%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	73.3	150.0	+3.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	76.2	155.4	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	85.0	158.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	72.4	71.6	143.9	+0.8	62%
vs Weaker (11)	77.4	69.4	146.7	+8.0	64%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Reggiana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

71-70

A16/03

Lega A

Sassari

89-79

+10

H23/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

94-96

-2

A30/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

89-76

+13

H06/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

92-61

+31

H19/04

Lega A

Gaziantep

66-55

+11

H25/04

EuroChallenge

Zenit Petersburg

79-65

+14

A27/04

EuroChallenge

Venezia

#11

92-100

100

-8

A01/05

Lega A

Cantu

83-68

+15

H04/05

Lega A

Avellino

#12

74-82

-8

A11/05

Lega A

23-20

11-16

19-16

18-18

25-17

27-17

19-20

18-25

24-24

22-28

24-31

24-13

25-18

27-18

11-17

26-23

18-14

21-15

36-15

17-17

19-16

14-12

21-15

12-12

23-16

25-16

18-17

13-16

14-17

24-32

23-22

31-29

19-20

19-9

21-16

24-23

13-22

26-21

24-21

11-18

158.1Avg total

82.9Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	78.0	74.5	152.6	+3.5	50%
Season at home (15)	83.1	71.0	154.1	+12.1	87%
Season away (15)	72.9	78.1	151.0	-5.1	13%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	75.2	158.1	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	74.0	152.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.0	87.0	169.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.9	71.1	148.1	+5.8	73%
vs Weaker (12)	81.9	76.7	158.6	+5.2	50%

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaReggiana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.5	13.4	27.9	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.9	11.2	26.1	+3.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.1	15.7	29.7	-1.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.8	10.8	23.6	+2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	12.5	11.8	24.2	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.8	37.1	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.1	35.9	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.7	16.7	35.5	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	18.2	38.5	+2.0	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.0	41.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.0	36.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	15.2	33.3	+2.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	19.2	39.1	+0.6	58%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illinois State

31-21

+10

H26/03

CBI

Virtus Roma

43-36

A30/03

Lega A

Fresno State

26-32

-6

A01/04

CBI

Fresno State

24-43

-19

H02/04

CBI

Fresno State

39-22

+17

H05/04

CBI

Sassari

40-42

-2

H06/04

Lega A

Caserta

38-32

A19/04

Lega A

Brindisi

40-34

H27/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

28-33

-5

A04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-44

-7

H11/05

Lega A

68.5Avg total

34.6Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	33.5	69.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	32.9	70.5	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	34.0	67.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	33.9	68.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	40.0	70.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.1	34.0	69.1	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	36.1	31.7	67.8	+4.4	64%	-

This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

34-36

-2

A16/03

Lega A

Sassari

52-34

+18

H23/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

46-52

-6

A30/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

52-36

+16

H06/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

39-29

+10

H19/04

Lega A

Gaziantep

33-28

H25/04

EuroChallenge

Zenit Petersburg

48-32

+16

A27/04

EuroChallenge

Venezia

#11

38-49

-11

A01/05

Lega A

Cantu

38-29

H04/05

Lega A

Avellino

#12

39-43

-4

A11/05

Lega A

78.7Avg total

41.9Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	34.5	75.7	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	37.9	73.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	36.8	78.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.2	75.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	51.0	89.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.9	33.4	70.3	+3.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.1	37.5	77.6	+2.6	58%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.1	13.8	28.9	+1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	12.5	10.4	22.9	+2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.1	11.5	24.6	+1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	19.0	47.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	12.3	12.7	25.0	-0.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.4	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	24.9	50.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	27.2	54.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	26.0	41.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	25.0	24.9	49.9	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	18%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.1	39.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.7	18.6	37.2	+0.1	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.8	74.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	35.3	73.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.7	79.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	45.0	88.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.3	37.6	74.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.2	78.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	36.3	78.6	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.8	77.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.5	36.0	79.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.5	37.4	76.9	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Reggiana wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/14	Siena v Reggiana	65-55
20/10/13	Reggiana v Siena	67-59
08/02/13	Siena v Reggiana	82-73
21/01/13	Siena v Reggiana	64-49
30/09/12	Reggiana v Siena	56-61

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	74-85
04/05/14	A	Varese	80-71 OT
27/04/14	H	Brindisi	84-66
19/04/14	A	Caserta	76-78
06/04/14	H	Sassari	82-81
05/04/14	H	Fresno State	81-68
02/04/14	H	Fresno State	75-89
01/04/14	A	Fresno State	61-57
30/03/14	A	Virtus Roma	93-89
26/03/14	H	Illinois State	61-49

Reggianalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	A	Avellino	74-82
04/05/14	H	Cantu	83-68
01/05/14	A	Venezia	92-100
27/04/14	A	Zenit Petersburg	79-65
25/04/14	H	Gaziantep	66-55
19/04/14	H	Pesaro	92-61
06/04/14	H	Virtus Roma	89-76
30/03/14	A	Cremona	94-96
23/03/14	H	Sassari	89-79
16/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	WWWWL	87%
Away	WLWLW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	67%	87%	47%
Points / game	76.9	80.1	73.8
Allowed / game	70.5	70.4	70.5
Point differential	+6.5	+9.7	+3.3
Avg total	147.4	150.5	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	67%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	100% (1)	33% (9)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Reggiana

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	LWWWW	87%
Away	LWLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	50%	87%	13%
Points / game	78.0	83.1	72.9
Allowed / game	74.5	71.0	78.1
Point differential	+3.5	+12.1	-5.1
Avg total	152.6	154.1	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	67%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	31	26	5	84%	81.5	70.7	+10.7
2	Siena	30	20	10	67%	76.9	70.5	+6.5
3	Cantu	30	20	10	67%	81.1	76.3	+4.7
4	Sassari	31	19	12	61%	85.9	79.8	+6.2
5	Brindisi	31	18	13	58%	76.1	74.8	+1.3
6	Virtus Roma	30	17	13	57%	78.6	78.3	+0.2
7	Reggiana	30	15	15	50%	78.0	74.5	+3.5
8	Caserta	30	15	15	50%	73.0	72.5	+0.5
9	Pistoia	31	15	16	48%	76.0	77.3	-1.3
10	Varese	30	13	17	43%	79.6	81.9	-2.3
11	Venezia	30	12	18	40%	79.8	80.7	-0.9
12	Avellino	30	12	18	40%	76.4	80.6	-4.3
13	Virtus Bologna	30	11	19	37%	77.8	79.2	-1.4
14	Cremona	30	11	19	37%	76.2	82.1	-6.0
15	Pesaro	30	9	21	30%	78.7	87.4	-8.7
16	Sutor Montegranaro	30	9	21	30%	77.6	86.9	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	13	27	15	27	82
Reggiana	28	22	22	13	85

← all games of the day

Siena vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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