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Skenderbeu vs Tirana Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Postponed
Position#7
Record7-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game78.8
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tamara Nikolla Sports Palace
Other2025-26
Meetings · Skenderbeu v Tirana
13 Apr 2026
SKEN72
TIRA151
01 Feb 2026
SKEN v TIRA
upcoming
04 Nov 2023
SKEN47
TIRA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
122-93
122
93
+29
120avg 80
H26/10
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
111-66
111
66
+45
105avg 80
A01/11
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
106-83
106
83
+23
97avg 80
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
46avg 80
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
71avg 80
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
61avg 80
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 80
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
100avg 80
H10/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
A18/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
85-39
85
39
+46
84avg 80
H25/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
29-19
30-29
30-25
20-10
29-14
32-18
30-24
27-21
35-13
22-24
22-25
19-32
13-32
17-23
15-28
34-20
11-29
18-16
18-17
17-27
24-21
23-21
13-25
24-25
23-25
24-21
10-14
29-9
20-27
30-18
21-19
20-19
11-14
16-21
17-10
30-6
22-10
12-9
21-14
170.7Avg total
90.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.581.2167.7+5.454%
Season at home (6)93.077.2170.2+15.867%
Season away (7)81.084.6165.6-3.643%
Last 10 (10)90.380.4170.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)83.873.0156.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.3103.6169.9-37.34%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (6)101.871.7173.5+30.2100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 87
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
103-72
103
72
+31
98avg 87
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
110-66
110
66
+44
103avg 87
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
71avg 87
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
120-61
120
61
+59
129avg 87
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
97-90
97
90
+7
79avg 87
A13/12
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
124-76
124
76
+48
119avg 87
A18/12
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
124-73
124
73
+51
129avg 87
H11/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
99-73
99
73
+26
no box
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
66avg 87
H24/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-23
20-11
13-13
28-14
20-14
28-24
27-20
28-24
26-9
29-20
27-13
23-25
27-12
16-24
21-22
31-11
31-18
33-12
25-20
26-18
21-25
26-19
24-28
33-15
35-18
28-22
28-21
40-18
22-21
27-13
35-21
27-18
27-19
25-18
20-18
21-26
24-20
23-23
13-24
177.3Avg total
101.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)98.578.8177.4+19.785%
Season at home (7)99.373.3172.6+26.086%
Season away (6)97.785.3183.0+12.383%
Last 10 (10)101.775.6177.3+26.190%
Last 5 (5)105.081.0186.0+24.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.990.9160.8-21.011%
vs Similar (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.071.1167.1+24.989%
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
SkenderbeuTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H26/10
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A01/11
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
32-64
32
64
-32
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H25/01
Superliga
86.3Avg total
47.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.348.684.9-12.323%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.542.883.3-2.436%-
Last 30 away (15)33.352.986.1-19.613%-
Last 10 (10)47.039.386.3+7.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.680.6+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.654.685.2-23.90%-
vs Similar (1)47.050.097.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (6)52.529.582.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/12
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
68-33
68
33
+35
A18/12
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H24/01
Superliga
89.9Avg total
52.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.338.682.9+5.855%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.481.8+7.053%-
Last 30 away (14)44.339.984.1+4.457%-
Last 10 (10)52.937.089.9+15.980%-
Last 5 (5)55.239.694.8+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.146.280.3-12.10%-
vs Similar (2)45.042.587.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.434.383.7+15.178%-
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.2
56.6%
56.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.7
39.4%
34.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.015.8
79.0%
67.8%15.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.928.2
62.8%
56.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.8
37.3%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
67.8%14.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Skenderbeu
WWWLLLLWWW
Tirana
LWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+16.1
Net rating
+31.6
122.0
Offensive rating
123.5
105.9
Defensive rating
92.0
57.6%
Effective FG%
60.3%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.4%
3-point %
37.3%
38.9%
Assist %
49.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 123.5Defence105.9 · 92.0Shooting57.6% · 60.3%3-point %39.4% · 37.3%Ball care13.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds26.6% · 30.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Skenderbeu   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Skenderbeu wins
3
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Tirana v Skenderbeu94-67
09/03/24Tirana v Skenderbeu151-42
04/11/23Skenderbeu v Tirana47-92
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HPartizani Tirana85-39
18/01/26AApolonia Fier76-74 OT
10/01/26HPBC Flamurtari100-73
21/12/25ATeuta Durres81-85
14/12/25HVllaznia77-94
07/12/25AKamza Basket81-82
14/11/25ABeselidhja64-115
09/11/25HFieri106-83
01/11/25APogradeci111-66
26/10/25HElbasani122-93
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HBeselidhja81-93
17/01/26AFieri99-73
11/01/26HPogradeci124-73
18/12/25AElbasani124-76
13/12/25AKamza Basket97-90
07/12/25HPartizani Tirana120-61
15/11/25AApolonia Fier87-83
08/11/25HPBC Flamurtari110-66
06/11/25ATeuta Durres103-72
25/10/25HVllaznia72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game86.593.081.0
Allowed / game81.277.284.6
Point differential+5.4+15.8-3.6
Avg total167.7170.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game98.599.397.7
Allowed / game78.873.385.3
Point differential+19.7+26.0+12.3
Avg total177.4172.6183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja13130100%113.166.0+47.1
2 Tirana1311285%98.578.8+19.7
3 Vllaznia1310377%83.573.5+10.0
4 Apolonia Fier1410471%91.174.4+16.8
5 Teuta Durres149564%83.480.5+2.9
6 Kamza Basket137654%91.681.2+10.4
7 Skenderbeu137654%86.581.2+5.4
8 Elbasani134931%86.6100.9-14.3
9 Fieri1441029%76.490.9-14.5
10 Partizani Tirana1321115%67.492.4-25.0
11 Pogradeci1421214%77.4101.1-23.6
12 PBC Flamurtari131128%64.898.2-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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