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Smederevo vs Napredak Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-98
22-19 25-34 12-23 29-22
Position#13
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game76.0
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 4
Other2016-17
Meetings · Smederevo v Napredak
29 Oct 2016
SMED88
NAPR98
18 Mar 2016
SMED82
NAPR86
12 Dec 2014
SMED64
NAPR68
01 Feb 2014
SMED80
NAPR75
14 Dec 2011
SMED114
NAPR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Smederevo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Napredak winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SmederevoSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
44-89
44
89
-45
A19/02
Korac cup
Beovuk
#6
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/02
First League
Mladost Admiral
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A05/03
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H09/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A11/03
First League
Napredak
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H18/03
First League
FMP Beograd
#1
L
59-112
59
112
-53
A23/03
First League
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/10
First League
Spartak Subotica
#4
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H15/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A21/10
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
12-17
11-14
9-28
18-23
15-19
30-15
16-12
13-21
12-14
23-15
17-19
24-17
14-23
16-27
18-23
15-11
26-22
17-24
14-17
12-24
12-22
34-23
24-17
15-33
20-26
10-21
14-32
15-28
21-16
21-13
14-18
12-28
17-23
18-22
17-24
15-17
24-18
18-26
21-17
155.3Avg total
70.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.087.7163.7-11.733%
Season at home (1)64.097.0161.0-33.00%
Season away (2)82.083.0165.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)70.185.2155.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)73.892.2166.0-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.383.0154.3-11.727%
vs Similar (14)76.976.4153.3+0.643%
vs Weaker (4)80.573.8154.2+6.875%
This opponent (Napredak) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NapredakSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H13/02
First League
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A27/02
First League
Konstantin
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H05/03
First League
Jagodina
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A09/03
First League
Vrsac
#10
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H12/03
First League
Smederevo
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A18/03
First League
Mladost Admiral
#5
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H26/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A10/10
First League
Mladost Admiral
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A16/10
First League
Sloga
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H22/10
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
22-16
9-19
19-9
17-25
23-19
18-23
17-18
24-16
17-14
23-29
30-27
26-18
21-20
23-24
25-13
20-9
19-14
15-30
11-13
24-12
22-12
23-34
17-24
13-30
18-17
19-17
16-19
11-16
18-20
14-18
18-19
16-19
25-27
15-13
17-29
19-20
19-16
20-13
14-18
152.1Avg total
75.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.776.0144.7-7.333%
Season at home (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)67.080.5147.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)75.576.6152.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)71.678.6150.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.479.3149.8-8.922%
vs Similar (13)72.472.7145.1-0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.868.2141.0+4.562%
This opponent (Smederevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
SmederevoNapredak
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SmederevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A19/02
Korac cup
Beovuk
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H27/02
First League
Mladost Admiral
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A05/03
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/03
First League
Napredak
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/03
First League
FMP Beograd
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A23/03
First League
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/10
First League
Spartak Subotica
#4
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H15/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A21/10
First League
75.6Avg total
32.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.476.2-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.240.477.6-3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)34.440.474.9-6.019%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.275.6-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.647.079.6-14.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.341.876.1-7.527%-
vs Similar (14)36.639.275.9-2.643%-
vs Weaker (4)39.539.278.8+0.250%-
This opponent (Napredak) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/02
First League
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A27/02
First League
Konstantin
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H05/03
First League
Jagodina
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A09/03
First League
Vrsac
#10
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H12/03
First League
Smederevo
#11
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A18/03
First League
Mladost Admiral
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H26/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A10/10
First League
Mladost Admiral
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/10
First League
Sloga
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/10
First League
74.9Avg total
39.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.571.9-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.434.872.1+2.671%-
Last 30 away (16)33.638.171.7-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.774.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.242.376.6-8.133%-
vs Similar (13)36.033.369.3+2.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.635.270.9+0.462%-
This opponent (Smederevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Smederevo wins
5
Napredak wins
DateGameScore
18/03/16Smederevo v Napredak82-86
11/12/15Napredak v Smederevo76-63
14/03/15Napredak v Smederevo71-60
12/12/14Smederevo v Napredak64-68
01/02/14Smederevo v Napredak80-75
02/11/13Napredak v Smederevo67-51
13/03/12Napredak v Smederevo81-83
14/12/11Smederevo v Napredak114-104
Smederevolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/16AOKK Beograd93-91 OT
15/10/16HSpartak Subotica64-97
08/10/16ABorac Mozzart71-75
23/03/16AFMP Beograd59-112
18/03/16HNapredak82-86
11/03/16AOKK Beograd72-74
09/03/16HTamis Petrohemija72-90
05/03/16AMladost Admiral65-69
27/02/16HBeovuk79-69
19/02/16ACrvena zvezda44-89
Napredaklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/16HSloga72-67
16/10/16AMladost Admiral73-88
10/10/16AOKK Beograd61-73
26/03/16HMladost Admiral66-83
18/03/16ASmederevo86-82
12/03/16HVrsac65-66
09/03/16AJagodina95-75
05/03/16HKonstantin94-86
27/02/16ABorac Mozzart75-85
13/02/16HSpartak Subotica68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Smederevo
First League 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game76.064.082.0
Allowed / game87.797.083.0
Point differential-11.7-33.0-1.0
Avg total163.7161.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Napredak
First League 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game68.772.067.0
Allowed / game76.067.080.5
Point differential-7.3+5.0-13.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vrsac43175%88.585.0+3.5
2 Spartak Subotica32167%86.073.3+12.7
3 KK Dynamic32167%87.375.3+12.0
4 Mladost Admiral32167%81.073.7+7.3
5 Beovuk32167%85.379.7+5.7
6 KK Dunav32167%79.073.3+5.7
7 KK Metalac32167%84.779.0+5.7
8 Borac Mozzart42250%77.576.5+1.0
9 OKK Beograd31233%94.791.7+3.0
10 Napredak31233%68.776.0-7.3
11 Sloga31233%83.393.0-9.7
12 Tamis Petrohemija31233%60.771.0-10.3
13 Smederevo31233%76.087.7-11.7
14 Konstantin3030%78.097.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Smederevo2225122988
Napredak1934232298
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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