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SMU Mustangs vs CS Fullerton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 110-63
51-19 59-44
Position#129
Record10-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game77.6
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
CS Fullerton
USA
Position#187
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CS Fullerton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-42
53-49
38-43
49-42
45-26
61-34
50-30
50-39
46-38
43-34
39-43
35-31
38-48
31-40
41-27
36-50
44-47
33-42
51-47
48-35
170.6Avg total
90.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.577.6167.1+11.983%
Season at home (9)93.474.8168.2+18.7100%
Season away (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)90.979.7170.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)85.084.0169.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.088.0157.0-19.00%
vs Similar (12)82.676.9159.5+5.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.171.1154.2+11.981%
This opponent (CS Fullerton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CS FullertonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A22/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H29/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
116-66
116
66
+50
H11/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
105-86
105
86
+19
A13/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-44
49-41
42-57
43-46
33-37
55-43
33-39
60-58
40-33
43-36
44-43
47-51
25-39
34-30
65-29
51-37
51-28
54-58
34-50
55-44
172.5Avg total
88.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.685.4175.0+4.238%
Season at home (6)97.879.3177.2+18.567%
Season away (7)82.690.6173.1-8.014%
Last 10 (10)88.284.3172.5+3.940%
Last 5 (5)92.081.8173.8+10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.382.0147.3-16.810%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker (4)93.883.0176.8+10.850%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +4.7+4.7
SMU MustangsCS Fullerton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H21/12
NCAA
83.2Avg total
44.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.974.9+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.134.874.9+5.279%-
Last 30 away (11)40.035.075.0+5.036%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.183.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.236.776.9+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.432.973.4+7.562%-
This opponent (CS Fullerton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CS FullertonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A22/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
65-29
65
29
+36
H11/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A13/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A21/12
NCAA
79.0Avg total
39.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.839.772.5-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.472.5-2.229%-
Last 30 away (16)30.741.872.4-11.112%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.979.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.881.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.639.166.8-11.55%-
vs Similar (5)34.840.475.2-5.620%-
vs Weaker (4)47.840.588.2+7.275%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
CS Fullerton wins
No previous meetings.
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HCentral Arkansas99-82
14/12/25ALSU77-89
07/12/25HTexas A&M93-80 OT
04/12/25AVanderbilt69-88
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60
15/11/25HButler87-85
12/11/25HMurray State102-91
CS Fullertonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AOklahoma State89-94
13/12/25ADenver105-86
11/12/25HBethesda116-66
07/12/25AHawaii59-69
05/12/25HCal Poly91-94
29/11/25HPepperdine83-69
23/11/25ANorthern Colorado93-97
22/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)88-80
22/11/25APortland85-103
15/11/25HPacific73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %83%100%33%
Points / game89.593.477.7
Allowed / game77.674.886.0
Point differential+11.9+18.7-8.3
Avg total167.1168.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%89%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%11%33%
CS Fullerton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game89.697.882.6
Allowed / game85.479.390.6
Point differential+4.2+18.5-8.0
Avg total175.0177.2173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1312192%81.463.5+17.8
2 California1312192%83.166.7+16.4
3 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
4 Miami (FL)1311285%89.567.7+21.8
5 Virginia1311285%84.669.5+15.1
6 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
7 Stanford1311285%81.872.3+9.5
8 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
9 SMU Mustangs1210283%89.577.6+11.9
10 Clemson1310377%79.765.8+13.8
11 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
12 Syracuse139469%74.664.8+9.8
13 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
14 Notre Dame139469%76.768.4+8.3
15 Georgia Tech139469%76.570.3+6.2
16 Florida State137654%85.078.3+6.7
17 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
18 Boston College137654%70.666.7+3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1210283%80.463.1+17.3
2 UC San Diego1210283%82.671.2+11.3
3 UC Santa Barbara139469%79.471.5+7.8
4 UC Irvine149564%78.366.4+11.9
5 CS Northridge148657%80.678.4+2.2
6 UC Davis116555%77.276.4+0.8
7 UC Riverside146843%74.278.2-4.0
8 CSU Bakersfield146843%72.977.6-4.7
9 CS Fullerton135838%89.685.4+4.2
10 Cal Poly145936%82.787.4-4.6
11 Long Beach State1331023%72.079.2-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs5159110
CS Fullerton194463
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