PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-75
36-44 41-31
Position#58
Record21-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game71.9
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
Syracuse
USA
Position#273
Record12-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Syracuse
10 Mar 2026
SMU 86
SYRA69
12 Mar 2025
SMU 73
SYRA53
04 Mar 2025
SMU 77
SYRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-26
29-31
39-29
37-36
45-25
40-36
35-35
46-40
43-27
40-36
34-32
32-45
50-25
47-48
32-36
37-43
42-29
39-48
39-45
29-28
146.9Avg total
76.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.771.9153.6+9.772%
Season at home (17)83.072.2155.2+10.871%
Season away (12)79.871.5151.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)76.970.0146.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)76.275.8152.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (6)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.369.2153.5+15.086%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A30/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
54-83
54
83
-29
H06/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A19/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
40-45
24-33
37-37
40-23
35-43
23-37
31-46
34-27
33-40
37-43
47-48
34-42
48-46
41-34
28-46
38-25
36-35
47-38
35-44
156.4Avg total
76.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.478.8154.1-3.441%
Season at home (16)77.776.8154.4+0.962%
Season away (13)72.581.2153.8-8.715%
Last 10 (10)76.280.2156.4-4.030%
Last 5 (5)80.884.0164.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.980.5151.5-9.618%
vs Similar (13)80.476.8157.2+3.669%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -6.0-6.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -6.0-6.0
SMU MustangsSyracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
39.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.933.473.3+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.333.774.0+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)39.433.072.4+6.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.330.970.2+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.472.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (6)34.236.770.8-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.431.973.3+9.577%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A01/03
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.468.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.234.468.6-0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)32.536.769.2-4.223%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.468.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.836.967.8-6.124%-
vs Similar (13)37.033.470.4+3.654%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Syracuse wins
No previous meetings.
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AStanford68-73
27/02/25ACalifornia81-77
22/02/25HClemson69-79
20/02/25ANotre Dame97-73
15/02/25HWake Forest66-77
12/02/25HPittsburgh83-63
06/02/25AVirginia Tech81-75
01/02/25HStanford85-61
30/01/25HCalifornia76-65
25/01/25ANC State63-57
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AVirginia Tech95-101 OT
27/02/25HNC State74-60
19/02/25APittsburgh69-80
15/02/25HNorth Carolina82-88
12/02/25AMiami (FL)84-91
08/02/25HBoston College95-86 OT
06/02/25HDuke54-83
02/02/25ACalifornia75-66
30/01/25AStanford61-70
25/01/25HPittsburgh73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL72%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %72%71%75%
Points / game81.783.079.8
Allowed / game71.972.271.5
Point differential+9.7+10.8+8.2
Avg total153.6155.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syracuse
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %41%62%15%
Points / game75.477.772.5
Allowed / game78.876.881.2
Point differential-3.4+0.9-8.7
Avg total154.1154.4153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2923679%79.569.2+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
8 Pittsburgh29161355%76.571.5+5.0
9 Florida State29161355%75.473.2+2.2
10 Georgia Tech30161453%74.772.8+2.0
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 California29131645%74.575.4-0.9
13 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
14 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
15 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
16 Boston College29121741%70.675.1-4.6
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)3062420%74.181.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs364177
Syracuse443175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.