Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 89-93

28-24 8-19 28-25 25-25

Position#5

Record15-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game76.4

Virtus Roma

Siena 🏆

Position#2

Record16-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game68.5

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-70

+18

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

62-72

-10

A26/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

72-80

-8

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

67-76

-9

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

80-83

-3

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

82-79

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

89-85 OT

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

85-80

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

61-85

-24

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

96-85

+11

H22/03

Lega A

23-18

22-19

23-9

20-24

18-19

10-9

14-20

20-24

19-28

17-22

24-11

12-19

15-24

22-23

14-11

16-18

17-23

23-22

19-23

21-15

22-12

19-22

18-18

23-27

22-18

18-16

23-22

10-17

26-19

14-24

21-23

24-14

13-21

18-25

16-17

14-22

28-12

16-24

29-21

23-28

157.7Avg total

78.2Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	77.7	76.4	154.1	+1.2	62%
Season at home (12)	78.6	75.5	154.1	+3.1	67%
Season away (12)	76.8	77.3	154.1	-0.6	58%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	79.5	157.7	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	82.8	165.4	-0.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.2	76.3	149.5	-3.1	36%
vs Similar (12)	78.9	80.2	159.1	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker (6)	81.5	73.5	155.0	+8.0	83%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

80-70

+10

H16/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#32

86-84

H19/02

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

71-66

A23/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

78-50

+28

A02/03

Lega A

Cantu

68-62

H08/03

Lega A

Pistoia

76-77

-1

A16/03

Lega A

Stony Brook

#15

66-55

+11

H18/03

CBI

Avellino

#12

91-67

+24

H23/03

Lega A

Penn State

54-52

H24/03

CBI

Illinois State

61-49

+12

H26/03

CBI

24-16

14-16

23-14

19-24

21-17

26-23

22-17

17-27

17-14

15-19

18-12

21-21

13-17

23-11

26-5

16-17

18-19

22-17

9-13

19-13

13-24

23-17

14-23

26-13

0-0

31-34

0-0

35-21

27-14

25-10

16-20

23-23

0-0

25-21

0-0

29-31

0-0

31-21

0-0

30-28

136.3Avg total

73.1Scored

63.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.8	68.5	144.3	+7.3	67%
Season at home (12)	80.1	68.7	148.8	+11.4	92%
Season away (12)	71.5	68.3	139.8	+3.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	63.2	136.3	+9.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	60.0	129.6	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.7	79.3	151.0	-7.7	0%
vs Similar (13)	69.9	68.4	138.3	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	74.9	69.6	144.5	+5.3	58%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.3	18.5	34.8	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	15.0	37.7	+7.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	15.8	31.6	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.3	12.1	25.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	8.0	7.6	15.6	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	14.2	13.6	27.8	+0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-0.9	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	55%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	22.8	41.7	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.9	42.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.6	47.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	15.3	31.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	18.8	39.4	+1.7	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.3	15.7	34.0	+2.7	42%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

45-37

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

28-28

A26/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

36-50

-14

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

37-47

-10

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

40-45

-5

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

41-34

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

40-34

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

40-43

-3

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-46

-15

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

44-36

H22/03

Lega A

78.2Avg total

38.2Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.5	76.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	38.7	77.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	38.4	75.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.0	78.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.3	36.8	72.1	-1.5	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.2	39.8	77.9	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.7	67%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

38-32

H16/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#32

47-40

H19/02

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

32-33

-1

A23/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

36-28

A02/03

Lega A

Cantu

40-36

H08/03

Lega A

Pistoia

36-41

-5

A16/03

Lega A

Stony Brook

#15

31-34

-3

H18/03

CBI

Avellino

#12

52-24

+28

H23/03

Lega A

Penn State

25-21

H24/03

CBI

Illinois State

31-21

+10

H26/03

CBI

67.8Avg total

36.8Scored

31.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	33.6	69.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	33.1	69.8	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	34.1	68.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	31.0	67.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	28.2	63.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	34.0	67.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	34.8	32.5	67.2	+2.3	77%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	36.2	34.4	70.6	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.1	36.8	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	16.5	36.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.9	19.5	38.5	-0.6	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	15.7	35.9	+4.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	15.3	31.0	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.3	13.5	27.8	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.8	10.4	23.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	6.0	8.6	14.6	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	13.2	14.2	27.4	-0.9	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.8	16.7	35.4	+2.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.9	38.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	21.7	38.9	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	22.7	41.4	-3.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	23.2	51.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	25.0	42.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.4	75.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	36.7	75.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.3	76.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.8	38.2	75.0	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	35.7	75.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	35.9	72.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	33.8	70.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	32.2	68.5	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	31.8	66.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	45.3	83.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.2	35.9	71.1	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.8	35.2	73.9	+3.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/14	Siena v Virtus Roma	76-67
15/12/13	Siena v Virtus Roma	82-70
19/06/13	Virtus Roma v Siena	63-79
17/06/13	Siena v Virtus Roma	81-71
15/06/13	Siena v Virtus Roma	89-81
13/06/13	Virtus Roma v Siena	67-62
11/06/13	Virtus Roma v Siena	76-85
11/03/13	Siena v Virtus Roma	70-94
12/11/12	Virtus Roma v Siena	70-81
26/02/12	Virtus Roma v Siena	77-76

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/14	H	Pesaro	96-85
16/03/14	A	Olimpia Milano	61-85
09/03/14	H	Cremona	85-80
02/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	89-85 OT
23/02/14	H	Caserta	82-79
16/02/14	A	Cantu	80-83
07/02/14	A	Siena	67-76
02/02/14	H	Avellino	72-80
26/01/14	A	Brindisi	62-72
18/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-70

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/14	H	Illinois State	61-49
24/03/14	H	Penn State	54-52
23/03/14	H	Avellino	91-67
18/03/14	H	Stony Brook	66-55
16/03/14	A	Pistoia	76-77
08/03/14	H	Cantu	68-62
02/03/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	78-50
23/02/14	A	Venezia	71-66
19/02/14	H	Nymburk	86-84
16/02/14	H	Pesaro	80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	62%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	62%	67%	58%
Points / game	77.7	78.6	76.8
Allowed / game	76.4	75.5	77.3
Point differential	+1.2	+3.1	-0.6
Avg total	154.1	154.1	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (12)	67% (6)	67% (6)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Siena

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	LLWWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	92%	42%
Points / game	75.8	80.1	71.5
Allowed / game	68.5	68.7	68.3
Point differential	+7.3	+11.4	+3.2
Avg total	144.3	148.8	139.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	-	29% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	24	19	5	79%	80.5	70.3	+10.2
2	Cantu	25	17	8	68%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
3	Brindisi	25	17	8	68%	76.7	73.3	+3.4
4	Siena	24	16	8	67%	75.8	68.5	+7.3
5	Sassari	25	16	9	64%	86.4	79.4	+6.9
6	Virtus Roma	24	15	9	62%	77.7	76.4	+1.2
7	Reggiana	25	12	13	48%	76.4	74.0	+2.5
8	Caserta	25	12	13	48%	72.4	71.9	+0.5
9	Venezia	25	11	14	44%	80.0	79.9	+0.2
10	Avellino	25	11	14	44%	75.0	79.9	-4.8
11	Virtus Bologna	25	10	15	40%	78.2	79.4	-1.2
12	Varese	25	10	15	40%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
13	Pistoia	25	10	15	40%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
14	Cremona	25	9	16	36%	76.5	83.0	-6.5
15	Sutor Montegranaro	25	7	18	28%	77.5	86.9	-9.4
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	28	8	28	25	89
Siena	24	19	25	25	93

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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